ABC logo
Liverpool v Arsenal 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Liverpool v Arsenal 3/1 Bet Builder Tips, Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Friday 29 August, 20254 min read
Avatar

Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

This is the headline game of the weekend, all eyes will be on last season's top two.

If you're having a flutter on the match, I've compiled all the best free bets in one list.

✚ Add picks to your betslip to place bets directly on Andy's Bet Club.


Liverpool v Arsenal Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Liverpool v Arsenal
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
4 Selections @ 3.99

Mohamed Salah to have 1+ Shots on Target

Mohamed Salah has had three shots across his opening two games of the Premier League season with two of these efforts finding the target.

All of these attempts came against Bournemouth on the opening day of the season, he wasn’t really in the game against Newcastle but Liverpool still managed to score three goals without his involvement, showing the attacking quality they have spread throughout the side.

Salah loves these fixtures. He scored against Arsenal in the 2-2 draw between the sides at the Emirates with two shots on target in that game. He wasn’t really involved in the meeting between the sides at Anfield, but that fixture took place after Liverpool had secured the title anyway so it isn’t really one to draw too many conclusions from.

Salah had 130 shots in the Premier League last season (3.46 per 90) with 61 of these attempts finding the target (1.63 per 90). His role on penalties for Liverpool will aid him in finding the target here.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Milos Kerkez to Commit 1+ Fouls

Kerkez is struggling a little at the moment at left back for Liverpool but it is slightly unfair to only single him out when Liverpool haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last 13 matches across all competitions.

This was always going to be a difficult adjustment for both Liverpool and Kerkez. Robertson has held down the left back position for the better part of a decade now and has been one of the most reliable performers in this Liverpool side so it was always going to be a tough task for Kerkez to replace him straight away.

Kerkez really struggled against Antoine Semenyo on the opening day of the season, he committed one foul and was shown a yellow card from the 10 fouls he contested. I can see him having similar issues here against Noni Madueke who is set to start at right wing with Saka carrying an injury.

Madueke is a very direct dribbler and will look to take on Kerkez at every opportunity, especially with how the fullback has performed in his early games with Liverpool. Madueke averaged 1.10 fouls won per 90 in the Premier League last season.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Noni Madueke to have 2+ Shots

Madueke is set to start at Anfield on the right wing in the absence of Bukayo Saka who is expected to be out until at least mid September. This gives Madueke a real opportunity to cement a starting spot in this Arsenal side with rumours circulating that Saka could be played on the left at times.

Madueke loves to shoot. I watched him every week for Chelsea last season and I was constantly frustrated with his decision making, though his tendency to shoot from awkward angles aids our selection here.

Madueke had 80 shots across his 32 Premier League appearances last season (3.52 per 90). You’d be hard pressed to find another winger in the Premier League (other than Saka and Salah) who can produce this shot volume consistently.

I really fancy Madueke in his 1v1 battle against Milos Kerkez. I think Madueke will be able to beat him on a few occasions and add to the issues that Liverpool have been facing at the back in this early part of the season.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Over 2.5 Goals

Both meetings between these sides last season saw over 2.5 goals as the sides contested two 2-2 draws. It is not an exaggeration to say that this is one of the most exciting fixtures in the Premier League historically and all the modern trends also point to goals at Anfield.

Four of the last five head to head meetings between the sides have seen over 2.5 goals. Liverpool have seen over 2.5 goals in both of their Premier League games so far against Newcastle and Bournemouth, with these two games showing us that Liverpool’s backline is far from secure - Arne Slot’s side conceded two goals in both of these games but still came out on top.

Liverpool have not kept a clean sheet in their last 13 matches across all competitions so relying on a strong defensive performance seems out of the question for Liverpool here. The Reds scored 42 goals across their 19 games at Anfield last season whilst Arsenal netted 34 goals across their 19 away games last campaign.

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Liverpool v Arsenal Best Longshot Bets
  • Liverpool v Arsenal
  • Premier League
  • 16:30
3 Selections @ 9.96

Hugo Ekitike to Score or Assist

Hugo Ekitike has looked the most settled of Liverpool’s summer signings so far having scored against Crystal Palace, Bournemouth and Newcastle already in his short spell with the Reds.

He’s got a bit of everything and reminds me a little of Alexander Isak with how he can affect other parts of the game as well as being an excellent finisher. I don’t think there is another side in the Premier League that can rival the scoring power of Liverpool, they have ridiculous quality and strength in attacking areas with this selection also covered by Super Sub should Ekitike be replaced.

Strikers often play in streaks of form and Ekitike has certainly found a rich vein at the moment. He’s scored or assisted in each of his last four games for Liverpool across all competitions.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Jurrien Timber to be Shown a Card

Timber will be lining up against his fellow countrymen here in Cody Gakpo and will also have to contend with the threat of Milos Kerkez who has shown little to no restraint when given the opportunity to get forward for this Liverpool side.

Timber picked up seven yellow cards in the Premier League last season and has already received his first caution of this campaign which came against Manchester United on the opening weekend of the season.

As well as having a decent chance of picking up a card from fouling either Gakpo or Kerkez, Timber could also pick up a card through time wasting which is a common tactic of Mikel Arteta’s, especially in these sort of big matches.

Long throws, as an example, are really popular with all sides throughout the Premier League in this early part of the season and Arsenal also utilise them when they can. They take their time at these set piece situations and this is well documented so you would hope that Chris Kavanagh has a short tolerance for it and cautions offenders early on.

