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Luton v Tottenham
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Date: Saturday 7th October
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Competition: Premier League
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Kick off: 12:30
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 1
This week’s Saturday early kick-off treats us to an interesting clash at Kenilworth Road between a Luton side that’s starting to show positive signs after a tough start to the Premier League, and an unbeaten Tottenham team who seriously mean business this year under Ange Postecoglou.
Rob Edwards’ squad endured a demanding week with back-to-back matches, celebrating their first Premier League victory before stumbling in a lacklustre showing against Burnley. The challenge now lies in striking a harmonious balance that could give Luton a fighting chance in this fixture.
Amid ongoing controversy surrounding their sensational triumph over Liverpool in the previous weekend, second-placed Tottenham is determined to establish a convincing lead in this encounter. With the dynamic partnership of James Maddison and Son Heung-Min currently clicking, Spurs’ offensive prowess appears ready to overwhelm the Hatters’ defensive line.
This article will dive into Luton Town v Tottenham bet builder tips. These picks are supported by ABC’s Cheat Sheet, it is full of statistics to help build a world-class bet builder for this matchup – are you ready to see it?
We have prepared two exciting bet builder selections for this encounter. The Level 1 bet comes in at odds of 3/1 while the Level 2 bet builder is priced at 8/1.
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If you fancy a full breakdown of bet builder stats, head over to the Opta-powered Bet Builder Stats section of our website. It’s available for all Premier League, English Championship, Spanish La Liga, German Bundesliga, Italian Serie A, and French Ligue 1 matches this weekend, meaning that we have you covered for your Luton v Tottenham bet builder.
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Kenilworth Road to host its first ‘big 6’ side
This year was always destined to be tough for Luton Town and the reality of the Premier League has shown its true colours. Sitting just above the relegation zone, managing four points, it is set to be a very difficult task again this weekend.
Luton have been fairly strong at creating chances this year, generating a respectable 11.11 xG across their seven fixtures – this is just shy of Manchester United for context. Unfortunately, the clinical nature is lacking, having only scored six goals so far, but this still reflects some positive signs.
With the fourth weakest defence in the league and conceding the third highest xGA, Luton have faced some defensive troubles. Their home defensive record has seen their better performances, conceding five goals in total, as compared to nine goals in away fixtures. The Hatters backline will definitely have their hands full on Saturday with Spurs being the first ‘big 6’ side to travel to Kenilworth Road – could this be the challenge to bring out the best in them?
Luton Town team news
There is a mix of news in the injury department for Luton ahead of this weekend. Reece Burke is available after his recent groin problem, with the centre back making a second half cameo against Burnley on Monday night. In that same fixture, Amari’i Bell limped off with what’s been confirmed as a hamstring injury, but Rob Edwards is hopeful that this isn’t too serious and he should still be available for selection.
Team captain Tom Lockyer seems to have fully recovered from his eye injury that he picked up two weeks ago having started against Burnley and Everton last week. Unfortunately, Ross Barkley is only at the beginning of what is rumoured to be a fairly lengthy time on the sidelines with a hamstring injury.
Ange at the wheel
With his arrival to the Premier League accompanied with doubts about whether he could adapt and step up to the plate, Postecoglou has taken the league by storm, winning over fans week after week, and not just Spurs fans either.
With five wins from seven, unbeaten and showing to be one of the most dangerous attacking sides this year, confidence will be high in the camp. The sky seems to be the limit after the victory over Liverpool, which saw him become the first Spurs manager to see his side net at least two goals in all of his first seven Premier League games in charge.
Playing away from home won’t strike too much fear into this Spurs team, with two wins and two draws, including a staggering 5-2 win over Luton’s midweek demons, Burnley. A win would see Spurs go top of the table, if only for a couple of hours, for the first time since 2020 – can Luton stand in their way?
