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West Brom v Wolves Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

West Brom v Wolves Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Saturday 27 January, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

West Brom v Wolves

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Kick off: Sunday 28th January at 11:45
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Competition: FA Cup
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Watch Live: ITV1

Here at Andy's Bet Club, we're all over the FA Cup fourth round with the site featuring FA Cup bet builders and some FA Cup acca tips. It's not just the FA Cup either though, with a variety of expert football tips & predictions from across Europe and beyond available for this weekend's action.

To increase your punting potential this week you should also check out the various free bet offers and all of the latest bookmaker accounts for 2024 with the best bet builder sites, that way you know you're getting the best value for money.

The Black Country derby returns to the fixture list for these two teams for the first time since West Brom’s last Premier League season in 2021.

It is one of the longest running derbies in the world as football took a big hold of the working classes, pit workers, and factory workers in the second half of the 19th century. The Black Country obviously forms a very important part of this industrial history, and both West Bromwich Albion and Wolverhampton Wanderers were formed during this time. They played an FA Cup tie against each other way back in 1886, West Brom winning that encounter 3-1.

A West Brom win has been the most common result in the Black Country derby. The Baggies have won 65, ahead of Wolves’ 53 with 44 draws as well. The derby has been scarce in the last decade though, the teams have tended to avoid being in the same league, the derbies in the 2020/21 Premier League were the first since 2012, and there haven’t been any since. Regardless, Baggies are unbeaten in four derbies, with Wolves getting bragging rights only twice in the last fifteen derbies.

Things are different ahead of this match though. Wolves are the team coming into it as an established Premier League club, whilst West Brom are ‘enjoying’ their third consecutive season in the second tier, and have had major ownership issues in recent years as well.

It is a huge game for both sets of fans, as it is for the players and staff. There are a few angles to discuss ahead of the game and we are able to guide you through the most pertinent of these using data and stats, especially the use of our cheat sheet.

West Brom v Wolves Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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There are so many ways to use our Cheat Sheets, and we encourage you to find your own formula to pick a winning bet builder, however, if you're unsure of how to use a Cheat Sheet, just click the link for some quick tips to help you make the most of it.

⚽️ Match stats: Premier League Mid-table Wolves to assert superiority over blunt Baggies

There have been a couple of cup matches this week which have had the effect of emphasising the difference between the Premier League and the Championship. Chelsea battered Middlesbrough, an upper mid table Championship club, 6-1 in the semi-final of the League Cup, and Thursday night saw Bournemouth take Swansea to task when it was 5-0 to the Premier League at half-time in their FA Cup match. Obviously, these are only two examples, and because they are recent they are fairly compelling, but can’t be seen as a rule. However, it is worth bearing in mind that Wolves, who sit in lower midtable in terms of Premier League points, but also xG created, shots on target, and big chances missed, even attaining that below average standard in the Premier League is a very high level compared to West Brom’s Championship stats. The Baggies are amongst the best in the second tier from a defensive perspective. Their xG against numbers are third only to Leicester and Leeds, and they have the most clean sheets in the league too. This illustrates the approach of Carlos Corberan. He isn’t a defensive and dour coach, but he is able to set his side up in a very organised, aand smart tactical way. This is what Gary O’Neil and his team will expect, but O’Neil has shown himself to be an astute tactical planner as well and will back himself to find a way through.

Predictions:

⚽ Wolves to win @ 1.95

🎯 Shooting stats: High shot volume for West Brom forwards could have Wolves in trouble

There could be a premium on shots being taken in this match. It is an early, indeed, a morning, kick-off in a tense local derby with two well organised teams. West Brom only average the 20th most shots on target in the Championship, which, especially for a play-off placed team, is very low. Wolves are 15th in the Premier League for shots on target, so backing the overs in team shots doesn’t really appeal too much for this match. In terms of individuals, there are a couple of angles that should be worth taking on and adding to a bet builder. Wolves’ shot count is dominated by the usual front two of Matheus Cunha and Hwang Hee-Chan. Cunha is likely to be the main man here and he is the type of player to take things on himself on occasions like this. He is averaging around 2.5 shots per Premier League match so adding two and/or three shots to a bet builder is a good option. West Brom have Brandon Thomas-Asante to tends to lead the line, but both he and the likes of John Swift are priced up too short to endorse a bet on them. Okay Yokuslu, however, may well fancy his chances. The midfielder plays every minute that he is available, but did pick up a knock against Norwich, putting his participation in a bit of doubt, so wait for team news if you plan on backing him. He is averaging just over a shot per match and whilst he is odds on here (at 1.67), he is another man for the big occasion who is likely to grab the match by the scruff of the neck.

Predictions:

⚽ Matheus Cunha to have 2+ shots @ 1.18

⚽ Matheus Cunha to have 3+ shots @ 1.67

⛳ Corner stats: Corner market could be well contested

West Brom are a fairly corner heavy team. Their home matches average just over 12 corners, with West Brom averaging about a corner and a half more than their visitors (6.14 v 4.68). Wolves are pretty much the total opposite. Their away totals are low for Premier League standards, only 9.27 corners per match in their away games. They also trail their hosts pretty handily (3.27 v 6) in terms of corners won. The question is, how do these contradictory positions come together in this match? It is obviously not as straightforward of porting these statistics into this match. Wolves are more likely to have more of the match here than they do on average in the Premier League.and are probably favourites, however, they are fairly short in the match bet.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 4.5 West Brom corners @ 1.85

⚽ West Brom corner match bet @ 2.40

🟨 Cards stats: Don’t go mad on cards for the Black County derby

This may well be a derby match, but looking in the recent history books there haven’t been disciplinary fireworks. The 2021 Premier League meetings had two and one bookings in the January and May meetings respectively. Even in the matches preceding that, back in 2012, there were only two and three bookings in those two matches as well. However, there hasn’t been one for a while again, and we are averaging more yellow cards per match than we used to. The individual markets are probably better to play in this scenario. Starting with Wolves, Matheus Cunha is the best value selection. The Brazilian is a frequent enough fouler to get a booking that way, but he is also a potential player to let the occasion change his demeanour and get a booking for other reasons too. Darnell Furlong is the biggest fouler in the West Brom line-up and he has six bookings to his name already. He has also been at West Brom for quite a while now and this match may mean more to him than most. The final name to put forward is actually a player who hasn’t yet received a caution this season. Conor Townsend is fairly high up in West Brom’s list of foulers, but he is due a card. This might be the most likely chance of that duck being broken.

Predictions:

⚽ Darnell Furlong to be shown a card @ 2.75

⚽ Matheus Cunha to be shown a card @ 3.75

⚽ Conor Townsend to be shown a card @ 4.0

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