As tough as a trip to the Emirates is, Brian Brobbey looks a player up for the fight, with his physical approach showing no fear of his opponent. The striker is averaging 1.69 shots per 90 in his debut season in England and has managed at least one effort eight consecutive league starts. He’s also netted three goals in his last five and looks to be full of confidence.

Arsenal’s defensive record at home is second to none, conceding just 6.08 shots per game, however, they’ve shown some nerves recently, giving up 37 shots in their last four games on their own patch. Sunderland were able to rough them up in the reverse fixture and got a deserved 2-2 draw. Wilson Isidor managed two shots playing up front for the Black Cats that day, Brobbey should be able to get at least one.

Alex Scott appears to be taking on more responsibility in the attacking third since Antoine Semenyo’s departure, with the central midfielder firing off two shots in each of his last three league starts. He got his reward with a goal at Wolves last time out and when 76% of his shots this season have come from outside the box, he’s always likely to get opportunities to try his luck.

Aston Villa have struggled defensively on the road this season, allowing their opponents to take 14.25 shots at goal per game. They gave up 12 attempts in the reverse fixture, one of which came from Scott, and given that the England hopeful also had a shot in his only two previous appearances against the Villans, this looks a nice price for him to continue his shooting streak.

I mentioned in this column a few weeks ago how Burnley’s shot data at home had seen a sharp uptick, and sat 11 points from safety, they’ll need to throw everything at this game against fellow relegation strugglers West Ham.

Lucas Pires has been showing plenty of productivity in the final third since his return from injury, with the wing back taking at least one shot in seven of his last eight starts. At Turf Moor he’s averaging 1.25 shots per 90, and with this game being so crucial, he’ll likely be shooting on sight once more.

If it’s shots we’re after, West Ham are the right side to be opposing, with the Hammers having shipped 16.4 per away game, the third worst record in the top division. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side are in a desperate position themselves, six points adrift of 17th placed Forest, and so with both teams in dire need of points, this game should be nice and open.

Having said I expect an end-to-end tussle at Turf Moor, it would make sense to have a Hammer on side too, and Mateus Fernandes feels nicely priced to oblige. The Portugese midfielder has fired off five shots in his last two games, scoring a screamer against Sunderland in the process, and so should need no encouragement to pull the trigger. With 76% of his efforts coming from range this season, we can trust that if it opens up for him, he’s been given the licence to have a go.

Burnley’s record of having conceded 15.9 shots per game on their own patch is comfortably the worst return in the Premier League, and so West Ham should be able to attack at will. The reverse fixture saw Nuno Espirito Santo’s side score three times from 15 attempts at goal, and with so much on the line in this game, we should see a similar set-up, which lends itself nicely to Fernandes getting a shot off.

After blanking against Forest a fortnight ago, Mathias Jensen was back in shooting form at Villa, taking one of just six Bees shots. The Dane has been playing in a more advanced role in recent weeks which has resulted in him getting into the opposition box more often, and taking nine shots across his last six league starts, landing this bet in five of those.

Newcastle’s stuttering form has led to some Magpies fans questioning Eddie Howe’s future, and their concession of 28 shots and five goals in their last two home games won’t have helped. The Toon Army are giving up 11.33 shots per game at St James’ Park and after a 3-1 reverse in the previous meeting where they allowed Brentford 15 shots, this could be another tough afternoon.