Lens v Toulouse
Lens have shown this season that they are a club with a toolkit to get the job done in a variety of manners. On Friday, when they host Toulouse, they will have to use all the tricks they know to get a victory because of offensive injury issues. Crucially, frontline striker Lois Openda looks unlikely to play because of bone bruising, while potential replacement Adam Buksa is a concern with ankle trouble.
This is not a team that is playing well offensively at present in any case. In their last seven games, they have scored only five goals. The flip side of this is that they are defending expertly. During this run, they have leaked only twice, including one penalty. Look for that defensive strength to be allowed to come to the fore in this game, with head coach Franck Haise liable to play in a more pragmatic fashion.
Toulouse, meanwhile, have been involved in far higher scoring matches lately. Indeed, their last five fixtures have seen both teams score and have produced a total of 20 goals. However, all of these fixtures came against sides that are weak defensively. Combined, their opponents in the last five match days average 21.8 goals against this season. Lens have conceded only 11. This is far lower than any of TFC’s recent rivals, with the exception of Lyon, who have conceded 16. The score in that game? 1-1.
Odds of 2.3 on under 2.5 look very generous, but backing under 3.5 gives some extra security.
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