This Tampa Bay versus Las Vegas match profiles as a fantastic offensive game with two very below-average defenses. Tampa Bay have a 26.5 implied team total and face a Raiders defense that has had issues stopping the rush this season. I’m expecting both teams to score in this matchup, and I think Bucky Irving is especially interesting given his recent impressive performances. You are getting solid pricing here because he has to split backfield usage with Rachaad White, the Buccaneers utilise two-RB formations at one of the highest rates in football. Irving has the duel threat ability to be used in the rushing and receiving game, making him a very tough guy to just stick a linebacker on.

While Irving isn’t the biggest back in the world he possesses the highest missed tackle rate in the league and has proved to be great in short-yardage situations. Over the last couple of years, Rachaad White has been really good at limiting negative plays, but also really bad at creative positive ones, making him a mediocre early down grinder but a fairly inefficient red zone back. Bucky has a touchdown in three straight games, and 1+ in 6 of his last 9 games. For a rookie coming off his biggest rushing share of the season, I expect Irving to continue to lead this backfield both inside and outside the red zone.

While there are a couple of different offensive weapons I like in a game that should be lacking defense, it would be criminal not to back Nick Westbrook-Ikhine who is on an absolutely insane streak right now. The guy is glued to the endzone, and with the Titans finally in an offensive situation where they are actually expected to score points, Westbrook-Ikhine could be in-store for a huge game. He does most of his work down the field, and that’s exactly where the Jaguars struggle. The Jaguars are allowing the second-highest rate of explosive pass plays in the league at 17.13% this season, and it’s 18.52% over the past five weeks. Additionally, they rank 2nd worst DVOA against the deep pass. NWI has been best in situations where he can take advantage of blown coverages, and there is no better matchup in football for that than the Jaguars.

Westbrook-Ikhine has a TD in 7 of his last 8 games and averaged 75.3 receiving yards and 1.5 scores per game over the last three games since shipping out DeAndre Hopkins.

While there are plenty of good offensive matchups on the slate, this Vikings team taking on a struggling Falcons defense profiles as one of my favorites. While I had a hard time deciding which WR1 to target in this game, I couldn’t resist Justin Jefferson at an even money price tag. We just saw Ladd McConkey absolutely destroy these guys moving around to the slot, and we know Jefferson is a guy who will move all around. Taking him from the outside to the slot goes from AJ Terrell to Dee Alford, which is a much better matchup for one of the best receivers in the league. If Terrell does shadow it’s not the biggest deal considering he’s allowed 5 touchdowns in coverage over his last 5 weeks. While we’ve seen guys like Jordan Addison pop up with touchdowns, they normally come on deep passes from outside the red zone. When in the red zone, Jefferson leads the team with a 35% target share.

After starting the season with 4 straight touchdown scores, Jefferson has now gone 5 straight games without a touchdown. During that span, he’s had some tough corner matchups against the Texans, Jets, Packers, and Niners, but I think we can expect some regression for one of the best receivers in football. The Falcons currently rank as the 23rd-best defense against opposing wide receivers and I think we see Justin Jefferson have the huge week Vikings fans have been hoping for. Anytime I can get him at a reasonable price like this I’m going to be very interested, and Atlanta present a perfect opportunity. We also get a little added motivation factor here with Jefferson facing his former quarterback in Kirk Cousins.