💎 Gem Bet: Xavi Simons - Over 0.5 Shots @ 1.57 (Bet365)

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Xavi Simons hasn’t had the easiest start to his Tottenham career, but this angle looks generously priced for him to have at least one shot in this encounter. Simons has had five shots across his 537 minutes of Premier League football this season (0.84 per 90), with this average being well below Simons' true shot output.

Simons had 50 shots across his 25 appearances in the Bundesliga last season (2.09 per 90). He’s also had four shots across his 198 minutes of action in the Champions League for Tottenham (1.82 per 90) - with three of these efforts notably coming from outside of the box. This is relevant as Tottenham are unlikely to have many clear cut chances, so speculative efforts from distance may end up being their best bet.

Simons was effective from this range in the Bundesliga last season with 24 of his 50 shots coming from outside of the box (48%). While it is true that Arsenal don’t concede many shots (7.36 per game), Tottenham will still get chances and this is a perfect opportunity for Simons to kick start his Tottenham career. 

Tottenham have had a lot more joy on the road this season when compared to their home games. Thomas Frank’s side have won four of their five away matches, and netted 12 goals in the process - Tottenham are averaging 10.6 shots per game across these away matches.

There is real value with this selection with backing with Bet365, the exact same pick is priced as low as 1.17 with other comparable bookmakers.