💎 Gem Bet: Geny Catamo - 2+ Fouls Won @ 1.72 (Bet365)

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Catamo caused Arsenal all sorts of problems in the first leg, acting as Sporting’s outlet when they broke out of their stubborn low block. Sporting looked to release Catamo at every opportunity last week, and should do the same here - giving the winger an excellent chance of winning at least two fouls in this clash.

Catamo was fouled three times in the first leg and has won 2+ fouls in four of his last five Champions League appearances. Catamo has won 16 fouls across his eight starts in the Champions League this season (2.05 per 90) and has also maintained an average of 2.11 fouls won per 90 across his 20 starts in Liga Portugal this term - showing consistency over a larger sample size.

Calafiori and Gabriel were tasked with managing the threat of Catamo last week, and should take up the same roles here. The pair committed three fouls between them, all on Catamo, with Calafiori committing two fouls as his direct opponent. 

There is great value with this angle when backing with Bet365, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers. Also, Catamo is priced at 1.14 to win a single foul in this game - I don’t think the jump to 1.72 is as big as the odds suggest given his underlying foul won numbers this season.