Semenyo has been one of the best players in the Premier League this season, netting 15 goals across his 29 starts - only Erling Haaland has scored more non-penalty goals than Semenyo in the Premier League this term.

As well as offering a real threat from open play, Semenyo can be quite reckless with his challenges. He’s picked up six yellow cards in the Premier League this season, though is yet to pick up his first caution for Man City in the top flight.

City are more aggressive when out of possession than they were last season, collecting 56 yellow cards to date - just one fewer than they managed across the entirety of last campaign, despite eight games of the season remaining. Semenyo has been operating centrally of late, setting up an interesting battle against Eberechi Eze.

Eze has won 30 fouls across his 17 starts in the Premier League this season (1.80 per 90) and can offer a threat to Semenyo when gliding through those central areas.

Eberechi Eze has been inconsistent at times for Arsenal this season, but usually delivers in these high profile games. He scored a wonderful goal against Leverkusen during the week to get Arsenal on their way to a 2-0 victory, managing three shots in the game overall.

Eze tends to be pretty speculative with his efforts, he’s taken 49 shots across his 17 starts in the Premier League this season (2.93 per 90), seeing 16 of these efforts find the target (0.96 per 90). 

Furthermore, Eze enjoys playing at Wembley. He scored in both the semi-final and the final of the FA Cup last season as Crystal Palace secured the trophy against Man City. He had 2+ shots in both of these games, once again showing how Eze tends to save his best performances for big matches.

Bernardo is a player I always gravitate towards for fouls in big games. He’s a player that Pep trusts unconditionally, and he’s an absolute terrier in games like this. Yes, he was ejected in midweek for his handball on the line against Real Madrid, but that won’t affect his inclusion here. He’s played the fifth highest amount of minutes for City this season in all comps.

Across all competitions, he’s averaged 1.38 fouls per 90. This is below the line we’re after, but he does tend to step things up in this department against tougher opposition. In 2025/26, he’s committed two or more fouls on 13 occasions, and it’s no coincidence which games they’ve come in.

He made two against United, Liverpool and Spurs. He made three and two in two games against Newcastle and he committed a whopping five against Chelsea. He’s also been carded 13 times in all competitions, by far the most of any City player. In fact, he’s having the worst disciplinary season of his entire career.

This is a selection I love as a bet, but hate the principle of. Gabriel has started to become somewhat notorious for how easy he hits the deck recently. We’ve all seen so many clips of him ‘drawing’ fouls from forwards recently, where he waits and waits then hurls himself to the floor, and it’s working.

He’s been fouled eight times in his last four games, and also drew three in the recent North London Derby win. He also drew a foul in the Premier League meeting on matchday five. He’s averaged 1.12 fouls drawn per 90.

He is often tasked with dealing specifically with Erling Haaland in these games, with the two having some very intense matchups previously. Haaland isn’t a serial fouler but 0.71 per 90 is solid in favour of this bet. Semenyo has often moved into central areas of late, and operated as a second striker. He has averaged 1.36 fouls per 90 too.