Kasimpasa v Karagumruk
New Kasimpasa coach Selcuk Inan has won only once since taking charge. Despite the lack of results, the side have scored in each game, but have been leaky at the back, conceding in each game too. Their streak of both sides scoring now extends to 6 straight games.
There are changes in the playing staff amid financial problems at Karagumruk, with several important players leaving. Despite this, there has been an upturn in form, with the side scoring 17 goals in their last six games. However, similarly to Kasimpasa, they have conceded 15 in these six, and have also seen both sides score in their last six games.
Both teams are open and expansive and we should see both streaks extended to 7 games. With this being an Istanbul derby, there should be plenty of fans in the stadium to encourage their teams to push forwards. Both Teams to Score looks the pick of the bets, but Over 2.5 Goals is also appealing.
AEK Athens v Panetolikos
Despite failing to impress in last Sunday’s derby, AEK Athens managed to grab a narrow 1-0 victory and put an end to Panathinaikos’ 16-game unbeaten streak. A huge boost in confidence for Matias Almeyda’s side, who closed the gap on Greek Super League leaders Panathinaikos to four points.
This was AEK’ eighth straight home victory, as they have managed to win all their home games since moving to their new ground, the OPAP Arena. They have not dropped a single point on home soil and the vast majority of their wins have been rather comfortable.
AEK have scored as many as 19 goals in those eight games, averaging almost 2.4 goals per home game. Meanwhile, they have conceded just one goal and have kept as many as seven clean sheets. In fact, they have won all but two of these games with a winning margin of at least two goals.
The only games in which they failed to grab comfortable victories were against Panathinaikos, who have the best defence in the league, and Atromitos, whose goalkeeper that day made a record 11 saves.
This won’t be the case against Panetolikos, who have conceded seven goals in their last four games. AEK defeated the Agrinio-based side 2-0 on the road back in mid-September, but Almeyda’s side have significantly improved since then, boasting the best attack in Greece with 32 goals in 17 games.
Last Monday, Panetolikos conceded four goals in the game against OFI, who have been struggling due to their lack of a finishing touch and had scored one goal in their previous three games.
Hence, AEK is expected to cruise past Panetolikos and register a comfortable victory with a winning margin of at least two goals.
Olympiacos v Aris
As many as 11,000 Olympiacos fans made the three-hour trip to Volos to see their team thrash the local side 4-0 and record three wins in a row for the first time this season. Confidence is sky-high in Piraeus, as they saw their fierce-rivals drop points away at AEK, which means that Olympiacos now sit seven points behind Panathinaikos in the table.
After coach Michel shifted to a 4-2-3-1 formation with three playmakers, Olympiacos have been scoring an extraordinary average of one goal every less than 30 minutes. In fact, they have netted as many as 19 goals in their last six games across all competitions. Michel’s side have won back fans with their recent displays, and the game against Aris is expected to be sold out, as Olympiacos now need to prove that they can win and produce attracting spectacle in a match against a strong side.
Aris may have been struggling this year, but they sit fifth in the table, seven points behind Olympiacos, whom they beat back in September on home soil despite going a goal down. Yet, many things have changed since that game and Olympiacos have not conceded a single goal in their last three duels.
The reigning Greek Super League champions are in desperate need of a statement win against a strong rival and Aris is considered as one of the top 5 Greek teams. Olympiacos have won 13 of their last 14 home games against Aris and only three of these duels ended with less than 1.5 goals scored.
Olympiacos will seek revenge for their defeat in the first round and they want to offer their fans another entertaining performance on home soil, where they average two goals per game this season.
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