Napoli may not have been at their free-flowing best against Lecce midweek, but they were able to hold on to a 1-0 victory to retain their status at the top of the Serie A. Prior to that, they were able to pull off another impressive result, beating Inter Milan 3-1 in Naples. 

Como haven’t been in bad form either - in fact, they have lost just one league game all season, but they currently sit fifth in the division having been held to four draws. Como have proven themselves to be a difficult side to beat, but just haven’t been able to convert enough games into wins so far. 

Last season, Como won just five of their 19 Serie A matches on the road, which really let them down. This term, they haven’t been able to buck that trend, having won just one of their four matches on the road.

Como struggled massively in their away games against the big sides last season, losing against AC Milan, Roma, Inter Milan and Juventus. Napoli also prevailed in this head-to-head matchup, as they secured a 3-1 victory at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. 

The visitors did at least manage to get on the scoresheet in three of those matches to give their fans something to cheer about, and they will hope to do the same this weekend. 

While Napoli have been flawless on home turf this campaign, winning all five of their matches in all competitions, they have still conceded five goals in those games, with BTTS landing in each of the last four straight matches. Taking the over 1.5 goal line covers us in the case of BTTS, as well as a home win by a couple of goals.

Napoli's most victory came against title-rivals Inter Milan, which was a massive three points for Gli Azzurri. The only negative from that match was that Kevin De Bruyne hobbled off with an injury after scoring a penalty. 

But, even in the absence of the Belgian playmaker, Napoli have plenty of attacking talent. Goals from Scott McTominay and Frank Anguissa secured the spoils for the champions. The latter even managed to score the only goal of the game against Lecce midweek, netting his fourth league goal of the season.

The Cameroon international is well on track to better his tally of six league goals from last season, and he has already popped up with some crucial goals this season already. Anguissa scored the 95th-minute winner against Cagliari earlier in the campaign.

He is averaging 1.97 shots per 90 this season in all competitions, and that attacking influence is only set to increase in the absence of De Bruyne.

Napoli’s perfect record on home turf speaks volumes about how much confidence they play with in front of a home crowd. They have seen an uptick in shots at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium, but also a notable increase in total fouls drawn. 

Napoli are averaging 10.1 fouls drawn on the road, rising to 12.8 fouls drawn when playing at home. Considering Como have committed the most fouls of any team in the Italian top flight this season, those are two trends which marry up nicely here. 

Diego Carlos has contributed to Como’s impressive foul record this season, committing eight fouls from his six league starts. The centre back is averaging 1.45 fouls per 90 this season, and has landed this bet in every game so far. In fact, he has been booked in half of his games since moving to the Italian top flight, so is a player to target once again.