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Juventus v PSV Bet Builder Tips
Our expert has put together two bet builders for this Tuesday’s Champions League fixture, level 1 is 3/1 and level 2 is 5/1. You can also check out our Champions League accumulator tips that is priced at 72/1.
Bet builder predictions that are eligible for Paddy Power Super Sub will be marked with this emoji ‘🔄️’.
3/1 Juventus v PSV Bet Builder Level 1
5/1 Juventus v PSV Bet Builder Level 2
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Level 1 Bet Builder Tip
🚀 Teun Koopmeiners to have 2+ shots
📈 Odds: 1.36
Having spent pretty much the entirety of the summer chasing after the Atalanta ace, Juventus finally got their man who played his first full 90 for Juventus in their 0-0 stalemate with Empoli.
Although he’s capable of playing as a 6, 8 and 10, it looks likely he’ll uptake the latter of those roles against PSV given Juventus’ abundance of more defensive-minded depth to play behind him.
Against Empoli he took three shots, two coming from outside the penalty area and one from a tight angle around the six-yard box. This mix of close and long-range efforts is pretty typical of the Dutchman who fired off 22 shots from outside the box last season and 32 from inside. Recently, Juventus have had difficulties breaking teams down in Serie A making Koopmeiners varied skill set even more useful.
He’s averaged over 1.85 shots in his last two league seasons and that’s despite being shuffled around various more defensive midfield positions under Gian Piero Gasperini. Provided he’s once more afforded more freedom to get forward, he should have no problem hitting this benchmark.
🚩 Over 7.5 corners
📈 Odds: 1.20
With Juventus still adjusting to life under Thiago Motta, they’ve had pretty mixed results themselves in the corner market so we’ve opted to go for a match total of eight, generously priced at 1.25.
The home sides’ last two matches have seen 10 and 12 corners taken with Juventus conceding four in each of their last three games. That’s pretty in line with their average from last season which amounted to over 9.6 corners per 90. Thiago Motta’s Bologna was not far off from this figure, with their matches witnessing an average of 8.7 corners per game. Motta has made it clear he intends on tactically replicating his setup from his time there, with Juventus so there needn’t be a concern that his strategic ideal has changed too significantly.
PSV on the other hand have recorded some seriously impressive numbers in the corners department this season. Each of their five matches have surpassed the 7.5 mark, contributing to an average of 12 per 90. PSV themselves have won the vast majority of them, accumulating 42 of the 60 in question.
🥅 Under 3.5 goals
📈 Odds: 1.30
There’s no question that backing a low-scoring affair is relying on Juventus being able to implement their game plan but this doesn’t seem like a stretch given they’ve managed it in all four league matches and are playing at home.
Thiago Motta’s entire system revolves around a solid defence and if any team in Europe have managed that, it’s Juventus. They’ve kept four clean sheets in their four games and have conceded just 2.03xGa. Although they scored three in each of their first two games, since then it’s been two 0-0 stalemates for the Turin side who have been finding breaking down opposition defences challenging.
As for PSV, their last two games have resulted in under 3.5 goals and although their matches are typically high-scoring affairs, Peter Bosz will be well aware that setting up against Juventus the same way he did against RKC Waalwijk and Almere City could be catastrophic. A draw would be a tremendous result for the Dutch side and they have little reason to throw the kitchen sink at Juventus who can be deadly on the counter.
🎯 Luuk de Jong to have 1+ shots on target 🔄️
📈 Odds: 1.57
Backing Luuk de Jong for a shot on target could prove profitable and there’s plenty of evidence to back it up.
The Dutch forward has tested the keeper in all four of his Eredivisie matches (45+ mins) despite coming off early in three of them. He averaged over 2 shots on target per 90 last season but we think 1 is a better benchmark given the tougher opposition he’ll encounter.
That’s not to say he won’t be up for it and we can cite his performance last season in the Champions League to make sure. In the UCL (including qualifiers), Luuk de Jong averaged a shot on target every 67 minutes including two against Dortmund and Sevilla.
As airtight as Juventus’ defence has been, they still conceded three shots on goal last time out against Empoli who you’d think would create less opportunities than PSV.
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Level 2 Bet Builder Tip
🎯 Dusan Vlahovic to have 2+ shots on target
📈 Odds: 1.80
Although it’s been a slightly turbulent start to the season for Vlahovic, he’s still been effective in the shots on target market, testing the keeper six times so far.
He averaged over 1,5 shots on target per 90 last season and relished the opportunity in the Champions League the season before, averaging 1.74 per game. Perhaps part of the reason he found it easier in Europe was escaping the traditionally defensive Catennacio-inspired mentalities which are so commonplace in Serie A. PSV represent quite the opposite and Vlahovic should receive plenty of opportunities to fire a few at goal.
Last season, PSV averaged 5.75 shots on target conceded in their UCL clashes with Dortmund and Arsenal who represented some of the stronger teams they came across. Rangers were also able to fire five at goal when they hosted PSV contributing to an average of 5.2 shots on target against in away matches.
❌ Both teams to score – No
📈 Odds: 2.00
PSV has kept clean sheets in each of their last two Eredivisie matches, conceding just one shot on target in their last three. Given Juventus have been unable to score in their last two games, accumulating no more than four shots on goal, it’s possible they may have a tough time breaking PSV down.
At the other end of the pitch, Thiago Motta has seemingly rendered Juventus’ defence impenetrable with the Bianconneri yet to concede in Serie A after four games. Across them all, they’ve allowed their opposition to accumulate no more than 2.03xG with no team exceeding 1 in a single match. This is clearly very much part of Motta’s philosophy which led to Bologna conceding just 32 goals last season, fewer than Milan, Roma, Lazio, Napoli and many other top clubs.
Although Juventus are probably the more likely of the sides to keep a clean sheet, their problems decomposing the opposition ensure that this selection could win one of two ways with neither being unrealistic.
🚩 Over 3.5 PSV corners
📈 Odds: 1.57
As defensively sound as Juventus have been, it’s not been enough to prevent them conceding four corners in each of their last three games. They did not come up against a whole lot of pressure in any of them, indicating this by no means a requirement for this selection to win.
Juventus conceded an average of over 4.5 corners last season with Bologna recording a similar figure so there’s no reason to suggest it’s too high a benchmark for their clash with PSV.
PSV themselves have averaged 9.6 corners taken per 90 in The Eredivisie and will certainly fancy their chances at managing at least half of that on Tuesday. In The Champions League, the Dutch side won four or more corners in seven of their eight games last season, including all of the away ones.
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