Vinicius Jr has had 26 shots on target across his 27 La Liga appearances this season, 22 of these have been starts, taking his average to 1.14 shots on target per 90. He’s been a bit underwhelming this season in the moments that matter the most, but will want to put that right here in a game where he may be leading the line in the absence of Kylian Mbappe. 

Vinicius Jr played up front with Endrick in Real Madrid’s 1-0 win over Getafe last time out, a game in which he found the target. If Mbappe is out, Vinicius will have an increased chance of finding the target as he’s likely to be deployed as part of a front two in the 4-4-2 shape that Carlo Ancelotti has favoured this season.

Real Madrid are averaging 6.4 shots on target per game in La Liga this season and have had 4+ shots on target in each of their head-to-head meetings with Barcelona this campaign. This represents Madrid’s only chance of pipping their rivals to a major trophy this season, so we can expect Los Blancos to be at it from the very start.

Rudiger has committed a foul in each of the head-to-head meetings between these sides this season in the Super Cup and La Liga. He committed four fouls in the Super Cup defeat, also picking up a yellow card in what was a difficult evening for Real Madrid - they committed 14 fouls in that fixture.

Rudiger has committed 15 fouls across his 29 La Liga appearances this season (0.59 per 90). This average is predictably low due to the dominance that Madrid have in games, but that always goes out of the window in the El Classico, with Barcelona a superior side to Los Blancos this season. 

Rudiger will line up against Robert Lewandowski, who is the perfect striker to force a rise in his league foul average this season, as he did in each of the previous head-to-head meetings. Lewandowski has won 34 fouls across his 31 La Liga appearances this season (1.25 per 90).

Should Lewandowski miss this game due to injury, Ferran Torres is an able replacement who could be more of a challenge for Rudiger, considering that he isn’t a traditional number nine. Torres is averaging 1.16 fouls won per 90 in LaLiga this season.

BTTS landed in the most recent head-to-head meeting between these sides as Barcelona ran out 5-2 winners in the Super Cup. A similarly entertaining affair is in store here with this cup final representing Madrid’s last chance of pipping their rivals to a major trophy this season, with Barcelona boasting a four-point lead at the top of La Liga and through to the semi-finals of the Champions League. 

This selection has landed in four of the last five meetings between these sides, with the exception of Barcelona’s 4-0 win over Real Madrid earlier this season. Madrid were still adapting to Mbappe being in the side and the general structure of the attack on that occasion, so we can expect them to offer more of an attacking threat in this cup final, even if Mbappe misses out.

Barcelona are pretty much nailed on to score here, they’ve netted 89 goals across their 33 La Liga games - making them far and away the top scorers in the Spanish top flight. They also scored five goals across the two legs of their semi-final against Atletico Madrid, which sets them up well here to cause Madrid problems.