Cardiff are unbeaten in their last 5 in all competitions, winning 2 and drawing 3. Those 3 draws included a well earned point away at 1 of the division’s top teams in Middlesbrough, and a home draw against Coventry, where the Bluebirds played half of the game with 10 men.

Swansea have lost 3 away games on the spin, conceding 9 goals in the process. Admittedly 1 of those defeats came against Premier League opposition in the FA Cup, but the other 2 came at 22nd and 23rd in the league table. With Cardiff currently 21st, they will fancy their chances of a valuable 3 points.

Rather helpfully, we have the last 5 seasons worth of evidence, plus the game earlier this season, to confirm that both teams rarely score in this fixture. Just 2 of the last 11 meetings have seen both teams find the net.

In terms of this season, 9 or Cardiff’s 13 home games would have seen this bet land, together with 7 of Swansea’s 13 away games.

Only Leeds and Sheffield United, the 2 best sides in the league based on points won, have prevented Cardiff from having 4 or more corners at the Cardiff City Stadium.

This bet also looks favourable in terms of the opposition Swansea have faced on their travels this season, with 11 out of 13 teams managing 4 or more corners.

Cardiff full back Ng has been shown more yellow cards this season that any other player who will be on the pitch on Saturday, 1 of which was picked up when these sides met earlier in the season. He averages 1.4 fouls per 90.

He could have either Eom Ji-sung (fouled 1.6 times per 90) or Ronald Pereira (fouled 2.1 times per 90) on his side of the pitch, which should increase the likelihood of this bet winning.

We took out some insurance on Bet Builder 1 with the draw, but we’ll go straight up Cardiff win on the second.

It looks possible that Swansea will be without 1 or both starting centre backs for this game, with Harry Darling and Ben Cabango both injury doubts, which will make Swansea significantly weaker.

Even with the pair of them, they’ve lost at 22nd place Hull and 23rd place Portsmouth in the last month. Cardiff should see this as a big chance to get another win on the board.

When these 2 sides met back in August, each side picked up 2 cards.

That has been a regular occurrence for Cardiff City in their home games, being shown 2 or more cards 8 times out of 13.

The referee will want to keep a lid on things early on with this being a derby game, but we don’t think 2 cards is a much of a push, and it would very easily end up looking a really safe bet.

This bet has landed more often that not in Swansea’s away game this season, with 7 out of 13 seeing them pick up 2 cards or more.

Adding even more encouragement is that Cardiff’s opponents at home this season have picked up 2 or more cards on 9 occasions.

Swansea’s top scorer Cullen has 8 Championship goals to his name so far this season, which is double the amount of the next highest Swans player.

He averages 1 shot on target per 90, and scored the opener in this fixture back in August. He takes 2.5 shots per 90, so he should be able to fashion ample shooting opportunities in this game.