Spurs team news
Spurs are facing a handful of long-term absences in the form of Rodrigo Bentacur, Ivan Perisic, Bryan Gil and Ryan Sessegnon – who seemingly haven’t been missed too much considering recent results.
Brennan Johnson is expected to miss out again this weekend after withdrawing from the Wales squad with a hamstring injury. A tough start to life in North London with the £47.5 million deadline day signing having only played 74 minutes of football this season, but he is mapped out to return for their matchup against Fulham after the international break.
Although there are no major concerns, James Maddison and Son Heung-Min have been nursing a few knocks over the last few weeks, both being subbed in their last two matches and in Son’s case, being taken off in four successive Premier League matches.
Luton v Tottenham Cheat Sheet
Here is our Cheat Sheet for the game, it holds all of the key stats and data that you’ll need to make informed bet builder picks on Betfair. It includes all of the markets including new ones like Goalkeeper Saves and Fouls Won.
We have used it to help make our bet builder predictions. Have a read through and you’ll be able to make some well-informed predictions for yourself if you like other selections more.
For more extensive bet builder info, make sure to head over to our Bet Builder Stats page, where we have Opta-powered statistical breakdowns of major leagues across the UK and Europe, including the Luton v Tottenham game.
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ABC’s 3/1 Luton v Tottenham bet builder
⚽ Tottenham to win
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Odds: 1.40
Tottenham are a revived team, full of promise and attacking football. As controversial and dramatic as it may have been, their win over Liverpool last weekend has shown their ability to dig-deep and deliver when the pressure is on.
With 17 points from 21, and securing points from games against Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester United, alongside some other fairly tricky fixtures, it is difficult to imagine a result going against them this weekend, especially with the chance to go top of the Premier League at stake – if only for a few hours.
Luton’s win over Everton showed some signs of promise, soaking up a lot of defensive duties and managing to come away with three points despite not seeing too much possession. But it does seem like the attacking prowess of Spurs will prove too much to handle for the Hatters defence.
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🥅 Both teams to score
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Odds: 1.65
Despite their unbeaten status, Tottenham’s defensive performances have certainly not been the strongest. The North London side have conceded eight goals in seven matches and have kept only two clean sheets. Luton will be confident that they can take advantage of this form and cause some damage.
As mentioned earlier, Luton have put up some decent attacking figures this season and have shown they are capable of giving teams problems at the back. The Hatters have scored in all three matches at Kenilworth Road and have only failed to find the net in two of their seven league games this year – a price of 1.75 appeals.
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🟨 Over 3.5 cards
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Odds: 1.29
Neither of these two teams have shown great discipline this year. Tottenham have picked up the most yellow cards in the league this season with a staggering 26, which is four more than any other side. These have been spread across 16 players with consistent offenders in Yves Bissouma and Destiny Udogie.
On the surface it would seem that Luton are far more disciplined having only received half that number of bookings, but perhaps they are just more subtle with their fouls – Luton have committed an average of 11.7 fouls per game, the seventh most in the league. It will only take some small moments of magic and quick feet in the Tottenham attack to suck in those fouls and potential bookings.
It’s likely that Tottenham will see most of the possession on Saturday, allowing for fouling opportunities. Tottenham draw an average of 12.9 fouls per game, the third highest in the league.
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🎯 Son Heung-min to have 1+ shots on target
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Odds: 1.22
After a tough campaign last year, it seems that Tottenham finally have their man back. Son Heung-Min has rediscovered his form and is loving life playing centrally, scoring six in his last four games.
Son Heung-Min has been clinical and frequent with his efforts at goal, a great combination, with the South Korean averaging 3.28 shots per 90 with 1.64 hitting the target. Luton have been known to soak up the pressure this year and have conceded a worrying 15 shots per game. If this Saturday finds Luton giving Tottenham that number of chances, Son could be in for a treat.
You can get a price of evens on Son to have a shot on target in this Betfair Super Boost.
