💎 Gem Bet: Marc Guehi - Over 0.5 Fouls Won
Andy Robson
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💎 Gem Bet: Marc Guehi - Over 0.5 Fouls Won @ 1.80 (bet365)
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I like the look of this gem at 1.80 with bet365, both Paddy Power and SkyBet have the same selection priced at 1.44.
A key approach when targeting the player to be fouled market is to prioritise areas of the pitch where their opponents regularly commit offences.
In Brentford’s forward line we have exactly that, as they’ve fouled their opposing centre backs a combined 18 times across their last nine games. The physical approach of Igor Thiago, Dango Ouattara and Kevin Schade, who are committing 6.24 fouls between them per 90, means we simply have to back Palace defenders.
Eagles centre back Marc Guehi has drawn 0.95 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season and has been fouled 10 times across his last seven appearances.
He plays on the left of Palace’s back three, and given that left-sided central defenders have been fouled in each of Brentford’s last four games, he looks a nice price to draw at least one.
Written by an Andy Robson
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