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Birmingham v Wrexham 10/1 Longshot

Birmingham v Wrexham 10/1 Longshot

Saturday 11 April, 20261 min read
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The best value player props from this match come from a centre back being underpriced to be fouled and a full back who has come back into the team with his shooting boots.

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Birmingham v Wrexham Longshot
  • Wrexham v Birmingham
  • Championship
  • 12:00
2 Selections @ 11.00

Dominic Hyam Over 1.5 Fouls Drawn @ 4.00

Dom Hyam plays centrally in Wrexham’s back three, which is usually the position where the fewest number of fouls occur. However, Hyam has been finding himself on the receiving end of quite a bit of foul play from physical strikers of late.

Birmingham don't quite offer that threat, but they do have the Duracell Bunny that is Jay Stansfield. His constant pressing and regular fouling makes this price on Hyam look attractive.

Hyam has been fouled 1.15 times per 90 over Wrexham's last 30 matches, but he has been fouled twice or more three times in his last five. Combining this with Stansfield, who is fouling at 1.75 per 90 over Birmingham's last 30 games, but with recent form of 3,4, and 3 fouls in his last three, and August Priske, who fouled twice in his last start, there looks to be some juice here.

Ethan Laird Over 1.5 Shots @ 2.62

From Laird's perspective now, he has returned from injury recently, but found his way back into the first XI quickly and is contributing from an attacking perspective.

He has hit two shots in three of his last five matches, and therefore is now averaging 1.65 shots per 90 on this season's data, so this price looks a bit big.

Especially so when we consider Birmingham’s shot volume at home. They average 17.4 shots at home per match, which is a whole eight more than their away average. Given that Laird is one of their attacking weapons of recent weeks, this suggests that he should be in for two or more shots on a regular basis, especially at St. Andrew’s.

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