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Sandro Tonali’s record of 1.32 shots per 90 this season emphasises how comfortable he is in attacking areas. Newcastle’s Italian midfield maestro has managed six shots in his last two starts, including four attempts at the Emirates last time out and has also landed this bet in each of his last three games against Brighton. 

Brighton’s late charge for the European places has been impressive but if they are to fall short, it could well be down to their poor away record. The Seagulls concede 13.8 shots per game on their travels and have shipped 18 or more in each of their last three league visits to St James’ Park and so there’s every reason to expect Tonali to get opportunities. 

William Osula is enjoying a spell of three straight league starts, across which he has scored twice and been fouled seven times and so it’s safe to say opposition defenders are struggling to handle him. In limited action across all competitions, Osula has drawn 1.4 fouls per 90 this season and with him expected to start again, we can rely on the Dane to be involved in plenty of physical duels. 

Brighton’s central defensive duo of Lewis Dunk and Jan Paul van Hecke will provide plenty of combative competition for Osula with both looking to dominate aerially. The Seagulls centre backs have committed 1.25 infringements per 90 between them and will no doubt look to impose their experience on the Magpies striker early on to intimidate him.