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Bournemouth v Brentford
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Kick Off: Saturday 15th March at 17:30
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Competition: Premier League
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What TV Channel: Sky Sports Main Event
Bournemouth host Brentford at The Vitality Stadium as they hope to overturn their mixed form and record a vital 3 points to get within touching distance of European football next season.
Brentford themselves haven’t had the easiest run of it in recent matches, recording 8 losses, 3 draws, and only 4 wins across their last 15.
The reverse fixture was an exhilarating affair, which resulted in Brentford winning 3-2 despite the xG reading 1.48 – 2.61 in Bournemouth’s favour.
⭐ Bournemouth v Brentford Best Bet
Bournemouth’s league average of 2.58 cards per game implies a lot of value, especially considering the underlying stats behind this figure. No team have committed more fouls per 90 minutes than Bournemouth, who lead the league with 13.8.
The Cherries have received at least two cards in 11 of their last 12 league matches, with three or more in the majority of those fixtures.
Meanwhile, Brentford’s opponents average 2.14 cards per game, surpassing the 1.5 threshold in 19 of their 28 league outings.
🟢 Bournemouth v Brentford ABC Exclusive Boost
Bournemouth’s aggressive play style makes them strong candidates to dominate all three metrics.
They’ve committed more fouls than any other side, boasting 13.8 per game which is far superior to Brentford’s rate of 7.86 per game, which ranks second last in the league.
The Cherries also average 2.58 cards per match, far higher than Brentford’s 1.47 which is the fewest of any side.
This was evident in the reverse fixture, where Bournemouth picked up four bookings and 16 fouls, doubling Brentford’s tally of 2 cards from 8 fouls.
Bournemouth’s attacking approach and intense press also translates into corners, with the Cherries averaging 6.21 per game – one of the league’s highest.
Brentford, in contrast, manage just 4.57 while conceding a league-high 6.61 per match.
Bournemouth have hit at least six corners in each of their last four games, and with Brentford regularly conceding, that trend should continue.
👕 Bournemouth v Brentford Predicted XI
🔍 Bournemouth v Brentford Players to Watch
🔴 Nathan Collins
One of the standout value picks for Saturday is backing Nathan Collins to commit at least one foul.
The Brentford centre-back averages 0.75 fouls per 90 minutes in the league but has been a chronic sinner in recent matches, committing at least one foul in each of his last six.
Notably, he also tripped up in the reverse fixture earlier this season, making this a proven angle.
Adding to the case, Collins is set to face Evanilson, who has drawn 2.28 fouls per 90 – the highest rate of any regular Bournemouth player.
🔴 Yoane Wissa
Backing Yoane Wissa to hit the target at least once looks like a smart play, with his season average of 1.29 shots on target per 90 suggesting solid value at this price.
The Brentford forward has been a model of consistency in this market, registering at least one shot on target in eight of his last nine starts, including each of the previous four.
Bournemouth’s defensive record further strengthens the case. The Cherries have conceded an average of 4.93 shots on target per game in the Premier League, and Wissa already punished them with a brace in the reverse fixture.
⚫ Tyler Adams
Tyler Adams boasts a notoriously aggressive style of play and is good value to commit a foul.
The US international has averaged 2.15 fouls per 90 across all competitions, making this pricing surprisingly generous.
Adams has committed at least one foul in 11 of his last 12 appearances, with his recent disciplinary record particularly eye-catching – racking up seven fouls across his previous two outings alone.
He’s set to face Brentford’s Danish duo, Christian Nørgaard and Mikkel Damsgaard, who draw respectable averages of 1.03 and 0.89 fouls per 90, respectively.
📂 Bournemouth v Brentford Cheat Sheet
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We’ve also got Premier League Acca Tips and a 100/1 Mega Acca in-store for Saturday’s action. You can find all of Andy’s Football Tips here.
🔥 Bournemouth v Brentford Streaks
These are team selections that have landed in the last five Premier League games ↙️
Bournemouth 3+ shots on target
Bournemouth opponents 10+ shots
Bournemouth opponents 3+ shots on target
Bournemouth 3+ corners (6+ in 4/5)
Bournemouth 1+ cards (2+ in 4/5)
Bournemouth 14+ fouls committed (15+ in 4/5)
Bournemouth opponents 1+ cards (2+ in 4/5)
Brentford 12+ shots (13+ in 4/5)
Brentford 3+ shots on target
Brentford opponents 3+ corners (5+ in 4/5)
Brentford opponents 1+ cards
🏟️ Bournemouth v Brentford Hit Rates
These are player selections that have landed in each of the last five Premier League games ↙️
Tavernier 1+ fouls committed
Evanilson 1+ fouls won
Kluivert 1+ shots
Semenyo 1+ shots
Tavernier 1+ shots
Ouattara 1+ shots
Christie 1+ tackles
Collins 1+ fouls committed
Wissa 3+ shots
Mbuemo 1+ shots (2+ in 4/5)
Ajer 1+ tackles
Damsgaard 1+ tackles
🏁 Bournemouth v Brentford Ref Watch
- Referee – Craig Pawson
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.19 / 0.19 |
| Fouls Given | 23.25 |
| Penalties | 0.19 |
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
Our guide on How To Use A Cheat Sheet is the perfect way to get involved with our Bet Builder Stats tool, the best freely available data source for punting on the Championship.
Saturday’s slate will be covered with an EFL Accumulator, Early Kick-Off Predictions, Shots Tips, Fouls Predictions and Cards Accumulator Tips.
We recommend the Best Betting Sites For Accumulators, Top Bet Builder Sites, the best Premier League Free Bets, and Weekly Free Bet Clubs, all to ensure you bet smarter when backing our tips with the Best UK Sports Betting Sites.
Expert guides, such as this one on xG In Football, are also available to help you up your punting game.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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