Returning from a suspension, Silvan Widmer knows that unless he gets sent off, he will not be suspended again in this tournament as yellow cards are reset after this round.

He has committed four fouls in the tournament so far, at least one in each group stage match, and he should be up against Bukayo Saka, or, potentially, Luke Shaw in this match if Gareth Southgate decides to go with a back three system as has been suggested in the media.

Saka is one of the most regularly fouled players in the Premier League, he was the fifth-most fouled in the season just gone, and Widmer has a track record of being a consistent fouler, averaging over 1.3 fouls per match in a Switzerland shirt.

This leg does depend on the team news somewhat, but Trent Alexander-Arnold is likely to be favoured to play in that right wing-back role if the shape is changed by Southgate.

If he does play then he could continue his record of taking shots for England. When he played in central midfield in the first two group games he got off three shots in the opening match, all from that similar inside right channel, outside of the box position.

That is a position still open for him to move into now, and he could easily let fly from there in open play. However, he also showed that when he was on the pitch, he was the man for free-kicks in this team.

He averages 1.48 shots per 90 for England over England’s last 30 internationals.

The Swiss central midfielder is a key cog in the machine.

He has committed nine fouls in the tournament so far, and only once slipped below the two fouls per game line that has been picked out here.

Freuler will have lots of targets to go for in the England midfield. Bellingham is a duels machine at the moment, fouling and receiving fouls alike, three fouls being won by the Real Madrid man in the last match alone. However, Declan Rice and Kobbie Mainoo are also very good on the ball as well as never giving in on a physical duel.

Freuler has the highest fouls per 90 minutes rate in the Swiss team, and it could be a match which does see a number of fouls because of the tension and the tactical setup of the teams.

The Manchester United man should be in line to keep his place in the starting XI, despite the planned change of tactics for England.

If he does start the match then he looks a really good price to take at least one shot. Mainoo has done this on the three occasions that he has started for England so far, shooting once against Belgium and once against Iceland in friendlies, and then twice against Slovakia in the round of 16 match.

Mainoo has spoken out in the media about developing the goals side of his game and how much he would love to score for England. There is no better time to do it than the business end of a major tournament, and he tends to take up the right positions around the edge of the box to be able to get a shot away if the chance comes.

This is an even money shot which feels fairly generous.

Ndoye has surpassed this mark in all of his matches so far, and although England are usually solid enough in defence to not concede many shots, Denmark certainly were able to test them by firing off 16 shots in that group match.

Ndoye has really established himself as a key threat for Switzerland, starting every match so far and shooting four times against Italy, twice against Germany (despite Switzerland only shooting four times in total), four against Scotland, and three against Hungary.

Ndoye is yet to finish a match, but he does tend to get at least 75 minutes to do his damage in. He is excellent on the break, but with enough acceleration and technique to do his work in tight spaces as well.

The basis of this bet is that England could be playing in an unfamiliar system against a team that plays a very similar system very well.

Danger arrives when two teams are playing similar systems and a man is beaten in some way. This can happen against Switzerland if a player like Dan Ndoye breaks a line and gets away, it is panic stations to try and stop him.

The one-v-one battles all over the pitch could lead to fouls as well, and though England aren’t traditionally a high foul team under Gareth Southgate, they can certainly produce them, given some encouragement by the referee.

Daniele Orsato is the referee for this match and he is a regular whistle blower, giving out an average of 26 fouls in his three Euro championship games so far.