Georgia have not had much success against Greece in the past, something they’ll need to put to the back of their minds to progress.

Georgia haven’t defeated Greece in their history, losing seven of nine against Tuesday’s visitors. Georgia’s home form in this matchup is just as pitiful, tasting defeat in all four home meetings with Greece. Never have they met with so much up for grabs which will certainly make this a close run thing, but Greece remain the stronger side.

Greece have lost just three of their last 11, with two of those losses coming against France and the Netherlands. The Ethniki picked up six victories in that period and an impressive draw with France. Greece put Kazakhstan to the sword in the semi-finals with a 5-0 win, showcasing their potential in the final third.

Georgia are certainly not dismissible in this affair, losing just one of their last five games and having an identical record to Tuesday’s visitors in their last five (W3, D1, L1). However, their trio of wins in that period came against poorer opposition in the form of Luxembourg, Cyprus and Thailand.

Greece are rightful favourites heading into this one, and they are worth considering at an odds-against price to get the job done in 90 minutes.

We could be in for an entertaining matchup in this play-off final, with both sides boasting prolific attacking units in the lead-up to this clash.

Georgia average 3.50 total goals per game across their last 20 matches, 2.10 goals for and 1.40 goals against per game in that period. They have scored 2+ goals in each of their last four home outings, they also scored away at Spain and Norway during their Euro Qualifiers.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in six of Georgia’s last seven outings and four of their last five home games. Both teams scored in six of their eight matches in their Euro Qualifier group stage campaign and this also looks a strong selection considering their opposition.

Greece have also been on good goalscoring form, netting at least twice in four of their last five, and a rampant 5-0 victory in the last round will certainly build confidence for the Ethniki.

Greece have recorded only two clean sheets from their last 11 games on the road, and Georgia have scored in 11 of their last 12 home games so both teams to get on the scoresheet looks an inviting bet.

Georgia’s star man returns for the final having missed their last encounter through suspension and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will certainly be his side’s biggest threat on Tuesday.

The Napoli winger is enjoying another top season in Italy picking up ten league goals from his 27 outings this campaign. He has also scored in three consecutive matches for Georgia during the group stages for the Euro Qualifiers, netting four goals in that time.

Kvaratskhelia has registered a massive 101 shots so far this season for Napoli, an impressive 4.19 per 90. This trigger-happy tendency continues for his country as he has racked up 16 shots across his last five games for Georgia. He has hit the target in all but one of those contests and is averaging 1.49 shots on target per 90 for Napoli. We expect him to continue his shooting form in this one.

Fostis Ioannidis has also been having a fine season, with the Panathinaikos striker picking up 12 goals from 21 matches in the Greek Super League and scoring in all of his last four starts for club and country.

Ioannidis has five goals in his last four and managed to pick up Greece’s third against Kazakhstan last time out, scoring with his only attempt at goal. He was substituted in the 63rd minute almost certainly to rest him for this tie.

Ioannidis has registered at least one shot on target in all of his last 5 matches, and with the form he is in we expect him to test Georgia here too at a very generous price.

The inherent attacking attitude of these two has birthed a tendency for high corner totals.

Greece have seen a total of at least 10 corners in each of their last five games, a selection that landed in all but two of their games in the group stages.

Greece often utilise the width provided by their full backs and wingers, of whom are both great attacking assets for club and country, which naturally brings corners. They’re likely to dominate possession here and press intently which should further their potential for more corners.

Georgia‘s fixtures haven’t witnessed as much consistency in the corners department compared to their Tuesday opponents, but this game could end up being a bit more open than the markets anticipate.

There have been 8+ corners in three of Georgia’s last four home matches and Greece’s pressure should force them into facing a few defensive corners. A Greece corner match bet could prove good value for those looking for longer odds bet builders.

With this matchup being such a momentous occasion, both teams will be fired up and ready to do whatever is necessary to qualify for Euro 2024. Combined with the hostile atmosphere this could certainly prove to be a very ill-tempered final.

Georgia’s 2-0 win over Luxembourg in the semi-finals saw ten yellow cards and a red brandished.

Greece have picked up 2+ bookings in six of their eight group stage games – the only exceptions being their destructive victories over Gibraltar.

And to complete the recipe, referee Szymon Marciniak is averaging just over 4.50 cards per game this season, distributing 141 bookings and three reds across 31 appearances this season.