With an average of 1.51 shots per 90 across the season, it’s clear that Alex Scott isn’t shy when it comes to pulling the trigger. The Bournemouth midfielder needs no encouragement to try his luck from range and has had at least one effort at goal in 11 of his last 12 starts, managing two or more in nine of those too. 

League leaders Arsenal will be a tough nut for the Cherries to crack, however, they will be fatigued from a midweek trip to Lisbon as well as under mounting pressure to get over the line in the Premier League title race. The Gunners have looked nervous in recent weeks, including in the reverse fixture where they gave up 15 shots, and may well sit deep out of possession again, inviting the likes of Scott to shoot from outside the box.

Sepp van den Berg has been a constant threat in the opposition box for Brentford this season, the centre back averaging 0.78 shots per 90 as most set pieces find their way to him in front of goal. The Dutchman is still searching for his first Bees goal and looks intent of getting it before the end of the campaign, firing off nine shots in his last six league starts.

Everton are giving up 3.94 shots per game from set pieces and conceded from a corner against Brentford in the reverse fixture, demonstrating that Keith Andrews is able to exploit this fragility. An opposing central defender has managed a shot in three of the Toffees last four league games and with van den Berg such a threat from dead ball situations, he’s the most likely Bee to profit on Saturday.

After a frustrating spell on the sidelines with injury, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall seems intent on making up for lost time, scoring twice from 13 shots in his last eight starts for Everton. The attacking midfielder is averaging 1.34 shots per 90 this season and has the responsibility of taking shots from range and so will be looking to test the goalkeeper whenever possible. 

For all their success this season, Brentford have struggled to keep their opponents out at home this season, conceding 12.13 shots per game. The reverse fixture produced six goals and with both sides sat within three points of the top five, there’s plenty to play for. In what should be an end-to-end game, Dewsbury-Hall won’t need much invitation to try his luck.

Despite looking destined for the drop, Burnley are going down swinging and have scored plenty of goals in recent weeks, largely through Zian Flemming. The Dutch striker has netted three times in his last four starts and with an average of 1.21 efforts on target per 90, is clearly capable of working the goalkeeper consistently, even if his team aren’t producing many clear-cut chances. 

Brighton boss Fabian Hurzeler has been under pressure all season and the Seagulls have struggled for form in away games where they’ve conceded 14.13 shots per game. Goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen has been called into action an average of four times per game in that sample and with the Clarets having nothing to lose, they’ll likely attack at will with Flemming central to their threat.

Having said that Burnley should be looking to take the game to Brighton on their own patch, Scott Parker’s side have the worst defence in the Premier League, shipping 15.7 shots per game at Turf Moor. Five of the last six sides to visit the Clarets have managed 16 or more efforts at goal and with Brighton managing 15 shots in the reverse, it makes sense to side with a Seagull in our acca. 

Most Brighton players are priced up very short for shots, however, Mats Wieffer’s odds look generous given that he’s averaging 0.91 shots per 90 this season. The Dutch defender is encouraged to get forward at every opportunity from full back and has managed eight shots in his last eight league starts and so we can rely on him to have a go should the opportunity present itself.