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Our Man City v Liverpool picks are just a few amongst the huge variety of expert football tips and best bets, tips & predictions we have here at Andy’s Bet Club. Alongside our expert analysis, we also do our best to look out for great offers and pass them along to our readers, so if you are planning on having a bet this weekend, check out our selection of free bets and the latest bookmaker offers.
The Premier League finally gets back underway with an enormous game at the Etihad, and we have plenty more coverage of the Premier League on site, including our Premier League accumulator and Premier League bet builder tips. Without further ado, let’s get right into Saturday’s mouth-watering lunchtime clash.
Man City v Liverpool
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Kick Off: Saturday 25th November at 12:30
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Competition: Premier League
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Watch Live: Sky Sports Main Event
Although Arsenal took Liverpool’s place as the main rivals to Man City last season, this fixture has been a fiery one for some years now, with the two sides finishing first and second in three of the previous four seasons prior to 2022/23.
Both teams look to be right in the title hunt again, with Man City first on 28 points and Liverpool second on 27. Being one point behind Man City will be a traumatic sight for Liverpool fans who have twice seen their side pipped to the title by Pep Guardiola’s side, in 2018/19 and 2021/22.
Man City’s last game before the international break was the rollercoaster 4-4 draw with Chelsea, they have also had a few stumbles which indicate they are not quite up to the levels of last season, in which they claimed a historic treble.
Liverpool meanwhile have been quietly motoring along, with only the occasional blip in a very successful season so far. Their squad dispersed on international duty in the aftermath of a comfortable 3-0 home win over Brentford, although they had failed to win either of their previous two games in all competitions, drawing 1-1 with Luton and losing 3-2 to Toulouse in the Europa League.
Games between these two sides have been electric in recent years, with years of tough title fights forming a modern rivalry to stand alongside the Man United and Arsenal years. The players and fans will be right up for this, and that should make for an excellent game for bet builders, with plenty of goals and incidents likely.
As ever, we’ve taken a deep dive into the stats ahead of this one, so have a read of our research and if you like the look of any of our selections, why not get involved? A Saturday lunchtime winner could set you up perfectly for the rest of the weekend.
Man City v Liverpool Cheat Sheet
This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.
The research in this piece has been pulled together using the Man City v Liverpool Cheat Sheet. There’s a wide range of stats to choose from, be it player shots or team fouls. There are also referee statistics in the middle of the sheet too, so you’ll always know when card picks are worth including.
There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own methods for helping you pick a winning bet builder, however, if you’re unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.
You can find Man City v Liverpool stats on my Bet Builder stats tool, along with official line-ups one hour before kick-off.
⚽ Man City v Liverpool stats: City unstoppable at home, but can Liverpool spring a shock?
Home advantage has been key in this fixture in recent years. The last time a side won away from home was way back in February 2021, when champions-elect City smashed Liverpool 4-1 at Anfield, albeit without fans present.
The last time a team lost this fixture at home with fans present was in the 2018 Champions League quarter-final, where Liverpool won 2-1 at the Etihad.
However, those looking for a value play may want to keep track of City’s injury list. Whilst Erling Haaland looks set to feature, they are still likely to be without John Stones, who has been a big miss this season after being a key part of last year’s treble-winning side; and whose absence has seen City struggle against tougher opponents this season.
Rodri may also have a knock, and taking him out of this City side instantly drops the level of the entire team, as evidenced by their poor showing in the 1-0 defeat at the Emirates earlier this season, although the Spaniard did feature for his national side against Georgia on Sunday.
Nathan Ake looks set to miss out, as do Matheus Nunes and Mateo Kovacic, potentially leaving City light in midfield. Kevin de Bruyne also remains out of action, a big miss for City with the Belgian having scored plenty of crucial goals against Liverpool in recent years.
The injuries, plus City’s general struggles this season make taking Liverpool to win or draw at over evens a very attractive prospect. City to win at 1.67 does not offer great value, especially with their squad looking thin and a few players lacking match sharpness after sitting out the international break.
Predictions:
🏆 Liverpool double chance @ 2.10
🥅 Goals Stats: Always a high-scoring affair in recent years
With two of the best attacking units in world football on display in this fixture in recent years, it should come as no surprise that clean sheets have been extremely rare.
Of their last nine meetings in all competitions, only one clean sheet has been kept, with the other eight games all seeing both teams scoring.
Meanwhile, seven of their last eight fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals, with their last two games alone seeing 10 goals shared between the two sides.
