Football Accumulator Tips Today

Borussia Dortmund and Werder Bremen played each other earlier this month in a game that ended 2-2, with 32 shots between them.

BTTS has landed in every Werder Bremen Bundesliga game so far, with the team averaging two goals scored and two conceded per game.

Their defence has been so shaky that they even conceded twice at home to Paderborn, who have one of the weakest attacks in the Bundesliga.

Dortmund have scored in every home game this season and are averaging 18 shots per game at home.

The problem for the hosts is that they've struggled against some of the stronger attacks they've faced, conceding twice against Villarreal, Bayern Munich and Bremen.

The visitors will have Füllkrug, the Bundesliga's top scorer, and Grüll, one of the league's top assist providers, which makes BTTS look even more likely here.

Torino and Como have both been looking sharp going forward in their last four games, but they've also had their fair share of problems at the back.

Torino have conceded in all four home games so far, including against Udinese, who are fighting to avoid relegation.

Como haven't kept a single clean sheet away from home in Serie A either, even against teams that don't score many goals, like Genoa.

Fàbregas' side have been looking much better going forward, though, averaging 20 shots and 1.71 xG per away game.

Anastasios Douvikas has scored in Como's last four games, including twice against Sassuolo in the previous round, and he's available for this one.

Giovanni Simeone has been involved in three goals over his last two games and could have a big part to play against a team that's averaging 1.78 xGA away from home.

Lazio are playing their best football of the season right now, with one of the strongest attacks in the league and at least two goals scored in each of their last six games.

They beat Juventus 3-0 away from home, drew 2-2 with Milan and now face a Sassuolo side that have conceded in all eight league games so far.

The problem is that Lazio are averaging 1.60 xGA away from home and are up against a team that had scored in every league game until the last round.

They gave away 17 shots against bottom-of-the-table Venezia and even conceded against Parma, who have the worst attack in the league.

Sassuolo's strong home record makes BTTS look even better here, especially with key attacking players like Vasilije Adžić and Domenico Berardi available.

These have been two of the top performing sides in League Two in the early stages of the season, setting up an entertaining clash with Barnet sitting in an automatic promotion spot, and York not far behind the playoffs.

Barnet have seen BTTS in each of their last four matches ahead of this one, losing just one of these games. They’ve only managed to win half of their home games in League Two this term, notably conceding nine goals across their six matches but scoring 12 (2.0 per game).

York have seen BTTS in three of their last five matches, avoiding defeat in all of these games. They are yet to win away from home in League Two this term, but have scored in four of their five away assignments. 

These two faced off in the National League last year, with Barnet coming away 3-1 winners on that occasion. Both have started the season well, and have enough to get on the scoresheet.

This is going to be a really interesting game, especially after the news that Sheffield Wednesday have parted ways with manager Henrik Pedersen, coming after back-to-back 2-0 defeats on the road.

They have been a lot better in front of goal when playing at home though, with them winning by five goals on two separate occasions already this season. They are currently averaging 1.8 goals scored per game, whilst conceding 1.1 across their 12 league games, so their averages for a BTTS game are strong.

They also have an xG conceded of 15.97, from their 12 goals conceded, which suggests that they are overperforming defensively, but Cambridge are a team that can punish you when given the opportunity. They are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game this season, scoring 20 goals from an xG of 15.31, which shows they are very clinical in front of goal.

Cambridge have seen both teams score in 12 of their 13 league games this season, with this landing in each of their five away games, which does make the 1.61 price very appealing for me. Wednesday possess the quality in attack to cause Cambridge problems here, and with Cambridge’s strong scoring record, especially on the road, I would’ve expected this price to be lower.

It’s no secret that Bromley have struggled to adapt to life in League One. Being winless in four and sitting in the relegation zone has seen long-term manager Andy Woodman have a shock exit from the club this week.

At the club for five seasons, Woodman led Bromley to two promotions, and his mutual departure will have caused a big stir at the club, which I think will only negatively impact the players. It has caused a rift amongst the fanbase for the Chairman, with his decision seeming to disregard the incredible job that Woodman did, which could cause a very toxic away end here.

That said, they have really struggled this season, winless on the road since their opening day victory at Barnsley and also sit bottom for a large amount of attacking metrics. They currently have had the least touches in opposition boxes, least shots taken and have the lowest xG across the whole division, and I fear this could continue.

MK Dons on the other hand, have shown glimpses of quality this season, with their impressive performances against Luton and Stevenage rewarding them with three points. They are in need of a run of wins here, with boss Paul Warne under pressure, so will be looking at this weakened Bromley side as a great opportunity to do so.

