I really like Thierno Barry, but he’s very clumsy. He’s still developing as a striker and learning to use his body, a bit like Liam Delap on the opposite side of the contest, leading to the Everton forward committing a foul in each of his last five Premier League appearances - committing multiple fouls in two of these games.

I was drawn to this selection because of how Chelsea have been setting up under Liam Rosenior. The former Strasbourg boss wants his side to build with a back three, meaning that Barry will be outnumbered as Everton’s lone striker in this contest. Across the season as a whole, Barry has committed 37 fouls across his 19 starts in the Premier League (2.04 per 90).

Everton committed 11 fouls when these sides met earlier in the season, Barry didn’t commit a foul on that occasion, but only had 11 touches of the ball - so he should get more opportunities to commit fouls here given that Everton are the home side. 

Barry is so good in the air, he wins around 6.50 aerial duels per game - and this is a notable weakness of the current Chelsea backline, who are expected to be without Colwill and Chalobah for this clash. This pair are Chelsea’s two best centre backs, so Barry should feel encouraged to throw his weight around a bit against an inexperienced and rotated Chelsea backline. 

There is clear value here when backing with bet365, the exact same market is priced as low as 1.25 with other major bookmakers.