
Ligue 1
France
Strasbourg
Tomorrow
Nice
ABC Tips
Andy's Saturday Euro Accumulator @ 4.11
This is a pivotal game in the LaLiga title race, Real Madrid take on Mallorca a few hours before this game - and could cut the gap to Barcelona to just one point, making this a near must-win game for Hansi Flick’s side if they want to maintain their lead at the summit of LaLiga.
Barcelona have scored 31 goals across their 14 away games in LaLiga this season (2.21 per game), comfortably more than any other side in the division. Barcelona can’t really play any other way, Hansi Flick has them set up with an outrageous high line which naturally leads to Barcelona being involved in high scoring games.
Atletico Madrid have also opened up a bit this season, moving away from the low block stereotype that defines Simeone’s time at the club. This is shown through their recent matches, Atletico Madrid have conceded 2+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, interestingly managing to win two of these games.
The first league meeting between these two sides ended in a seven goal thriller, with Fortuna Sittard claiming a 4-3 win over Alkmaar. That match produced a combined xG of 5.44, setting the stage for another high scoring affair here with both teams still having plenty to play for.
Alkmaar currently sit sixth in the Eredivisie, but face a real fight to hold onto their spot in the Conference League playoff places, as both Heerenveen and Sparta Rotterdam are level on points with them heading into this fixture. Fortuna Sittard are also within striking distance - a win for the visitors would move them to within four points of Alkmaar.
Fortuna Sittard have seen both teams score in each of their last 13 matches across all competitions. The last side they failed to find the net against was Zwolle back at the end of 2025. This remarkable run suggests Sittard struggle to control games, but almost always carry an attacking threat, which makes it likely both sides will get on the scoresheet again here.
Gary O’Neil has been getting on pretty well at Strasbourg since stepping in to replace Liam Rosenior. He’s only lost two of his 15 matches in charge, and currently boasts his best ever win percentage as a manager (53% - 1.9 points per game).
Strasbourg are usually an entertaining side to watch, they’ve had a few 0-0 draws of late - but that’s more down to how their opponents have set up rather than Strasbourg being a dull watch. They’ve avoided defeat in 10 of their 13 home games in Ligue 1 this term, with these games producing 30 goals (2.30 per game).
The most recent meeting between these sides took place in January and ended in a 1-1 draw. Each of the last seven head to head meetings between the sides have produced 2+ goals, with Nice’s trip to Strasbourg last season ending in a 2-2 draw.
Nice have conceded 27 goals across their 13 away games in Ligue 1 this season (2.07 per game), suggesting that there could be room for Strasbourg to cover this line on their own.
Lens are the first team in some time to actually challenge PSG for the Ligue 1 title. They sit just one point behind the Parisians ahead of this clash, though PSG do have a game in hand on Lens so the away side can’t really afford to drop points here as a bit of daylight for PSG is likely to spell the end of their title charge.
Lens have scored in each of their last 21 matches across all competitions, the last team to keep them out were Metz all the way back at the end of October. This scoring run lines up quite nicely with Lille’s inability to keep a clean sheet at the moment - they’ve failed to keep the opposition out in each of their last five matches across all competitions.
Lens ran out 3-0 winners over Lille when these sides met earlier in the season, generating an xG of 3.54 from their 15 shots on that occasion.
Euro 2.0 Asian Goals Insurance Acca (3+ match goals = win, 2+ match goals = void) @ 4.18
Excelsior welcome the most entertaining side to watch in Europe this season, promising goals in this encounter. Nijmegen’s approach to games is wild, but they’ve stuck with it all season and it’s been pretty successful - guiding them to third in the Eredivisie, just three points behind Feyenoord in second.
Nijmegen have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, in line with their incredibly positive style of play. Their most recent assignment produced four goals as they played out a 2-2 draw against Heerenveen at home. They put five goals past Excelsior without reply when the sides met earlier in the season, suggesting that Nijmegen could cover this line on their own.
