After three shots against Spurs last time out, it would be rude not to have Adam Wharton onside again. The Palace midfielder has had at least one shot in 12 of his last 13 league starts and, with 75% of his shots coming from outside the box, he has clearly been given licence to shoot on sight.

Fulham make the short journey to Selhurst Park having been beaten at home by Palace just a few weeks ago, a game in which Wharton also landed this bet. The Cottagers have won their last three games on the road, however, they are shipping 12.89 shots per away game, and a wounded home side will be hoping for their fourth consecutive win over their London rivals.

Having netted the opener against Wolves, Ryan Gravenberch should be full of confidence coming into this game against Leeds. The Dutchman managed three shots in that game and has fired off eight attempts at goal across his last five league starts at Anfield, and so is in decent shooting form.

Visitors Leeds have only won once away all season and are conceding 11 shots per game on their travels. In the reverse fixture, they gave up 16 shots, and whilst Gravenberch didn’t manage one of those, his consistency in front of his own fans, and a renewed belief for the home side, make this a likely winner. 

Despite three consecutive wins to climb back into the top four, Liverpool still look shaky at the back and their concession of 11 shots per game at Anfield will be a concern for Arne Slot. They welcome a Leeds side who breached them three times in the reverse fixture, and having allowed Wolves central midfielders five shots in their last game, it’s an area of the pitch we can target.

Anton Stach is becoming a fan favourite at Elland Road, and with 16 shots and two goals in his last five starts, it’s easy to see why. The German midfielder likes to pull the trigger from range and is also on free kick duty, and with an average of 2.18 shots per 90 this season, looks one of the most likely sources of shots for the visitors. 

He may have blanked when we backed him in City’s last game, but that won’t stop me getting behind Josko Gvardiol again. The Croatian has taken 10 shots in his last eight appearances in all competitions and scored twice amongst those games, one of which came against Sunderland in early December. He’s one of Man City’s biggest set piece threats but also gets chances in open play.

Key to this bet is that Sunderland look significantly weaker at the back without Dan Ballard. The Black Cats conceded 0.59 expected goals from set pieces against Leeds last time out and allowed Jaka Bijol two headed shots from corners, further emphasising this vulnerability. Both of City’s centre backs got on the scoresheet in the reverse fixture, and Gvardiol will be eyeing another goal against this weakened backline.

Tottenham full back Pedro Porro has always been stronger in the attacking third than when defending and after a lean spell to start the season, has found his shooting boots with six shots across his last six league starts. The Spaniard loves a potshot from outside the box and with an average of 1.93 shots per 90 in games against Brentford, this is clearly a match-up he enjoys.

Brentford’s last two home games have seen them give up 38 efforts at goal and with their opponents averaging 13.78 shots per game, the hosts are far from solid at the back. A normally tepid Spurs attack were afforded 15 attempts in the previous meeting and with Porro coming to life in recent weeks, he’s nicely priced to try his luck once more here.