Nine of their last 11 games have seen over 3.5 goals, so those seeking the higher odds may choose to chance their arm at the higher line here, especially with it sitting at odds-against, priced at 2.2.
We would, however, advise some caution here. Over 3.5 goals has been reached only seven times in 19 games in all competitions for Pep Guardiola’s side, whilst Liverpool have hit this line in eight of their 18 matches.
Jurgen Klopp’s side have seen three or more goals in four of their last five but have hit over 3.5 just once in that timeframe. Cit,y meanwhile, have gone over the 3.5 line in three of their last five. It should also be said that the last three meetings of these two sides at the Etihad have produced at least four goals.
Predictions:
🥅 Both teams to score @ 1.45
🥅 Over 2.5 goals @ 1.44
🥅 Over 3.5 goals @ 2.20
🎯 Shooting Stats: Midfield long shots offer nice value
After his winning goal in last season’s Champions League final, Rodri has come in clutch for Man City several times already this season, not least his last-gasp winner against Sheffield United, and what initially looked to be a late winner at Chelsea last time out.
He has had at least one shot on target in six of his 10 Premier League starts, and remarkably has had at least one shot on target in every game in which he has had a shot on goal. In games against Man United and Chelsea, he had three shots, with two of those being on target.
With Erling Haaland is the obvious choice, and being extremely poor value as a result, Rodri provides a nice alternative, being both happy to shoot, and generally very accurate when he does so. He also has the advantage of being a significant aerial threat, which is an area this tall Man City team may look to hurt a smaller Liverpool side who rely heavily on Virgil van Dijk and Joel Matip’s aerial prowess.
For Liverpool, the obvious option is Mo Salah, and the Egyptian does come in at a nice price for goals and assists. Having notched at least one goal contribution in 10 of his 12 Premier League games this season, being able to back him to extend this to 11 out of 13, odds of 2.63 look appealing.
His odds for shots and shots on target however leave much to be desired in terms of value, so instead, we will look to Dominik Szoboszlai. The Hungarian may have only scored one league goal this season, but he will not be deterred from shooting, racking up 24 shots in 12 games, and having taken at least one shot in every Premier League game he has featured in this season.
With Liverpool facing a stern test here, they may be forced into some long shots, which is Szoboszlai’s bread and butter.
Backing him to have at least one shot for the 13th Premier League game in a row looks a very appealing odds boosting option at 1.25, whilst backing him to have two or more, something he has done in seven of his 12 league games, at odds as high as 2.30 looks to be a nice value option.
Predictions:
🎯 Rodri to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.83
🚀 Dominik Szoboszlai to have 1+ shots @ 1.25
🚀 Dominik Szoboszlai to have 2+ shots @ 2.30
🛑 Fouls stats: Doku proving a nightmare for defenders
Jeremy Doku has been in scintillating form since his summer move from Rennes to Man City, and his ridiculous dribbling ability makes him the first point of call in the fouls markets.
Doku has won a foul in seven of his nine Premier League appearances this season and has won two or more in six of the nine. It seems likely that Doku will retain his left-sided role after his recent form, but should he be on the right, Grealish still draws plenty of fouls, so the selection of Trent Alexander-Arnold to commit fouls here looks good no matter who plays where for City.
Alexander-Arnold’s foul numbers are surprisingly low, likely because he has been pushing more and more into midfield as the season has gone on. His fouls also tend to be in transition, which makes cards more likely. The Englishman has seen a booking for half of the fouls he has committed this season.
With the 25-year-old often vacating his right-back role, the right-sided centre back and right-sided midfielder are often forced to cover. This opens up potential on the fouls market for either Dominik Szoboszlai or Joel Matip.
Szoboszlai averages over a foul per 90, at 1.11 for the season in the Premier League, and he has now committed at least one foul in each of his last six appearances in all competitions, including in a 45-minute cameo off the bench against Toulouse.
Matip meanwhile has committed a foul in four of his seven Premier League starts, but with his lack of pace looking likely to be an issue, he is more likely to be forced into a foul here, especially with Liverpool’s tendency to play an extremely high line. If the press is broken and the electric Doku gets free, taking a booking may be Matip’s only option.
Predictions:
🩹 Jeremy Doku to be fouled 2+ times @ 1.30
🩹 Jeremy Doku to be fouled 3+ times @ 1.91
🛑 Dominik Szoboszlai to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.36
🛑 Joel Matip to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.53
🛑 Trent Alexander-Arnold to commit 1+ fouls @ 1.67
* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
Written by an Andy verified content writer
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