Excelsior are in the relegation zone at the time of writing, but the race at the bottom of the Eredivisie is incredibly tight - with the playoff relegation spot further complicating matters. Excelsior have failed to win any of their last five matches across all competitions. seeing 3+ goals in three of these games.
Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will void.
Gary O’Neil has settled in well at Strasbourg since replacing Liam Rosenior, losing just two of his 15 matches in charge. He’s currently posting his best ever win percentage as a manager (53% - 1.9 points per game).
Strasbourg are usually an entertaining side, and while they’ve had a few 0-0 draws lately, that’s been more about how opponents set up than any lack of attacking intent. They’ve avoided defeat in 10 of their 13 home Ligue 1 games this season, with those matches averaging 2.30 goals per game (30 goals in total).
The most recent meeting between these sides was a 1-1 draw in January. Each of the last seven head-to-head clashes has seen 2+ goals, including a 2-2 draw when Nice visited Strasbourg last season.
Nice have conceded 27 goals across their 13 away Ligue 1 matches this term (2.07 per game), which suggests Strasbourg could contribute strongly to covering the over 2.5 goals line on their own.
Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.
Gaiziantep have contested some really exciting and end to end games of late, seeing 4+ goals in three of their last five matches across all competitions. They’ve conceded 4+ goals in two of these games, including their most recent assignment as they fell to a 4-1 defeat at the hands of Fenerbahce.
Their 13 home games in the Turkish Super Lig have produced 39 goals, working out to an average of exactly 3.0 goals per game. They take on a Alanyaspor side who have seen 3+ goals in four of their last five matches across all competitions, and have seen 36 goals across their 13 away games this term (2.76 per game).
Interestingly, Gaziantep’s home record is pretty poor, which lines up with the struggles of Alanyaspor on the road this season. The away side have only managed to win one of their 13 away matches in the Turkish top flight this term, conceding 20 goals across these matches.
Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.
Mallorca are battling at the bottom of LaLiga and currently find themselves one point from safety ahead of this difficult clash against a Madrid side chasing the LaLiga title.
Mallorca have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 15 matches across all competitions, suggesting a real defensive vulnerability which can be exploited on a few occasions by the away side.
Mallorca have seen 3+ goals in each of their last three games ahead of this clash, winning just one of these games - which was a home triumph against Espanyol.
Real Madrid have seen 3+ goals in each of their last five matches across all competitions, winning all five of these games. They came away 2-1 winners over Mallorca when the sides met earlier in the season, and all three head to head meetings between the sides last year produced three or more goals.
Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will void.
Hoffenheim faced a real setback in their most recent assignment as they were hammered by Leipzig, losing 5-0 on the road which represents a massive blow to their chances of securing Champions League football with three sides currently battling for two remaining spots.
This situation makes this a very important game for Hoffenheim, more dropped points here could put them out of the race altogether - or encourage Leverkusen who are threatening to enter the race late on in the season.
Hoffenheim have seen 43 goals across their 13 home games in the Bundesliga this season (3.30 per game), only Leipzig, Dortmund and Bayern Munich have scored more goals at home than Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga this term.
Mainz managed to get on the scoresheet when these sides met earlier in the season and can contribute to the goal tally again having found the back of the net in four of their last five matches across all competitions.
Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.
Both league meetings between these sides this season have featured exactly three goals - Manchester City won 3-0 at the Etihad, and then snatched a late 2-1 victory over Liverpool at Anfield in their most recent clash.
I don’t trust either backline right now, and I think the expected rotation from both teams will open the game up rather than reduce the entertainment. Liverpool have seen three or more goals in both of their FA Cup matches this season, and their 16 away Premier League games have produced 48 goals (exactly 3.0 per game).
No side has scored more goals at home in the Premier League this season than Manchester City (36 goals, 2.4 per game), suggesting City could cover this line on their own - just like they did in the first meeting. City also have the advantage of a free week after this match, while Liverpool face PSG in the Champions League.
Taking the Asian Goal line means that if that bet falls one goal short, the selection will be void.



