Wednesday

Porto v Napoli Tips

Latest tips for Porto v Napoli from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Football

Wednesday's Champions League Shots Accumulator 🎯 @ 7.46

Andy Robson

Mbappe has had 2+ shots on target in all three of his CL games this term

It's impossible to underestimate the importance of Scott McTominay to this Napoli side. They really lack a threat in the final third and general box presence when McTominay isn't in the side.

McTominay is utilised as a second striker now, there used to be a bit of a debate as to his best role - but he's certainly at his best when arriving as the second runner in the box to get on the end of crosses with Hojlund not being the best with his movement.

McTominay has taken nine shots across his two starts in the Champions League this term (5.40 per 90). He's also taken 17 shots across his six starts in Serie A this term, working out to an average of 2.86 shots per 90.

Unsurprisingly, Kylian Mbappe has had more shots on target in the Champions League than any other player on the pitch here (10 - 3.37 per 90).

He's had at least two shots on target in all three of his Champions League matches this term, managing 4+ shots on target in two of these games.

His domestic record is just as appealing, he's had at least one shot on target in 10 of his 11 appearances in LaLiga, having multiple shots on target in eight of these games.

AEK conceded five goals and seven shots on target in their last Champions League game against Man City, Real Madrid should be able to produce similar numbers against a side that has lost four of their last five matches across all competitions.

Douvikas is developing really well, as are the majority of the players in this Como side, and has scored eight goals across his 13 appearances in all competitions this term.

He's scored three goals across his two starts in the Champions League, taking six shots in the process (2.92 per 90). Four of these have found the target (1.95 per 90), which is an impressive conversion rate.

These trends continue when you look at his domestic numbers. He's scored five goals across just nine starts in Serie A from 28 shots (3.29 per 90), seeing 13 of them find the target (1.53 per 90).

Lens are really vulnerable at the moment, they've failed to keep a clean sheet across their last 12 matches and have conceded at least twice in all three of their Champions League games.

I've been waiting for Antonio Nusa to have a proper breakout season, and it finally looks like it's come for the winger who has registered 12 goal contributions across his 13 appearances in all competitions.

He's always had this level of talent, but has previously lacked the confidence or clinical edge to add the numbers to his game to be a top winger.

A strong World Cup campaign seems to have given him that confidence, and he comes into this clash having registered a goal contribution in each of his last three appearances.

No Leipzig player has had more shots on target across all competitions than Antonio Nusa (12 - 1.23 per 90), with Nusa having an effort on target against Como and PSV in the Champions League so far.

City are far from settled at the back, and the pace of Nusa could be perfect for the home side as City's high line has been exposed quite regularly over recent weeks.

I'd expect Mikel Arteta to rotate here, and Merino should be part of those changes - either in midfield or as a number nine.

Despite Havertz and Gyokeres being the two main striker options that Arteta has rotated between over the last year, I still think Merino is the best finisher at the club.

He scored twice when Arsenal travelled to Slavia Prague in the league phase last season, which is a good example of the threat he can pose.

He's incredibly good in the air, which could be useful for Arsenal here against a Slavia Prague side who will most definitely sit quite deep.

Merino scored four goals across 10 starts in the Premier League last season, averaging 0.70 shots on target per 90 across those games. If you look at the games where he played as a number nine, that number jumps to 1.30 shots on target per 90.

New to bet365?

Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets

Claim offer
Claim Offer

18+ only. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as bet credits and are available for use upon settlement of qualifying bets. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stakes. Time limits and T&Cs Apply. Registration required. #AD.

Tips Feed

Scott McTominay - To Have 2 Or More Shots

11h ago