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Yerson Mosquera will return from a two-game suspension in this tie and so should have fresh legs. The kamikaze central defender has been popping up in the opposition box almost as much as his own since Rob Edwards took charge, averaging 1.13 shots per 90 with at least one in five of his last six starts at Molineux. 

Sunderland’s recent games have been especially end-to-end, likely due to the lack of jeopardy in their fixtures. Only Burnley have conceded more shots in away games than the Black Cats this season and with both sides having little to play for, they can attack with freedom meaning plenty of shots, hopefully with Mosquera getting at least one.

If we’re expecting lots of goalmouth action, it also makes sense to have a Sunderland player in our acca and with eight shots in his last five league starts, Granit Xhaka seems a likely candidate at a nice price. Sunderland’s captain needs no encouragement to try his luck from range and had a shot in the reverse to contribute to his seasonal average of 0.67 efforts per 90. 

Having had their relegation to the Championship confirmed, there’s no reason for Wolves to focus on defending, especially in front of their own fans and so they should be vulnerable to Sunderland attacks. They’ve conceded 12.29 shots per game on their own patch this season and are showing no sign of improving that record.

After he won this bet for us last weekend, we can back Hugo Bueno to be fouled at a generous price again, despite him having drawn at least one foul in 14 of his last 16 league starts. The Spanish wing back has been especially consistent for foul drawing at Molineux this season where he’s been caught late 1.31 times per 90 and so clearly needs no encouragement to go down.

Opposing Bueno looks likely to be Sunderland’s right sided trio of Chris Rigg, Habib Diarra and Nordi Mukiele who between them average 3.19 fouls per 90. With no need for Wolves to worry about defending, Bueno can get forward as often as possible, hopefully forcing at least one cynical challenge to deal with his threat.