Chelsea have brought in Graham Potter and are yet to lose after 7 matches, however, recent performances against Brentford and Aston Villa show there is plenty to improve, regardless of results. Potter has constantly changed his starting eleven and formation since taking over, however there are a few constants. It is nearly always a back three, Trevoh Chalobah is now an important member of the defence, Thiago Silva is key to Potter and Mason Mount is one of their only players who may consider himself a guaranteed starter. Potter needs to work out his squad fast as Chelsea need to take any points they can before the break for the World Cup, so that they have a genuine chance of top 4 when they come back on Boxing Day.
Manchester United have quietly found some really good form but off field issues still dominate the headlines. The problems with Ronaldo continued in midweek when he refused to come on and then left the stadium early. Ten Hag has clearly stated that Ronaldo will not be in the squad this weekend due to his actions and it is interesting whether the other players will be affected by this. The rest of the team are in good form, summer signings are settled in now and making an impact and Manchester United fans will be quietly confident coming into this one.
Chelsea v Manchester United Bet Builder Tips
Over 3.5 Cards
Manchester United are the most carded team per match so far this season with 2.8 per 90 and Chelsea are the 5th most carded team with 2.4 cards per 90. Chelsea also drew the 5th most fouls in the Premier League this season so both teams love a card. The referee for this match is Stuart Attwell. Attwell has averaged 4.13 cards per 90 so far this season and in the last 6 matches he has refereed involving Chelsea or Manchester United, 5 have had at least 4 yellow cards.
Since Potter has come in Chelsea haven’t become a nicer team that don’t commit fouls. In his 7 matches in charge so far, his team’s matches have averaged 4.14 cards per 90. There is a lot on the line in this match as well. Both fans know that the top 3 already looks cemented with Arsenal, City and Spurs all looking very strong. This means this game is huge in the battle for the final top 4 spot, these two know a win here will not only put them in a great position ahead of the other team but also keep them ahead of the quickly improving Liverpool. This will create a feisty atmosphere and so I would expect some big tackles, therefore I am backing over 3.5 cards in this match.
Thiago Silva to have 1+ Shot
Manchester United have been much improved since that horrific start to the season. Since the embarrassing 4-0 loss to Brentford they have won 9 of their 12 matches, only losing to Manchester City and Real Sociedad. The biggest problem though for Manchester United may be their defending at set pieces. They have conceded the 3rd most shots of any team in the league from dead ball situations, giving away 25 shots in 10 matches this season.
In a match between two very equal teams it can often be a set piece that decides the result and I think Graham Potter will target this area. He has already improved Chelsea from set pieces this season, his Brighton team scored the 4th most goals of any team from dead balls last season and they are hardly a team of tall players. With Chelsea Potter is spoilt for choice with tall centre backs that are good in the air, but captain Thiago Silva looks to be one of his favourite players already. Silva has had a shot in 3 of Chelsea’s last 4 matches including 3 in one match against AC Milan. Chelsea often target him from set pieces and against one of the weakest teams at defending set pieces he is good odds to have a shot in this match.
Bruno Fernandes to have 1+ Shot on Target
Bruno Fernandes is beginning to rediscover the form that lit up the Premier League when he first joined Manchester United. His goal in his last match against Spurs was a beauty and Ten Hag is starting to get the best out of him. Fernandes has been hitting plenty of shots on target all season. Since the embarrassing loss to Brentford, he has at least 1 shot on target in 8 of his 11 matches in all competitions for Manchester United where he has played at least 60 minutes.
In Chelsea’s last 2 matches, their opposition have created at least 40% of their xG from attacks through the centre of the pitch. This is clearly an area of the pitch in which Chelsea allow chances from and this suits Fernandes. He will occupy these positions in the centre of the pitch and will push far forwards. After problems in midweek, Ronaldo will not be in the squad for this weekend. For Fernandes, this means he is on penalties and free-kicks which only presents further opportunity for Fernandes to hit the target. Bruno looks to be coming into his best form again and I expect this to continue in this match so I am backing him to have a shot on target.
Antony to have 3+ Shots
Eyebrows were certainly raised when Manchester United splashed out £85 million to sign Antony from Ajax. The Brazilian has quickly settled into Premier League life with 3 goals so far, but his all round attacking play has impressed most. He has plenty of shots for Manchester United, he has averaged 4.04 per 90, this puts him in the top 3% of wingers in Europe’s top 5 leagues. In 5 Premier League matches he has had at least 3 shots in 4 of them and he often has even more shots against the top teams. He had 3 shots against Arsenal, 4 shots against Spurs and 5 against Manchester City. His average shot distance is 19.9 yards away from goal, this shows he does not need an invitation to shoot, he is happy to shoot from range and over 50% of his shots are from outside the box. Up against a wing-back in this match with Dalot bombing on, Antony can use this 2v1 to create chances for himself so I expect him to have plenty of shots again in this match.
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How to watch Chelsea v Manchester United in the Premier League?
📅 When is Chelsea v Manchester United? / Saturday, 22nd October 2022, 5:30PM
🏟 Where is Chelsea v Manchester United? / Stamford Bridge (London)
📺 What TV channel is Chelsea v Manchester United on? / Sky Sports Main Event
🟨 …And who is the referee for Chelsea v Manchester United? / S. Attwell 🏴