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Northern Ireland v Germany Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Northern Ireland v Germany Bet Builder Tips & Match Preview

Sunday 12 October, 20253 min read
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After a confident and important home win over Slovakia on Friday night, World Cup qualification is every much in Northern Ireland’s own hands. Whilst it may be a stretch to suggest that this will be a straightforward assignment, Michael O’Neill’s men will have confidence that they can get something from this match that will strengthen their qualification claims.

If you want more stats ahead of this clash in World Cup Qualification, you can get them from the Northern Ireland v Germany Betting Stats.

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Northern Ireland v Germany Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Northern Ireland v Germany
  • World Cup Qualifying
  • 19:45
4 Selections @ 5.50

Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57

German international matches tend to carry a high goal average. Their last 30 matches average 3.16 goals per match; removing friendlies increases the average to 3.39. These goals are highly skewed towards Germany, 2.33 v 1.06.

The return leg ended 3-1 to Germany, which demonstrated two things: that Germany are a strong attacking unit that can score goals against this Northern Irish defence, but also that Northern Ireland are able to contribute to the scoreline as well.

Indeed, their goals against Slovakia made it the tenth international in a row in which Northern Ireland had scored. They have no reason to hold back here; any positive result would be huge for their chances of qualifying for the World Cup. This could also help Germany as well as Northern Ireland, though, so they will have to find the right balance.

Over 3.5 Cards @ 1.66

This is going to be a highly competitive game in a really charged atmosphere at one of the most atmospheric stadiums you will find for international football. Tickets have been like gold dust for this match.

There were five cards in the return leg of this match, four for Northern Ireland and one for Germany. With even more on the line this time, it would not be unusual to expect at least a repeat of that total.

There is also a willing referee to partner this theory. Jesus Gil Manzano, like most Spanish referees, has a strong card record. He averages five yellow cards (4.98) per match across his long career. That average is a bit lower for international matches, but even just taking Manzano's current season international matches, he is averaging over 3.5 cards per game.

The match-up between the competitive match and the card-heavy referee is a good one for this card line.

Ethan Galbraith to Commit 1+ Fouls @ 1.36

Galbraith is predicted to start despite having to come off in the second half of the Slovakia match.

With Galbraith likely to start, we can have a look at his fouls record. He has committed at least one foul in all of Northern Ireland's World Cup qualifiers, two against Slovakia last time out, one in Germany, and one in Luxembourg.

He averages 1.31 fouls per 90 over Northern Ireland’s last 30 matches, albeit Galbraith only began starting matches for his country in the November international break last season.

With the way I expect the match to pan out, Galbraith is likely to be expected to be one of the keys in chasing down and winning the ball back from a higher field position. This could lead to at least one foul for the Swansea midfielder.

Justin Devenny to have 1+ Shots @ 1.53

The Crystal Palace midfielder has made a great impression in his brief international career so far.

He has just broken into the first team; this will be his fourth competitive start in a row, and although he didn't have a shot in the match in Hamburg, he has taken shots in the other qualifiers.

Indeed, Devenny was a driving force in the opening stages of the Slovakia match, getting two shots on target in the opening half. He also fired off two shots against Luxembourg in the opening qualifier.

We have to expect Northern Ireland to fire off more shots against Germany in Belfast than the three they managed in Hamburg, and if so, then Devenny has a great chance to be a part of that, whether he plays left wing-back or central midfield.

He averages 1.58 shots per 90 across his last 50 matches across his time with Northern Ireland and Crystal Palace.

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📂 Northern Ireland v Germany Cheat Sheet

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📈 Northern Ireland v Germany Form & Tactics

Northern Ireland are currently ranked #72 in the FIFA rankings, which is a long way from their high of #20 in 2017, but also a long way from their nadir in the hundreds as well.

We can now confidently say that this is an improving Northern Ireland. Whilst a first appearance at a major tournament since Euro 2016 would be the best way to confirm this, the Nations League promotion into the second tier, and now wins over Luxembourg and Slovakia, in this World Cup qualification group, would be the best way to confirm this.

Northern Ireland have scored in nine consecutive internationals now, which is impressive for a nation that, for a long time, struggled in front of goal. However, they have also conceded twelve in their last six matches as well.

Germany are always one of the giants of international football. They are the clear favourites for qualification from the group still, despite a surprise defeat in Slovakia on the opening round of matches. Since then, they have beaten Northern Ireland very comfortably 3-1 in Hamburg, and then followed that up with an even more dominant 4-0 win at home to Luxembourg.

More generally, Germany won their Nations League A group, but lost in the semi-finals to Portugal.

There have been lots of goals in German international matches recently. It has been nine internationals since there were fewer than two goals in a match involving Germany. BTTS has landed in five of those nine matches, including the previous meeting with Northern Ireland. Germany managed to hit 31 shots in their match with Luxembourg last time out, though they only managed 11 against Northern Ireland.


📔 Northern Ireland v Germany Formation & Team News

Michael O’Neill is more than likely to deploy his favoured 3-5-2 again here, though it is more likely to be a 5-3-2 in practice for this match. This could prompt a change in personnel with Justin Devenny, who has been excellent at left wing-back, potentially being moved into his more natural central midfield spot.

Ethan Galbraith had to come off with a knock against Slovakia, so he may be a doubt for this match, which would facilitate the move into midfield for Devenny suggested above. Conor Bradley, however, also earned a suspension in the match, so Brodie Spencer is more likely to fill in for Bradley.

Germany are likely to field a 4-2-3-1 system with an all-Premier League central attacking unit of Newcastle's Nick Woltemade and Liverpool's Florian Wirtz. Joshua Kimmich produced a man of the match display against Luxembourg from a nominal right-back position; he could be asked to repeat that role here.

However, Germany played a 3-4-3 against Northern Ireland in their meeting last month, and that resulted in a comfortable victory, so there are different looks that Julian Nagelsmann could prepare here.


Football Predictions at Andy's Bet Club

You can keep up with our Football Betting Tips all weekend, including World Cup 2026 Predictions, Accumulator Tips, and Gem Bets.

We have plenty of coverage for Monday's World Cup Qualification fixtures, with Bet Builder Tips of Wales v Belgium and Iceland v France, as well as a World Cup Qualifiers Acca.

For more betting tips, we have a Both Teams To Score Acca and Over 2.5 Goals Acca.

We recommend both the Betfair Sign Up Offer and bet365 Sign Up Offer, and there's a list of all the best New Bookmaker Offers here.



* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.

* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.


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