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Brighton v Liverpool
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Date: Sunday 8th October
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick off: 14:00
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
The televised 2pm game on Sunday is taking place at the Amex with Brighton hosting Liverpool. Interestingly Liverpool have only won one game against Brighton in the last three seasons, with Brighton winning three and the match ending in a draw on the other two occasions.
The hosts are currently sat sixth in the Premier League table, but will want to improve on last week’s performance where they lost 6-1 to Aston Villa. The Seagulls conceded nine shots on target, yet still had the majority of possession and took more corners than Villa.
Liverpool will be after redemption, and rightly so. The Reds picked up two red cards and had a very controversial VAR decision, which has since been put down as “human error”. Despite this, the nine men left on the pitch fought well into the dying embers of the game, holding on for over 25 minutes until Joel Matip, unfortunately, put the ball into his own net.
This article will dive into Brighton v Liverpool bet builder tips. These picks are supported by ABC’s Cheat Sheet, it is full of statistics to help build a world-class bet builder for this matchup – are you ready to see it?
We have prepared two exciting bet builder selections for this encounter. The Level 1 bet comes in at odds of 3/1 while the Level 2 bet builder is priced at 11/1.
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If you fancy a full breakdown of bet builder stats, head over to the Opta-powered Bet Builder Stats section of our website. It’s available for all Premier League, English Championship, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, and French Ligue 1 matches this weekend, meaning that we have you covered for your Brighton v Liverpool bet builder.
You can check out over £300 of free bets here, but we’re backing our bet builder on Betfair, to take advantage of the extremely generous sign-up offer below. Sign up to Betfair, back our 11/1 bet builder with £10, and you’ll get £121 cash in hand if it wins AND £40 in free football bet builders. It’s easy to set up – just click the banner below.
Brighton look strong for corners
In 12 of Brighton’s last 15 home matches, the Seagulls have taken more corners than their opponents, averaging 7.58 corners at home over the last calendar year. The last two times Brighton have hosted Liverpool they have also taken more corners, with De Zerbi clearly liking the set pieces.
Going even deeper, Brighton have only not managed to get four or more corners at home once in their last 15 matches at the Amex. They have managed five or more in 12 of these 15. They are priced generously at 1.65 to have five corners, and you can expect Brighton corners to feature somewhere in the bet builders below…
Brighton team news
The Seagulls are expected to be without Pervis Estupinán this week following him picking up a muscle injury. James Milner and Adam Lallana are both doubtful having sustained minor injuries. Finally, young talent Julio Enciso continues to suffer from a knee injury. He is expected to be out until January 2024.
Liverpool’s xG is through the roof
Liverpool sit at the top of the Premier League xG table. The Reds have racked up an impressive 15.69 xG over their opening seven games of the season. Even last weekend when playing with nine men, away, against Spurs they still managed 1.31 xG.
In Liverpool’s last 15 games, they have only not recorded over 1 xG in one game. However, they still won this game 2-1. Clearly, Liverpool’s goal threat is immense and will be something that Brighton, who have conceded an average of two goals per game so far this season, will struggle to contain.
Liverpool team news
Naturally, both Curtis Jones and Diogo Jota are unavailable for selection after picking up red cards last week. Cody Gakpo is looking doubtful too with an ankle injury having been subbed off as a precaution against Spurs. Finally, both Thiago Alcantara and Stefan Bajcetic are also doubtful to play on Sunday.
Brighton v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
Here it is. The Brighton v Liverpool Cheat Sheet. All the previously mentioned stats can be found on the Cheat Sheet, as well as much more. From referee card averages to player fouls drawn, everything you could want to help pick out your bets is included in the Cheat Sheet.
For more extensive bet builder info, make sure to head over to our Bet Builder Stats page, where we have Opta-powered statistical breakdowns of major leagues across the UK and Europe, including the Brighton v Liverpool game.
