💎 Gem Bet: Alan Franco - 2+ Fouls Committed @ 1.80 (Ladbrokes)

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Alan Franco lines up at right back for Ecuador and has been very aggressive so far, committing six fouls across his three matches (2.58 per 90). He’s committed 2+ fouls in two of his three games so far against Ivory Coast and Germany - only failing to cover this line against Curacao, where he committed one foul.

This is a really nice price for Franco to commit at least two fouls again in this all South American clash which is likely to be quite first. Ecuador have posted foul counts of 13 and 15 in their more competitive group stage matches against Germany and Ivory Coast. They’re likely to replicate that foul output here against a Mexico side who will have the crowd behind them with this game being in Mexico City.

Franco’s direct opponent is likely to be the lively Julian Quinones who has won six fouls across his three starts at the World Cup so far (2.13 per 90), also averaging 1.26 fouls won per 90 across his 31 starts in the Saudi Pro League during the 25/26 campaign. 

These sides met towards the end of last year in a game that saw Ecuador commit 14 fouls. They averaged 12.9 fouls committed per game during qualifying, with Franco committing 15 fouls across his 12 starts during that campaign (1.28 per 90). He also maintained an average of 1.73 fouls committed per 90 across his 15 starts in Brazilian Serie A during the most recent campaign.

There’s excellent value here when backing this gem with Ladbrokes, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.22 with other major bookmakers.