Fixtures containing these two sides so far in 2024 have been the embodiment of goals and action. A minimum of 3 goals have been scored in all of Luton’s and Man Utd’s last 5 matches across all competitions, which extends out to 4 goals in 3 consecutive outings for the Hatters.

Both teams keep on creating drama at both ends of the pitch which gives great reason to attack these goal markets this week. Luton have certainly come into the second half of this campaign with nothing to lose, scoring 13 goals across their last 5 games. Their last two home fixtures have both seen a total of four goals, which sandwich their 4-4 draw with Newcastle – there’s no stopping goals for Luton.

A very impressive 70% of Luton’s games in the premier league this season have seen over 2.5 goals, a fitting stat considering they boast the third-worst defensive record in the league. But both teams have scored in 74% of their top flight appearances which certainly gives light to Sunday’s hosts continued goal threat. Luton have made victims of Man City, Liverpool and Arsenal at home, all sides with much stronger defences than their Sunday visitors, and the Hatters have scored in six of their last seven games at home.

Man Utd have also shown a strong affinity for goals recently but their continued defensive difficulties are certainly worrying for Erik ten Hag, especially on the road. The Red Devils have conceded at least two goals in 3 of their last 4 league away games and this should continue considering Luton’s strong 2024 scoring record.

But Man Utd are scoring too, registering at least 2 goals in all six games since the turn of the year is certainly promising form. Just shy of their Sunday opponents, over 2.5 goals have landed in 62% of games involving Erik ten Hags boys, including six consecutive league outings up to this point.

Rasmus Hojlund is certainly looking like the key danger man for Manchester United at this moment with the 21-year-old having scored six in his last seven appearances, including in five consecutive Premier League fixtures.

Hojjund started his season off slowly but is finding his feet very quickly in 2024 and his current form completely blows away his seasonal averages in the shooting department. The Dane is averaging 1.78 shots on goals per 90 so far this campaign with 0.78 hitting the target. However, Hojlund has hit the target at least once in 8 of his last 9 games and has proved very clinical with the chances he’s given.

Considering Luton’s vulnerability at the back, conceding a concerning 16.30 shots per 90 so far this campaign, we should expect Hojlund to continue his goal threat and even potentially mark his name on the scoresheet.

From one number 9 to the next, Elijah Adebayo continues to show his goal threat despite not netting in Luton’s defeat last week, but he did register four shots on goal accumulating a decent 0.3xG.
Having scored four goals in two games prior to that defeat, Adebayo has proved himself an essential asset in Luton’s push for Premier League survival. He is averaging 2.17 shots on goal with 0.98 hitting the target per 90 this campaign, stats that decently reflect his current form.

Adebayo has hit the target in all of his last 4 matches, amassing 6 total shots on target from 12 shots in that time. He scored against both Arsenal and Man City when they visited Kenilworth Road earlier on in the season and he could certainly give the Man Utd defence the sweats on Sunday.

The tight pitch at Kenilworth Road is a great target for set piece markets each week and fixtures here often leads to a plenty of corners. We’ve seen double digit corner totals in all but two of Luton’s home games this term and with the visitors’ tendency to rack in the flag kicks, this is another strong market possibility for Sunday.

Lutons’s fixtures are averaging a respectable 10.96 corners this season, split fairly evenly between taken and conceded, and Kenilworth road always delivers in this market. Luton recorded a whopping 13 corners in last week’s defeat to Sheffield Utd and on both occasions in which there have been fewer than 10 corners on home soil , there has been a total of 9 corners in each – near perfect form. Based on this, we’ll be taking the same total corners selection this weekend.

Manchester United sit fourth for the most corners taken this season, averaging an impressive 6.33 flag kicks per 90. The Red Devils have taken 5+ corners in five consecutive games across all competitions and could take further advantage of Kenilworth Road’s tight margins even more on Sunday. Luton are conceding 5.39 corners per 90 and with Man Utd showing such attacking fluidity in recent weeks, the visitors should gather a solid corner total here.