Leeds were in encouraging form in the weeks leading up to their FA Cup disappointment, with a seven match unbeaten streak. They pulled off some notable victories in that stretch, including a 2-1 win against Man United at Old Trafford. That surge in form has seen them establish daylight over the bottom three, and they will fancy their chances against a Burnley side who have already had their relegation confirmed. 

The Clarets have very little to play for this weekend, and their recent results reflect that. Scott Parker's side have won just once since October, and their away record this season has been dreadful. They have lost 12 of their 17 away matches this term - no side has suffered more defeats on their travels in the Premier League this season. 

Leeds haven’t been much better on the road, but their performances at Elland Road has made up for that - they have only lost five of their 17 home games this season. 

That includes a convincing 3.0 win against basement-dwellers Wolves in their last home outing, and this upcoming clash against Burnley promises to be a similar matchup. Despite going 2-0 after just 20 minutes against Rob Edwards’ men, Leeds kept pushing for goals - they racked up 17 shots and seven big chances worth 2.82 xG, and they managed five corners. 

Leeds have been effective at generating corners at Elland Road throughout the season, and they are averaging 5.67 corners per game at home this campaign. Given the context of the fixture, they will have to play with a progressive mindset once again, so that corner figure could rise further. 

Meanwhile, Burnley are averaging 5.97 corners conceded per game in the league this season, rising to 6.24 when playing away. They have been quite passive on their travels, so Leeds should be able to dominate. 

Bashir Humphreys is averaging just 0.83 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, which is nothing to write home about, but the nature of his infringements is what makes this market stand out. The 23-year-old has only committed 13 fouls this season for Burnley, but five of those have been worthy of a yellow card, which is an impressive rate. Humphreys tends to make cynical, last-ditch challenges when he finds himself out of position, which makes this card price stand out. 

Humphreys will be given a test this weekend against a Leeds side who will have to be front-footed. His main matchup will be against Calvert-Lewin, who is a physical presence up top for Leeds, while Okafor is always looking to beat his marker, bringing a different dynamic to the Leeds front line. Humphreys should have plenty of defensive work to get through this weekend. 

Zian Flemming has been one of Burnley's more active players when it comes to fouls, and his numbers when playing away are particularly notable. The Dutchman is averaging 2.49 fouls per 90 in the Premier League this season, and that figure jumps to 3.31 when playing on the road, where he has landed this selection in each of his last six successive away appearances. He has been fortunate to escape with just one booking in that stretch, which shows how his fouls tend to be quite soft, rather than cynical. 

Fleming draws an excellent matchup to keep improving those numbers against Leeds here, as they tend to be much better at controlling possession when playing at home. Leeds were fouled 17 times by Wolves in their last home outing, and Flemming recorded two infringements in the reverse fixture.

With Leeds expected to dominate the corner count and look to send the ball into the box at every available opportunity, their big men at the back are a target here. Pascal Struijk has established himself as the primary aerial threat from set-piece situations for Farke's side, particularly with Rodon doubtful to feature due to injury.

The Dutchman is averaging 1.18 shots per 90 at Elland Road this season, which is impressively high for a centre back, and he registered two shots against Burnley in the reverse fixture. Although neither hit the target, it shows how he was able to find success in the Clarets’ box.

Burnley have shown a weakness when it comes to defending set-pieces this season, and Struijk is exactly the kind of physical presence that will cause them problems whenever Leeds deliver the ball into the box. 

Humphreys was absent for the reverse fixture against Leeds this season, but he was actually sent off on his last visit to Elland Road, which was when these sides met in the Championship last season. Jaidon Anthony was also booked in that game, and he has an impressive foul record against Leeds. 

The winger has racked up six infringements in his three appearances in this matchup, including two fouls in the reverse fixture back in October. Anthony looks set for a busy afternoon this weekend, as he will be on the same flank as Jayden Bogle and James Justin - two players who like to have the ball at their feet. 

Anthony is averaging 0.93 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season when playing away, but he has recorded at least one infringement in 12 of his last 14 starts on the road. 

Noah Okafor has been in excellent form for Leeds in recent weeks, and the Swiss international has been one of the main contributors to their survival push. The 24-year-old scored twice against Man United at Old Trafford, before following that up with another goal against Wolves. Although he failed to hit the target against Bournemouth in his last league match, Okafor was unfortunate to be denied by the woodwork - he has been a constant threat in the final third this season, and this is an excellent matchup for him against Burnley. 

Okafor is averaging 2.6 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, and he recently landed this selection against Wolves at Elland Road at Elland Road. He is averaging 1.98 shots per 90 in the league this season, but 42% of those efforts have hit the target, highlighting how he tends to be efficient with his chances.