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💎 Gem Bet: Patrick Bamford - Over 2.5 Shots

💎 Gem Bet: Michael Kayode - Over 0.5 Fouls Won

Tuesday 30 December, 20251 min read
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Andy Robson

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💎 Gem Bet: Michael Kayode - Over 0.5 Fouls Won @ 1.66 (Bet365)

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Kayode has been fouled in each of his last five Premier League appearances, winning multiple fouls in three of these games - including each of his last two matches against Bournemouth and Wolves, where he was fouled twice on both occasions.

He’s a very difficult player to knock off the ball and his record across the season as a whole reflects that trait with Kayode winning 21 fouls across his 18 Premier League appearances (1.20 per 90).

Kayode was fouled four times in the initial league meeting between these sides at the start of December which was the most of any player on the pitch, and also made more tackles than any other player (5) on that occasion - suggesting that Kayode will be heavily involved here for both fouls committed and fouls won.

I’d consider looking at higher lines as well here given that Kayode managed to win four fouls when Tottenham last played the Bees, and his recent promising record which has seen him be fouled twice in three of his last five matches. 

Kayode lined up against Kolo Muani in that game who committed two fouls. Thomas Frank appears to be persisting with Muani on the left wing, so we can expect him to face up against Kayode again here. Muani has committed 12 fouls across just nine starts in the Premier League this season (1.59 per 90).

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the exact same market is priced as low as 1.33 with other major bookmakers which seems a fairer price given Kayode’s recent and seasonal record. Kayode to win 2+ fouls is available at 4.00, with that line as low as 2.2 elsewhere. 



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Written by an Andy Robson

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