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ABC’s 8/1 Luton v Tottenham bet builder
⚽ Tottenham to win
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Odds: 1.40
Tottenham will be looking to extend their unbeaten run to eight games and recent weeks have shown the real attacking quality this side possesses. Tottenham have scored 17 goals this season, the joint-third most in the league, tied with the goal-scoring machines Manchester City.
The signing of James Maddison, branded as the ‘biggest transfer bargain this year’ has no doubt been pivotal to this new energetic attacking presence. Picking up two goals and four assists, as well as averaging 3.18 shots per game, the English talisman has been smashing it.
Partnering up with Son Heung-Min, who’s in equally confident form, this dynamic duo will surely be too much for a Luton side struggling at the back.
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🥅 Both teams to score
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Odds: 1.65
Tottenham have enjoyed their time on the road this year and boast a very strong average of 2.8 goals scored when playing away from home. Luton’s home defensive record only makes this more exciting for the North London side, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per home game – this could get messy.
However, goals often come at the other end too, with Tottenham conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game during away fixtures. This trend will give hope for Rob Edwards’ team to snatch a goal or two.
Luton’s star man Carlton Morris was in goalscoring action again last week against Everton, bringing his tally up to three for the season. Morris is putting up some serious numbers, generating 0.46 xG per 90 and registering 2.69 shots on goal per game as well – a striker hungry to make his mark. Morris has been impressive in creating genuine chances from very little service, and when Luton trouble this Tottenham defence, it’s very likely he’ll be facilitating the move.
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🟨 Over 3.5 cards
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Odds: 1.29
Speaking of high averages on away fixtures, Tottenham average a stunning 3.5 yellow cards in away day fixtures – clearly the atmosphere shortens some tempers.
With 16 yellow card recipients this season so far, these fouls and bookings can come from anywhere on the field. Key figures such as Yves Bissouma and Richarlison, averaging 1.32 and 2.05 fouls per 90 respectively, they love to follow the action and are frequently guilty of going that little bit too far.
Luton have averaged 1.7 yellow cards per home game this year, a decent number to support this selection, but a team of Tottenham’s quality is yet to surface at Kenilworth Road. Marvelous Nakamba is a keen fouler, averaging 2.14 fouls per 90 and picking up three cards in the process. Facing up against a tricky midfield will leave him vulnerable to adding to that tally, especially during midfield battles with characters like Yves Bissouma.
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🎯 Son Heung-min to have 2+ shots on target
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Odds: 2.0
Tottenham are poised to dominate possession and exert relentless pressure on Luton. This will surely provide a platform for creative midfield maestro James Maddison to assert his influence and dictate the tempo of play.
Notably, in recent weeks, the partnership between Maddison and the prolific Son Heung-Min has been nothing short of electrifying, creating a synergy that has consistently produced goalscoring opportunities and put their opponents on the back foot.
The exciting duo are set to play a key role in Tottenham’s strategy as they look to create, and capitalise, on chances throughout the match. Son’s stats are evidence of his strong shooting instincts and there’s a great chance that two of his efforts will find the target considering his confidence.
You can get a price of evens on Son to have a shot on target in this Betfair Super Boost.
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🛑 Luton to commit 11+ fouls
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Odds: 1.40
Luton Town have garnered a reputation for racking up a high number of fouls this season, and this trend is likely to persist when they face Tottenham. Stemming from a combination of factors such as their relative lack of experience at the highest level and the need to compensate for any technical disparities.
When facing stronger, more possession-oriented teams like Tottenham, Luton may resort to tactical fouling as a means of slowing down their attacks and breaking up their flow. This approach, while it can be effective in certain situations, also carries the risk of accumulating fouls, yellow cards and conceding dangerous free kicks.
Considering that Spurs draw an average of 12.9 fouls per game, this selection appears to offer favourable odds. It also takes a more conservative approach to predicting the number of fouls that Luton will commit. Markets forecasting 12+ and 13+ Luton fouls are showing some attractive pricing when considering the discipline of the two teams.
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