Gem Bet: Barcelona v Mallorca

Gem Bet: Barcelona v Mallorca

Tuesday 22 April, 20251 min read
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Harry Nye

Harry is a Christchurch-based football enthusiast whose love for sport and numbers naturally led him into the world of sports betting. While studying Mathematics at university, Harry began combining his analytical mindset with his passion for football. Harry focuses predominantly on football, with a particular emphasis on the Bundesliga this season, though as a Liverpool supporter (with a soft spot for QPR thanks to his dad), English football remains close to his heart. Whether it's late-night research or diving into stat models, Harry thrives on spotting the bets others might miss.

In this article...

💎 Sergi Darder to Win 2+ Fouls @ 3.0

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Sergi Darder to Win 2+ Fouls (Barcelona v Mallorca)

📅 Kick Off: Tuesday 22nd April at 20:30
📈 Odds: 3.0

Sergi Darder is significantly overpriced at 3.0 to win 2+ fouls with Sky Bet, especially when compared to odds as low as 2.1 elsewhere.

Given his recent form, likely starting position, and the specific match-up against Barcelona, there’s clear value in this selection.

Darder averages 1.34 fouls drawn per 90, but his numbers have notably improved when deployed in a more attacking midfield role. He has won two or more fouls in each of his last four starts when deployed on the left of midfield.

He could come up against a combination of the following Barcelona players:

Jules Koundé: 0.84 fouls per 90
Frenkie de Jong: 1.18 fouls per 90
Eric García: 1.34 fouls per 90
Lamine Yamal: 1.02 fouls per 90

In the reverse fixture, Barcelona’s right-hand side was particularly vulnerable, committing five fouls. Darder drew three fouls in that match alone and had drawn two in each of the two games against Barça prior.

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