There could be a premium on shots being taken in this match. It is an early, indeed, a morning, kick-off in a tense local derby with two well organised teams.

West Brom only average the 20th most shots on target in the Championship, which, especially for a play-off placed team, is very low. Wolves are 15th in the Premier League for shots on target, so backing the overs in team shots doesn’t really appeal too much for this match.

In terms of individuals, there are a couple of angles that should be worth taking on and adding to a bet builder.

Wolves’ shot count is dominated by the usual front two of Matheus Cunha and Hwang Hee-Chan. Cunha is likely to be the main man here and he is the type of player to take things on himself on occasions like this. He is averaging around 2.5 shots per Premier League match so adding two and/or three shots to a bet builder is a good option.

West Brom have Brandon Thomas-Asante to tends to lead the line, but both he and the likes of John Swift are priced up too short to endorse a bet on them.

Okay Yokuslu, however, may well fancy his chances. The midfielder plays every minute that he is available, but did pick up a knock against Norwich, putting his participation in a bit of doubt, so wait for team news if you plan on backing him. He is averaging just over a shot per match and whilst he is odds on here (at 1.67), he is another man for the big occasion who is likely to grab the match by the scruff of the neck.

West Brom are a fairly corner heavy team. Their home matches average just over 12 corners, with West Brom averaging about a corner and a half more than their visitors (6.14 v 4.68).

Wolves are pretty much the total opposite. Their away totals are low for Premier League standards, only 9.27 corners per match in their away games. They also trail their hosts pretty handily (3.27 v 6) in terms of corners won.

The question is, how do these contradictory positions come together in this match? It is obviously not as straightforward of porting these statistics into this match. Wolves are more likely to have more of the match here than they do on average in the Premier League.and are probably favourites, however, they are fairly short in the match bet.

This may well be a derby match, but looking in the recent history books there haven’t been disciplinary fireworks. The 2021 Premier League meetings had two and one bookings in the January and May meetings respectively. Even in the matches preceding that, back in 2012, there were only two and three bookings in those two matches as well.

However, there hasn’t been one for a while again, and we are averaging more yellow cards per match than we used to.

The individual markets are probably better to play in this scenario. Starting with Wolves, Matheus Cunha is the best value selection. The Brazilian is a frequent enough fouler to get a booking that way, but he is also a potential player to let the occasion change his demeanour and get a booking for other reasons too.

Darnell Furlong is the biggest fouler in the West Brom line-up and he has six bookings to his name already. He has also been at West Brom for quite a while now and this match may mean more to him than most.

The final name to put forward is actually a player who hasn’t yet received a caution this season. Conor Townsend is fairly high up in West Brom’s list of foulers, but he is due a card. This might be the most likely chance of that duck being broken.