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Luton v Everton
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Kick Off: Friday 3rd May at 20:00
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Below is a full betting preview ahead of this Friday’s clash between Luton and Everton, accompanied by betting tips, predictions, team news, and best bets as well as a Cheat Sheet covering the proceedings.
We will have all the best football tips and predictions for the upcoming games and we’ll be covering our usual Premier League betting tips and Premier League accumulator predictions on Andy’s Bet Club, including new additions such as our both teams to score tips, and player shots on target tips.
We have also tracked all the best free bets for UK customers and the best bet builder bookmakers, to ensure our readers are getting the best value for money.
Luton are running out of time to save their Premier League skin and the relegation-threatened Hatters play the first of their last three fixtures of the campaign when they host Everton at Kenilworth Road on Friday evening.
Town’s form has collapsed since February, leaving them on the cusp of the drop after just a single season in the top-flight, though a victory for Rob Edwards’ troops in Bedfordshire on Friday would lift them out of the bottom three ahead of the weekend’s other Premier League fixtures.
Everton, meanwhile, have already secured their top tier status and can play without pressure from now until the summer, though the Merseysiders will still be determined to win at Kenilworth Road having already been toppled twice by Town this term.
Luton v Everton Best Bets
➡️ Luton double chance @ 1.50 on Betfair
➡️ Both teams to score @ 1.57 on Betfair
➡️ Carlton Morris to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.36 on Betfair
📂 Luton v Everton Cheat Sheet
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets to look for player fouls won stats or any other markets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Luton v Everton match stats, on my bet builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚔️ Luton v Everton Head-to-Head
Everton’s successful pursuit of Premier League safety has been powered by four wins in their last four home assignments in the division, however, while Goodison Park has become something of a late-season fortress for the Toffees, Luton managed to win twice there earlier in the campaign.
The newly-promoted Hatters travelled to Merseyside for their fourth away game of the season back on September 30th and duly delivered their first win on the road and their first victory overall, recording a surprise 2-1 win over Sean Dyche’s Side.
That triumph could be listed in the “smash and grab” category however, after Everton lodged 23 shots to Luton’s nine and posted an xGF figure of 2.90 to the Hatters’ 0.90.
Luton looked even more comfortable in their surroundings when they returned to Goodison Park for a 4th Round FA Cup tie in January. Again, the Hatters managed to edge out Everton 2-1, though they matched their hosts for shots on that occasion (14-14), won more corners (7-4), and scored a 95th-minute winner through Cauley Woodrow.
Aided by the clever passing of former Evertonian Ross Barkley, Luton also kept the ball better than Everton in that cup clash, posting a possession figure of 54.3% in their success.
Interestingly, just three players were shown a yellow card across this season’s previous two encounters between Everton and Luton, though the FA Cup tussles between the clubs might have seen more after a bone-crunching 27 fouls were committed.
Everton found it tricky to keep tabs on Luton’s Carlton Morris in both matches. The Hatters’ striker racked up seven attempts on goal over his two appearances against Everton in league and cup.
📊 Luton Form and Stats
Luton have won plenty of admirers for their adventurous approach and commitment to passing football under Rob Edwards since their promotion, however, the Hatters would prefer points instead of plaudits as relegation looms large.
Town’s 2-1 loss at Wolves last weekend was their tenth loss in 13 Premier League fixtures and in truth, their form has been relegation standard since the end of January. Luton have been picking up just 0.42 points per game since February 1st.
Results on the road have been particularly hard to come by and only Sheffield United (14) have lost more often away from home than Luton (12) this term. Indeed, the Hatters’ victory at Everton in September remains one of only two away victories secured so far.
Luton have been remarkably consistent from a goalscoring perspective however, and their consolation effort at Wolves last time out enhanced a record that shows goals for Town in 22 of their last 23 league fixtures.
80% of Luton’s Premier League matches have also featured goals from both teams – which is the highest figure in the division – while only the aforementioned Blades (one) have kept fewer clean sheets than the Hatters (two).
Defensive issues have plagued Luton for the entire campaign and while they have the Premier League’s second-worst defensive record (77), they actually rank last for xGA (72.30).
28-year-old Carlton Morris is the club’s leading marksman with ten goals, though support striker Elijah Adebayo has been a little deadlier from a statistical standpoint and he has chipped in with a Premier League goal every 130.3 minutes for Luton.
📊 Everton Form and Stats
Late-season scheduling set up a run of four home games in five matches for Everton, though, to their credit, the Toffees made full use of home advantage to collect 12 points from those four assignments and their streak included a superb 2-0 win over local rivals Liverpool.
Everton have lost only twice in 11 games in the blue half of Merseyside overall and their ability to grind out results at Goodison Park has saved their bacon this term.
Results on the road, where the Toffees have gone nine games without winning (6L, 3D) have been less flattering however, though Everton’s last two away victories did come at current bottom club incumbents, Burnley and Nottingham Forest.
With striker Beto misfiring and fellow forward Dominic Calvert-Lewin only finding form late on, goalscoring has been a major issue for Sean Dyche’s team in 2023/24 and Everton’s meagre 1.05 goals per game average is the second-lowest in the Premier League.
Defensively, however, they’ve been doing solid work and Everton ranks as a top-four outfit for both goals conceded (48) and a top-half side for xGA (50.90).
Ever-present centre-half James Tarkowski has been a defensive mainstay for the Toffees, though the veteran has picked up ten yellow cards this season and only a handful of Premier League players have collected more.
Everton have been picking up 2.17 cards per game in the top tier this season overall, though only two teams have committed more fouls (428), which suggests their cards-per-game average might have been higher.
Everton have been running at a deficit for corners in 2023/24, winning 4.86 of them per game on average compared to the 6.29 they’ve been conceding at the other end.
💰 Luton v Everton Best Bets
With their Premier League status officially intact, Everton’s intensity might start to decrease between now and the end of the campaign and a Luton side in desperate need of points to aid their own pursuit of safety could capitalise.
The Toffees have gone nine Premier League away games without a win and Luton, who managed to avoid defeat in two of their last three outings at Kenilworth Road, look like an attractive prospect in the double chance market at 1.50 with Betfair.
Luton’s wins over Everton in the reverse league fixture and the FA Cup encounter between the clubs should also allow them to approach Friday’s match with some confidence.
Both teams found the net in each of those Hatters victories and a wager in the same direction could be a good fit again with both teams to score priced at 1.57 with Betfair. 82% of Luton’s games at Kenilworth Road this season have featured action at both ends and that trend could continue.
Luton’s Carlton Morris meanwhile, has plenty of appeal at 1.36 on Betfair to have 1+ shots on target against Everton. The 28-year-old lodged seven attempts over two previous appearances against the Toffees earlier in the campaign, four of which hit the target, and the Hatters’ centre-forward can make his presence felt again.
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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