To make the most of our Brighton v Liverpool bet builder tips you can sign up to Betfair below. Stake up to £10 on your preferred option, and get £40 in free bet builders no matter what the result.
ABC’s 3/1 Brighton v Liverpool bet builder
⚽ Over 2.5 goals
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Odds: 1.30
This selection has landed in all of Brighton’s Premier League games so far this season. In fact, there has been at least four goals in all of Brighton’s games so far, averaging at 4.71 goals per match. This has been due to a combination of attacking prowess (they are currently the league leaders in terms of goals scored), and weak defensive capabilities (having failed to keep a clean sheet).
Over 2.5 goals has also landed in all of Liverpool’s games bar one: their season opener at Stamford Bridge. This has resulted in their average goals per match sitting at 3.29. Unsurprisingly, Mohamed Salah has been Liverpool’s best player in terms of attacking returns, with seven goal contributions already.
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🎯 Mo Salah to have 1+ shots on target
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Odds: 1.30
Salah has averaged 1.06 shots on target per game this season, taking 2.88 shots. This is slightly lower than his career averages, which sit at 1.45 shots on target and 3.23 shots respectively. He is also Liverpool’s penalty taker.
Brighton have conceded an average of 4.57 shots on target against. Liverpool can be expected to match this stat, especially since Salah will be attacking against Tariq Lamptey, Estupinán’s replacement, who is far less experienced in the Premier League.
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🚩 Over 7.5 corners
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Odds: 1.25
This selection has landed in Liverpool’s last ten matches, and in nine of Brighton’s last ten. Liverpool have been averaging 6.57 corners per game this season, whilst conceding 4.71. This works out to be a high average of 11.28 corners per match. As for Brighton, they have averaged 5.57 corners for and 4.57 corners against, working out to a total of 10.14 corners per game.
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🛑 Alexis Mac Allister to commit 2+ fouls
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Odds: 1.73
Alexis Mac Allister has been busy in terms of fouling stats for Liverpool so far this season. The Argentinian international has averaged 2.24 fouls per game since the start of the 2023/2024 Premier League season, according to the Brighton v Liverpool Cheat Sheet. This has also seen him accumulate three yellows and one red card.
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ABC’s 11/1 Brighton v Liverpool bet builder
⚽ Over 2.5 goals
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Odds: 1.30
If you were to break down the stats even further, you see that the Seagulls have been scoring, on average, 2.71 goals per game and conceding 2.00 goals against. The main threats up top in terms of goal contributions have been youngster Evan Ferguson (4), and Kaoru Mitoma (6). Both are predicted to start against Liverpool. They also have a weakened defence following Estupinán’s injury, increasing their chance of conceding.
Breaking down Liverpool’s average, we see that they have scored 2.29 goals per match and conceded 1.00. The Reds have also been poor defensively, having only kept one clean sheet so far this season in a 3-0 home victory against Villa.
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🎯 Mo Salah to have 1+ shots on target
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Odds: 1.30
This selection has landed in three out of the last four games Salah has played against Brighton. In one of these four Salah managed five shots with two on target, and in another he totalled seven shots, two being on target, also scoring a goal and picking up a Player of the Match award. It is safe to say he has a strong record against the Seagulls.
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🚩 Over 9.5 corners
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Odds: 1.85
Level 2 sees the match corners selection rise to over 9.5. This is due to both Brighton and Liverpool averaging over ten match corners across their seven Premier League games so far.
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🟨 Alexis Mac Allister to be shown a card
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Odds: 3.60
Level 2 sees the Mac Allister 2+ fouls selection change to him getting carded. Not only has he received the most cards out of any Liverpool player so far this season, but he is also expected to be defending against a Brighton attacking midfield unit that wins lots of fouls.
Mac Allister is expected to play right centre-mid, meaning he will have Kaoru Mitoma running at him. The Japanese winger has been on fire this season, and has drawn an average of 1.15 fouls per game across his career.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets *
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing
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