Alcaraz and Fritz have played four sets of tennis against each other on tour, and Alcaraz has won all four. Not only this, but Fritz is yet to force Alcaraz past 7-5 in a set as well, so all four sets have been won by at least two games.

For this part of the Bet Builder to land, we would like a continuation of that same form. A single break per set win for Alcaraz, as he managed against Cameron Norrie in the quarter-finals, would see this in.

Obviously, Fritz poses a greater threat than Norrie, and he is playing well. There is a possibility of a tie-break given the way that Fritz is serving, and on this surface as well, but there is also the chance of more one-sided sets to counteract this as well.

Alcaraz has really managed to dial his serve in over the last couple of rounds. This line works quite well as an average over the tournament, but that fails to take into account the change that Alcaraz has brought to his game in these latter stages.

He hit 22 aces in four sets against Andrey Rublev, and 13 in three sets against Cameron Norrie. The chances are that he might have to play a couple more service games than he did against Norrie as well.

In the tour level matches that Alcaraz has played against Fritz, the four sets played have resulted in only one double fault so far for Carlos Alcaraz.

Hitting over four double faults in a match is quite a rare scenario for Alcaraz as well. In this tournament, he hit four against Norrie, three against Rublev, four against Struff, four against Tarvet, and nine(!) against Fognini in the opening round. To caveat that match though, it was five sets, the first match of the tournament, and Fognini also hit nine double faults in the match, sometimes players can fall into that trap.