He may have blanked last week against Spurs, but Virgil van Dijk is still one of the most in-form defenders in the Premier League when it comes to shots. Liverpool’s captain has fired off seven shots in his last five league starts, netting twice in the process, and so is in excellent form. The poor performances of Arne Slot’s side appear to have hurt the Dutchman, and his response seems to have been to take matters into his own hands in the opposition box.

Despite only conceding five goals from set-pieces all season, Brighton have struggled to defend them in recent weeks. The Seagulls have conceded nine shots from opposing centre-backs in their last five league games, and with Liverpool’s renewed focus on dead-ball situations since a change of set-piece coach, van Dijk is nicely priced to profit again.

Another Dutch defender who has got the taste for goalmouth action in recent weeks is Fulham’s Kenny Tete. The full back is averaging 0.8 shots per 90 across the season and has cashed this bet in six of his last seven starts, managing nine efforts at goal across that period. He’s also given more attacking freedom in games at Craven Cottage and so should be getting forward whenever possible here.

Burnley are the best opponent we could hope for in terms of a Tete shot, as the Clarets concede more attempts at goal than any other Premier League side. On the road, Scott Parker’s side have shipped 17.53 shots per game with all 15 of their away opponents managing double figures. Burnley are as good as relegated, and a relaxed Fulham side can take advantage of their poor defence.

With Jack Grealish out injured, Dwight McNeill is enjoying a spell in the Everton starting 11, and he looks intent on grabbing the opportunity with both hands. The Toffees winger has taken nine shots in his last three games, with at least two in each of those, and has landed this bet in nine of his last ten league starts whilst averaging 1.6 shots per 90 across the season. 

Chelsea looked shellshocked in defeat to PSG in midweek, and with Liam Rosenior starting to come under pressure from sections of the Stamford Bridge faithful, they could be nervous for this tie. In Premier League away action, the Blues have conceded 11.25 shots per game under their new boss, and with Everton able to move within two points of the London club with victory, they should be highly motivated to attack.

Despite Chelsea’s defensive difficulties under Rosenior, one player who has flourished is Joao Pedro, who has hammered in 10 goals in all competitions since his arrival. Those goals have come from an average of 1.31 shots on target per 90, with this bet cashing in seven of his last nine Premier League appearances.

For all their success this season, Everton have struggled in front of their own fans since their move to the Hill Dickinson Stadium. David Moyes’ side have only won once on their own patch since early December and have given up 4.07 shots on target per game as hosts. Chelsea will be smarting from their humbling defeat in midweek, and Joao Pedro should be chomping at the bit to get back on the goal trail.

Speaking of strikers in stellar form, Igor Thiago appears to have re-found his shooting boots with five goals in his last seven matches across all competitions. The Brazilian Bee has been a revelation this season and sits just three goals behind Erling Haaland in the race for the Golden Boot. His 19 league goals have come from an average of 1.3 shots on target per 90, and he’ll be keen to make an impression against Leeds, having blanked in the reverse fixture.

Leeds still need points in the fight for Premier League survival, and so Elland Road could have a nervous atmosphere on Saturday evening. Daniel Farke’s men have given up 3.53 shots on target per game in front of their own fans, and with their goalkeeper being worked 21 times in their last four home games, there’s reason to expect Brentford’s talisman to have a say in the result.