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Bayer Leverkusen v Inter
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Kick Off: Tuesday 10th December at 20:00
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Competition: UEFA Champions League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 2
Leverkusen host Inter at the BayArena in what should be a thrilling encounter between two top teams at the peak of their form.
Both sides have all but qualified for the next round and are now vying for the top 8 positions which would see them go straight into the knockout rounds.
It’s estimated that 15 points is the magic number which puts Inter (13) within touching distance and Bayer Leverkusen with strong prospects too if they can take something from this clash.
⭐ Bayer Leverkusen v Inter Best Bets
Across all competitions this season, Inter have averaged just 1.42 yellow cards per game, staying under 3 cards in 89.47% of matches, including each of their last nine. This trend has held in their last eight games and in 17 of their 19 matches overall this season.
Bayer Leverkusen’s games show a similar pattern, averaging 3.67 total cards, a figure that drops to 3.20 in the Champions League. The team itself averages just 1.83 yellow cards per game.
Adding to the appeal, the referee overseeing the match has a career average of just 3.95 yellow cards distributed per game
🟢 Bayer Leverkusen v Inter #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Both of these sides tend to adopt fairly attacking philosophies which implies we could be in for a high-scoring affair.
Inter have bagged 3 or more goals in half of their Serie A matches and have a tendency towards a fast start.
They’ve also won the most corners of any Serie A side (93), despite having played a game less. On balance, they’re averaging 6.64 per game.
Defensively, Leverkusen haven’t been too assured and have already conceded 20 goals in the Bundesliga which puts them joint 9th in that department.
They were dearly exposed when facing Liverpool last time out conceding 4 goals and 3.79xG, and if Inter are on their A-game, you’d be a fool to overlook the possibility of them controlling the game, finding the back of the net, and racking up a decent number of corners.
👕 Bayer Leverkusen v Inter Predicted XI
🔍 Bayer Leverkusen v Inter Players to Watch
⚫ Nathan Tella
Nathan Tella could offer outstanding value in this match, with generous odds likely reflecting his recent deployment as a wingback, but with Boniface and Schick unavailable, Tella is expected to start up front on Tuesday.
We got a glimpse of his potential in this role during Leverkusen’s clash with St. Pauli, where he scored a goal that was later disallowed by VAR. Earlier, Tella managed two shots on target in just 30 minutes off the bench against Bayern Munich.
Inter’s defence has focused on forcing opponents into low-value shots in the Champions League, conceding an average of just 0.07xGa per shot. However, this approach has allowed a high volume of attempts, with teams like Man City, Young Boys, and Arsenal each registering at least 20 shots against them, contributing to a total of 80 conceded so far.
🔵 Alessandro Bastoni
Bastoni has been Inter’s second most frequent offender this season, trailing only Dumfries, with an average of 1.59 fouls per 90 minutes in Serie A. He has been penalized even more frequently in the Champions League, averaging 2.23 fouls per 90 in the competition.
The Italian center-back has committed at least one foul in 15 of his 16 starts this season, with the only exception coming when he was subbed off early during Inter’s dominant 5-0 victory over Hellas Verona.
He is likely to face Nathan Tella, who has drawn an impressive 3.72 fouls per 90 minutes in limited Bundesliga action and is heavily favoured, priced at just 1.1 to win at least one foul.
📂 Bayer Leverkusen v Inter Cheat Sheet
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💻 Bayer Leverkusen v Inter Form and Tactics
The hosts are in the midst of an excellent streak which has seen them victorious in each of their last five games.
Bayer Leverkusen have lost just one of their last eighteen games, drawing 6 and winning the remaining 11.
That said, their loss was a devastating one as they were thumped 4-0 at Anfield in their last Champions League clash.
Inter enter this match on an impressive 13-game unbeaten streak across all competitions, securing 11 victories during this run.
Since the start of the season, the Nerazzurri have suffered just one defeat, a loss to Milan, despite facing challenging opponents such as Arsenal and Manchester City in the Champions League.
Remarkably, Inter remain the only team yet to concede a goal in the Champions League this season, highlighting their defensive solidity.
Both sides are expected to set up in a 3-5-2 and given the significance of the role wingbacks play in both systems, the game could well be decided by a few crucial duels out wide.
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🏁 Bayer Leverkusen v Inter Ref Watch
- Referee – Slavko Vincic
- Slavo Vincic tends not to shy away from blowing his whistle, awarding an average of 25.38 fouls per game.
- Over his career, he’s dished out a more conservative average of 3.95 yellow cards
- Neither penalties nor red cards tend to be too prominent a feature in his games which have produced an average of 0.10 red cards and 0.15 penalties.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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