This bet has succeeded in 5 of Madrid’s last 7 home games and 12 of Barcelona’s last 13 games, while 12 of the last 13 El Clasico fixtures have also seen over 2.5 goals scored.

These two have netted 54 goals across their combined 20 La Liga matches so far this term, and given the attacking talent that will be on display, it’d be a surprise not to see goals here.

Vinicius Junior averages 1.7 fouls per game and has committed a foul in 12 successive appearances for Real Madrid. He will be facing off on the same side as Lamine Yamal, who is fouled at a rate of 2.5 times per game.

The Brazilian committed two fouls and was cautioned against Dortmund last time out, as looks a strong pick to sin at least once here.

Mendy will have the task of defending Lamine Yamal who has been fouled 25 times so far this season. He has also been fouled at least once in all 13 games this term.

Mendy committed two fouls in his most recent appearance against Dortmund and given Yamal’s speed and agility, he’ll likely be drawn into committing at least one foul on Sarturday night.

Yamal is Barcelona’s most frequently fouled player, averaging 2.5 fouls drawn per game. He has been fouled more than twice in 10 of his last 12 starts for the Spaniards.

He has also been fouled 3 or more times on seven occasions this season and was fouled twice the last time he played Real, in a 3-2 defeat last campaign.

Across both La Liga and the Champions League, Real Madrid have seen 40 total goals in 13 games at an average of 3.08 per game. Meanwhile, Barcelona have seen 56 goals in their matches at a rate of 4.31 per game.

The last 10 meeting between the two sides have seen 37 goals, which is 3.70 goals per game, comfortably above this line.

Vinicius Jr’s season average of 1.7 is not far from this line, add into the mix the context of El Clasico, and 2.10 looks great value for the Brazilian to sin at least twice.

Vinicius made 2 fouls the last time Real Madrid faced Barcelona last season, he has also made 6 fouls in his last 2 matches (2 v Dortmund, 4 v Celta Vigo). The winger plays with his heart on his sleeve and if a couple of decisions go against Madrid, he could land this selection with ease.

Despite only making 0.6 fouls per game for Madrid this season, he will be up against Lamine Yamal, who we’ve identified as a regular drawer of fouls.

Yamal drew 1 fouls against Bayern Munich in midweek, he also attempted 11 dribbles (completing 6), more than anyone else on the pitch, his dribbling ability and speed is likely to draw a couple of fouls from Mendy.

The 17-year-old winger averages 3.0 completed dribbles per game which, in turn, leads to a large number of fouls drawn. He will be competing against Vinicius Junior who commits the most fouls for Madrid.

This bet has been successful in 10 of his last 12 starts for Barca and in the hostile environment of the Bernabeu, it’d be no surprise to see Yamal exceed this line on Saturday night.