Aston Villa are in pole position for a top four spot and have the chance to pull further clear in the early kick-off here. Morgan Rogers has been central to their chances all season, scoring nine goals and averaging 2.34 shots per 90. The England international has landed this bet in 17 of his last 18 league starts and having netted last time out he should be full of confidence too.

Fulham are still in a race for Europe of their own but their games on their own patch have been very open in recent weeks with them conceding 13 or more efforts at their goal in four of their last six games as hosts. Villa are something of a bogey team for the Cottagers and with Rogers in such fine form, he can cause them problems.

With Hugo Ekitike on the sidelines for a while, Liverpool need their other attacking options to step up and Cody Gakpo gave it a good go against Everton, working the goalkeeper on three occasions. The Dutchman has been criticised by the Anfield faithful for his poor form this season but having hit the target seven times in his last six matches, he’s clearly fired up to prove he still has it.

Palace’s energy sapping season is starting to take its toll and they looked shattered on Monday night against West Ham. The Eagles have conceded 4.6 shots on target per game on the road this season and with their attention on the Europa Conference League, a highly motivated Gakpo can make them pay.

Despite blanking in his last two starts, Maxence Lacroix is still averaging 0.71 shots per 90 this season, an excellent record for a central defender. The Frenchman has cashed this bet in each of his last five away games, including scoring on his last trip away from the capital and given that every set piece seems to be aimed at his head, he should get plenty of opportunities at Anfield.

Liverpool have had a tough season defensively, particularly from opposition set pieces. The Reds have conceded the joint second most goals from dead ball situations of any Premier League side and have allowed opposition centre backs three shots across their last two league matches. Set plays may be Palace’s best route to goal and if so, Lacroix is likely to be crucial to their threat.

Sat just two points above the drop zone, every game is crucial for West Ham and they’ll be grateful for the return of talisman Crysencio Summerville for the run-in. The Dutch winger has been one of their best players all season and had scored five goals since the turn of the year before his injury. Summerville averages 2.25 shots per 90 in home games and has had two or more in eight of his last ten starts at the London Stadium.

The wind will have been taken out of Everton sails by Virgil van Dijk’s late winner in the Merseyside derby and they travel to London conceding the third most shots on the road in the division at 16.6 per game. In the reverse fixture, the Hammers were afforded 14 attempts at goal with Summerville taking three of those and they could be in for another tough afternoon here.

Whilst they might find it difficult at the back, one player who can provide plenty of threat going the other way is Toffees frontman Beto. The Guinea-Bissau international scored his fourth goal in three games against Liverpool last time out and has hammered in eight shots on target in his last six league starts, with at least one in five of those. He also found the target in the reverse fixture and scored against them in 2024 and so should be happy to face the Hammers again.

If West Ham are to go down, their defensive record will be largely responsible. Nuno Espirito Santo’s side have struggled to keep opponents out all season and have shipped 4.81 efforts on target per game in front of their own fans. In what could be a nervy atmosphere, Beto is just the sort of physical striker who can grab the game by the scruff of the neck and his recent shooting form shows he’s capable of pouring on the misery for the Hammers.