Leicester are starting to get a little desperate. They battered the Sheffield Wednesday goal on Monday after falling behind early, and did eventually get an equaliser through Jordan Ayew, but that will still go down as two points dropped rather than a point earned, especially when every team around them also earned the same result from matches against each other.
However, that equaliser did, at least, mean that they have scored in 22 of their last 25 matches. The fact that they are still in the bottom three obviously means that they have regularly conceded goals too, indeed the ratio is exactly the same, 22 of their last 25 matches have seen them concede at least once.
Swansea have been very goalsy at both ends over Easter. A 3-3 draw at Sheffield United and 2-2 at home to Middlesbrough shows that whilst they are playing in an open way, they have the resilience to come back from behind.
Under Vitor Matos, Swansea create 1.58 xG per match and concede 1.33 xG per match as well, which is a strong basis for a BTTS bet. Leicester know that they need three points from this game, so I am expecting them to go for it, which also can lead to openness at the back.
