💎 Gem Bet: Christian Pulisic - Over 1.5 Shots @ 1.53 (Bet365)

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Pulisic has been one of Milan’s best players this season with the American leading the squad in goal contributions (4 goals, 2 assists). He’s overachieved his xG + xA of 3.80 to register this tally and can be a threat against Milan’s city rivals here.

Massimiliano Allegri has changed the setup of Milan to a 3-5-2 shape with Rafael Leao and Christian Pulisic spearheading the attack. This has been a successful shift with Milan offering much more of an attacking threat than they did last season - they’ve netted 17 goals across their 11 matches and are averaging 13.36 shots across these fixtures.

Pulisic has had 10 shots across his 344 minutes of football in Serie A this season (2.62 per 90) with his shot output benefitting from being one of two forwards that Milan opt for to lead the line. Pulisic was just as key for Milan last season with 20 goal contributions across his 34 appearances, averaging 2.06 shots per 90 across the entirety of the campaign.

A possible concern with this angle is Pulisic’s fitness as he can be a tad unreliable and has only lasted 60 minutes or more in three of his appearances in Serie A. However, Sub on Play On means that our selection is likely to roll over to Christopher Nkunku who is usually Pulisic’s replacement if he is hooked early. Nkunku has had five shots across his seven appearances for Milan so far (1.79 per 90) and was a consistent shot threat for Chelsea last term (2.47 per 90).

There is decent value with this selection when backing with Bet365, the same market is priced around 1.2 with other major bookmakers.