United to hit five or more corners looks a safe selection here. They’re solid favourites for this game, playing at home and seem more likely to dominate possession and territory. They also have consistently racked up corners this season, regardless of the scoreline.

They’re averaging five per game in the Premier League, but that rises to 6.2 per game in the Europa League which is the highest of any team in the competition. In the reverse fixture, they managed eight corners despite having less possession and fewer shots, showing how frequently they aim to work the ball into wide areas and into the box.

Under 5.5 cards is well-priced at 1.60 based on both teams' disciplinary trends. United and Lyon are each averaging 1.91 yellows per game in this competition, giving a combined average of just 3.8 - well below the required six for this selection.

In domestic action, the numbers are similarly low, United average 2.15 cards per game in the Premier League, while Lyon come in even lower at 1.7 in Ligue 1. Both sides play relatively controlled football, and there’s nothing in the data to suggest this game will boil over into a card-heavy affair.

BTTS looks a strong play given both teams' scoring and conceding habits. United have averaged 2.1 goals per game in the Europa League despite their inconsistent league form, while Lyon have been even more dangerous, scoring 2.3 per game in Europe and 2.7 across their last 10 in Ligue 1.

At the back, both sides have shown signs of vulnerability, with United conceding 1.41 per game in the Premier League and Lyon 1.35 in Ligue 1. The reverse leg finished 2-2 and could easily have seen more goals based on the chances created. This pick has landed in five of United's last six home matches in all competitions, as well as in Lyon's last five consecutive fixtures.

Lyon are averaging 5.8 corners per game in the Europa League, one of the highest numbers in the competition. Fuelled by an aggressive attacking approach, they are averaging 16.5 shots per match in Europe, their high shot numbers naturally lead to a high corner average, forcing blocks and saves from the opposition.

They managed 16 shots and five corners in the first leg and showed they can get into dangerous areas against United. Even away from home, their offensive intent should see them rack up enough opportunities to clear this line.