MK Dons also beat Bromley here when the two were fighting for the League Two title, despite going down to 10 men, so will be feeling confident. In that game, Bromley looked to struggle on the wide pitch at Stadium MK, and with Warne’s side still operating in a wing-back system, they will be looking to stretch the pitch again and exploit this Bromley side.

Given the context of Bromley’s struggles, combined with the playstyle differences, I think 1.61 for an MK Dons win is slightly overpriced. I feel a fairer price would be closer to the 1.50 mark, which means there is value in backing an MK Dons victory tonight.

Wigan have really struggled this season, particularly on the road where they have only registered one point from their six away games.

Across the entire season, they have scored just eight goals, averaging just 0.7 per game, whilst also struggling with a very thin squad, having to rely on younger, inexperienced players to make up numbers, resulting in them having one of the youngest average ages in the whole division with 23.0. What hasn’t helped them is the amount of suspensions they have received, with Charlie Gray and Fraser Murray set to miss this one for that exact reason.

Despite a similar rocky start to League One, Leicester are by far the better of the two sides here, and have shown glimpses of quality in Russell Martin’s system. Although they sit in mid table, their underlying attacking metrics suggest they could be higher.

They have the 5th highest xG, and register the 6th most touches in an opposition box of any team in League One. When you compare that to Wigan who sit bottom, not only in the table, but for goals scored, I’m struggling to see Leicester having any problems here.

Oliver Provstgaard has been giving away a lot more fouls this season, more than doubling his average from 0.80 to 1.83 per 90 minutes.

He leads Lazio in fouls committed in Serie A and has already picked up three yellow cards, including one against Parma in the last round, despite only playing one half.

All three of his yellow cards came from fouls on opposition attackers, and Sassuolo have plenty of players who are good at winning fouls.

Kieron Bowie is averaging two fouls won per 90 minutes this season and could be directly up against Provstgaard, who'll also have to deal with Darryl Bakola making runs forward.

The midfielder won three fouls against Como and was the player who got Yan Couto booked in the last game.

Provstgaard has committed at least one foul in eight of his nine games this season, and things won't be easy for him against a Sassuolo side that play more aggressively at home.

Bryan Cristante has given away three fouls in each of his last three games and picked up a yellow card against Napoli last time out.

Only one Roma player has committed more fouls than him this season. He's averaging 1.86 per game and has already picked up two yellow cards.

One player he could come up against is Daniel Maldini, who also plays through the middle and is one of Cagliari's most fouled players.

Maldini has won at least one foul in every game this season and is averaging 1.98 per game.

Roma have picked up the 3rd-most yellow cards in Serie A, and Cristante had a tough time against Cagliari the last time they met, giving away three fouls.

With his recent record and the players he could be up against, Cristante looks set for another busy night against Cagliari.

Sparta Rotterdam still haven't managed a single clean sheet this season, conceding in all 10 league games so far.

Their defence has been so poor that they've even conceded twice at home against PEC Zwolle and Willem II, two of the weakest attacks in the Eredivisie.

Their xGA of 2.14 doesn't look any better, especially when you consider they're giving away an average of 18 shots per game.

Fortuna have scored 11 goals in five away games, but they've also seen BTTS land in four of those five matches.

That's not a great sign for Fortuna's defence, especially as Sparta have already shown they can score against some of the league's best defences, including Ajax and PSV.

Sparta just can't seem to keep a clean sheet, but they've also scored seven goals in their last three games, making BTTS look like a great option here.

Bournemouth are enjoying their best attacking run of the season, scoring at least twice in each of their last four games.

They've picked up two big 3-0 wins against Manchester United and Milan, racking up 30 shots across those two games.

Aston Villa have been looking sharp too, scoring in their last nine games and coming off a big 2-1 win over Manchester City.

Ibrahim Mbaye has been involved in two goals in his last two games, giving him four goal contributions this season, despite rarely playing more than one half.

He's averaging 3.34 shots per 90 minutes and should get more minutes against Bournemouth.

BTTS looks even more promising when you consider that Bournemouth are averaging 22 shots per game at home, while Aston Villa have an away xGA of 1.66 per game in the Premier League.

Monza have scored in every Serie A game so far, with BTTS landing in seven of their eight matches.

Gustavo Varela has scored seven of Monza's 15 league goals, including three in his last two games.

Their attack has been pretty consistent, but it's their defence that's the real problem, conceding more than two goals per game on average.

They've conceded three or more in over half their games and are giving away an average of 5.3 shots on target.

This looks like another good game for BTTS, especially as Napoli have been struggling at the back too, conceding six goals in their last two home games.

Going forward, though, Napoli are averaging 16 shots per away game, and Scott McTominay is in great form, scoring twice in each of his last two games.