Arsenal welcome Aston Villa with Unai Emery’s side currently on a 11 game winning streak, most recently seeing off Chelsea 2-1 at the weekend.

Mikel Arteta’s side boast the strongest home record in the league having won eight of their nine matches at the Emirates, only dropping points in the form of a draw against Manchester City.

Only three points separate the sides in the league table, so this could be the perfect opportunity for Villa to solidify themselves as title contenders.

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📂 Arsenal v Aston Villa Cheat Sheet

📈 Arsenal v Aston Villa Form & Tactics

Arsenal claimed a 2-1 win over Brighton last time out which was a gritty win with the Gunners currently struggling with injuries and an intense fixture schedule which is challenging the additional depth that Arsenal added to the side in the summer window. That win over Brighton marks their third consecutive Premier League victory, with the other triumphs coming over Everton and WolvesAll three of these recent wins have been scrappy, dogged performances which is actually a very positive sign for Arsenal. They really struggled with these sorts of games at this stage of the campaign last season, notably dropping points against the likes of West Ham and Fulham which gave Liverpool the initiative in the title race. The fact that Arsenal are able to grind out awkward wins, stands them in good stead for what looks to be a tight title race developing. 

Aston Villa are outperforming every single one of their underlying metrics at the moment and have won their last 11 matches across all competitions. They’ve conceded in eight of these games, which arguably makes this feat even more impressive as Villa have had to come through adversity at times to earn these results - signalling a real maturity about Unai Emery’s squad which was on show as they came from behind to beat Chelsea at the weekend.

Aston Villa have already beaten Arsenal as part of this winning run with a 2-1 win over the Gunners at Villa Park. This tells us that Villa are more than capable of causing an upset here, even against a side with the best defence and home record in the Premier League this season. 

Villa have definitely improved on the road this term, playing away from home has long been a vulnerability about this Villa side but they have corrected this so far this campaign with just two defeats from their nine away matches. 

They’ve scored 14 goals across these games and while I don’t expect Villa to dominate the game here, they have shown that they don’t need to be the controlling force in matches to earn results with Villa having multiple players that can produce a single moment of brilliance to decide a game.

📔 Arsenal v Aston Villa Formation & Team News

Mikel Arteta is continually tweaking the tactical approach of this Arsenal side, but what is clear is that he prioritises control over anything else. Arsenal line up in a 4-3-3 on paper, but this quickly shifts to a 3-2-4-1 when the Gunners are in possession. 

Martin Zubimendi is key for this fluidity, he drops between the two centre backs to form the three that Arsenal like to build with. This allows both of Arsenal’s fullbacks to push high up the pitch, and also means that Declan Rice has more freedom in the middle of the park to drive forward and affect the game in the final third. 

Arsenal’s wide players are also looking to be more penetrative than they were last season with their starting positions being a bit more narrow, allowing the fullbacks to hold the width. I’m still a little concerned about the quality of Arsenal’s frontline - four of the last six goals that the Gunners have scored have been own goals, and they’re still pretty reliant on set pieces with 30% of their total goals this season coming from set pieces. 

This works out to just 17 goals from open play for the Gunners, and I’d seriously question whether that is enough firepower to go toe to toe with Manchester City in a title race who have scored 43 goals in the Premier League this term - 33 of which have come from open play (76%).

Even Aston Villa (19) have scored more goals from open play than Arsenal this season with Emery’s side netting 14 goals across their nine away games this season. They have conceded 12 goals across these games, but Villa’s recent winning run in which they’ve conceded in eight of their 11 matches would suggest that Villa are comfortable with conceding and can work their way back into games.

Aston Villa are brilliant in transition and have a number of strong ball carriers that can get them up the pitch and relieve pressure. Morgan Rogers and John McGinn are their main assets for this particular role, with Villa showing how strong they can be in transition against Chelsea last time out - creating five big chances from just 11 shots and 37% possession. 

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