Super Sub
Safe Sub

Arsenal GK to make 3+ saves

David Raya is the second best goalkeeper in the Premier League in my opinion (the best is on the other team), he consistently bails out Arsenal and doesn’t really get much credit for Arsenal’s incredible defensive displays with much of that going to Saliba and Gabriel.

Raya was forced into making seven saves in Arsenal’s opening game of the season against Manchester United and can expect to be under similar duress here against the best attacking side in the Premier League. Raya was forced into making three saves in this fixture last season with Liverpool averaging 6.10 shots on target per 90 throughout the campaign.

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

New Customer offer. Place a min £10 bet on Football on odds of min 1.5 (1/2), get £50 in Free Bet Builders after the qualifying bet has been settled. Rewards valid for 90 days. SMS verification required. Only deposits via cards will qualify (Apple Pay excluded). T&Cs apply. Please Gamble Responsibly. AD

📂 Liverpool v Arsenal Cheat Sheet

Generic

Live Now

Andy's Tips

Latest football and horse racing tips from Andy Robson and his team of experts.

Sky Bet

Sky Bet

Champions League Player Boost

  • Champions League
  • Wednesday 17th September
  • 20:00

View selections

Join Sky Bet

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.
Sky Bet

Sky Bet

Champions League Team Boost

  • Champions League 8pm fixtures (Liverpool v Atletico Madrid, Ajax v Inter, Bayern Munich v Chelsea, PSG V Atalanta)
  • Wednesday 17th September
  • 20:00

View selections

Join Sky Bet

18+, Please Gamble Responsibly, Ad.

📈 Liverpool v Arsenal Form & Tactics

Liverpool clearly have issues at the back at the moment, they’ve conceded 2+ goals in both of their Premier League matches so far this season and are without a clean sheet in their last 13 matches across all competitions. This is something that will take time for Arne Slot to fix as it currently looks like Liverpool are too exposed at the back with both full backs and two thirds of the midfield flying forward on every occasion.

They conceded two goals against 10 man Newcastle last time out which is something that will really encourage Arsenal here. It should be noted that the Monday night clash between Newcastle and Liverpool was overshadowed by an extremely unique set of circumstances so we can’t really judge Liverpool from that performance alone.

Liverpool scored 42 goals across their 19 games at Anfield last season which was a record only bettered by Manchester City (43). This remains Liverpool’s main strength, not just the quality of the individual players they have in the frontline but also the depth they can call on from the bench - both Chiesa and Rio Ngumoha have scored crucial goals off the bench already this season.

This means that we can expect Liverpool to score at least two goals in every game they play, even against a backline as stubborn as Arsenal’s. Liverpool scored two goals against Arsenal in both games against the Gunners last season.

It’s interesting how quickly the narrative can change in football, after Arsenal’s opening weekend victory over Manchester United there were questions around the effectiveness of Arsenal’s attacking line as they only managed to generate an open play xG of 0.28. These questions went away after Arsenal fired five goals past newly promoted Leeds in a dominant performance, with Viktor Gyokeres getting off the mark in the Premier League with two goals.

I still think it’s too early to draw a conclusion about where this Arsenal side are at in terms of challenging for the title this year. I was not surprised that they battered Leeds and I’m not entirely convinced that Arsenal can match the attacking depth and quality of Liverpool, especially in the absence of Bukayo Saka who is a real doubt for this game after going off injured against Leeds.

When you look at the players that both managers can bring on to impact the game, I think Liverpool have more game changers than Arsenal do. I think this will end up being the deciding factor in this game, Liverpool aren’t settled enough at the back to rely on the security of their backline so Arne Slot’s approach will likely be to overwhelm Arsenal with their scoring power, as they have done in their games against Newcastle and Bournemouth already this season.


🏁 Ref Watch

Chris Kavanagh

There were three yellow cards and one red card produced in this fixture last season as the sides played out a 2-2 draw.


📊 Liverpool v Arsenal Key Stats

  • Liverpool have conceded 2+ goals in both of their Premier League matches so far this season.

  • Liverpool boasted the best home record in the Premier League last season, scoring 42 goals across their 19 matches.

  • Liverpool have scored at least two goals in each of their last eight matches across all competitions but have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of these games.

  • Arsenal haven’t won at Anfield in the Premier League since 2012.

  • Arsenal have won both of their Premier League matches to nil so far this season.

  • Arsenal’s star player, Bukayo Saka, is a doubt for this game after suffering an injury against Leeds.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

Andy's Bet Club is packed full of Expert Football Tips. We also have an easy-to-use Bet Builder Stats tool to help you conduct your own research. Look out for our Premier League Predictions, including gameweekly Premier League Acca Tips this season.

These Liverpool v Arsenal Betting Stats provide further insight. We’ve also got Bet Builders for Aston Villa v Crystal Palace and Brighton v Man City , Rangers v Celtic Betting Tips as well as our Sunday Acca, and Quick Previews for Dundee v Dundee United and Rayo Vallecano v Barcelona.

We also track the best offers, such as the Paddy Power Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer. There's a list of the latest New Bookmaker Offers here.

For additional value, check out our bet365 6 Scores Challenge Tips and our Paddy Power Beat The Drop Predictions.


* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


Emoji
Written by an Andy verified content writer

18+ please gamble responsibly.