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Wigan v Man United Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Wigan v Man United Bet Builder Stats & Predictions

Saturday 6 January, 20243 min read
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Andy Robson

Andy Robson is the most popular betting tipster in the UK. With a combined following in excess of 1 million people across his social media channels, Andy has built a loyal audience by consistently providing quality betting content for over nine years. He is the founder of Andy’s Bet Club, which he launched in 2019.

In this article...

Wigan v Man United

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Kick Off: Monday 8th January at 20:15
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Competition: FA Cup
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Watch Live: ITV1

We have been all over the FA Cup weekend here at Andy's Bet Club, with our Wigan v Man United bet builder capping off a range of FA Cup bet builders for games across the weekend. We've not taken our eye off the ball though, with coverage continuing from across Europe and beyond with our experts supplying the usual range of expert football tips & predictions that you've come to expect.

If you like what you see and want to get involved, check out the various free bet offers and all of the best bookmaker offers so you can be sure you're always getting the very best value for money.

For a decade this match was a Premier League fixture but Wigan fans are in the position of generally being grateful that their club is still around to see fixtures like this come around at the DW Stadium.

The Latics have been through some tough times since their Premier League days, with points deductions due to money and ownership issues causing relegations. The current ownership does seem to be reliable but the club has had to contend with a points deduction of eight points for this season as well, which amount to the gap between their current 17th place and a safe 10th in the League One table.

Ownership has been a huge topic for Man United fans all season long. The recent news of the INEOS investment is a positive one, though it falls short of the end goal of many United fan groups of getting a full takeover away from the Glazer family. 

On the pitch, both clubs are probably falling short of their expectations. Wigan flew out of the traps this season, but have faltered and been inconsistent since. However, they may fancy a crack at Man United given the Red Devils’ form.

Erik ten Hag’s side have lost three in four away games, with the 0-0 draw against Liverpool the non-defeat. Playing against a League One team should at least give United some respite from being under pressure all the time, but, with the expected rotation too, there could be some rustiness in their organisation.

There are lots of aspects to consider when putting a bet builder together for this match. The difference between the two leagues is a major consideration, as is the potential rotation that may occur, but there is a real excitement to this tie and that plays into the bet builder selections as well.

Wigan v Man United Cheat Sheet

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This Cheat Sheet and Preview was created using predicted lineups.

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⚽ Match stats: Wigan demonstrating big overperformance in their league data

When assessing the match data, it is no real surprise that Man United are under pressure to maintain a bid for the European places. Their performance data really does mark them out as a pretty average team in the Premier League in both attack and defence. There are some positives, they have a very low goals against record, so Wigan could struggle to break through. Having said that, it is possible that United have been a touch fortunate defensively as they rank very much mid table for expected goals against. This matches most of their attacking metrics, which look less than impressive. Manchester United are 17th for goals scored, a figure that seems offensive to the recent history of the club. Again, this is slightly unfortunate because their xG, shots on target and big chances numbers are better than 17th, but still very much mid table (11th-12th). How this translates to League One opposition remains unclear. Man United will expect to dominate possession in the match, Wigan only average 51% of the ball in League One, ranking them 13th in the league, and so are likely to cede possession and keep their shape here. The Latics are also home birds. 22 of their 27 points have come at home. However, there has been a big overperformance in front of goal for Wigan, they are around mid table for goals scored, but most of their other attacking numbers are relegation battle standard. This trend continues in the defensive metrics too, with a top half goals conceded record being propped up by a relegation standard xG against record. This either means that Wigan have been very fortunate in their results this season, or that they are a very high performing side in both boxes with their finishing and box defending.

Predictions:

⚽ Man United to win @ 1.22

🎯 Shooting stats: Garnacho and Rashford lead the way

Alejandro Garnacho has been a revelation for Manchester United, and he has become their go-to man for getting shots away. The young Argentine is averaging 3.63 shots per 90 minutes, and it is unlikely that the Wigan defence will have come up against such a talent of late. There are two spots for Man United that look more interesting. If Scott McTominay starts, he is the Man United player with the best shot on target percentage, averaging over 1 per 90. Facundo Pellistri could also get a start and he is a much bigger price than his contemporaries in this match, but wait for team news before backing him. Charlie Hughes has a couple of goals from central defence this season, and though his shot rate isn’t impressive, Wigan could have to rely on some effective set pieces to give themselves a chance.

Predictions:

⚽ Scott McTominay to have 1+ shots on target @ 1.57

⚽ Charlie Hughes to have 1+ shots @ 2.10

⛳ Corners stats: Potential high corner totals in store

Both sides are not particularly strong in terms of winning more corners than their opposition during league play. Wigan at home in League One have a negative corner split, conceding just over 5 on average at the DW Stadium. This would be expected to continue against a Premier League side, even one with as poor stats as Man United. United actually concede almost double the amount of corners that they force away from home. Their 7 corners conceded on average away from home should give some Wigan some hope in this metric. So even though neither team is great at creating corner opportunities, according to their seasonal record, they both struggle to prevent them too. This supplies extra value to the Charlie Hughes shooting tip as well.

Predictions:

⚽ Over 7.5 match corners @ 1.33

⚽ Over 2.5 Wigan corners @ 1.80

🟨 Cards stats: Wigan have the most yellow cards in League One

The Latics have the worst disciplinary record in League One and have a number of candidates for individual cards as well. Man United sit mid table in the Premier League fair play table, so the home side could be good value for the most yellows in the match. Sean Clare is favourite in the market for individual yellow cards and there is certainly a case to be made for that to be the case. However, Callum Lang has picked up the same number of yellows and is a much bigger price. Scott Smith is also a touch of value in this market. For Man United, Scott McTominay is United’s 3rd highest fouler this season, but hasn't yet picked up a caution, so he looks value for one soon.

Predictions:

⚽ Callum Lang to be shown a card @ 4.0

⚽ Scott Smith to be shown a card @ 3.50

⚽ Scott McTominay to be shown a card @ 4.0

⚽ Wigan to receive the most cards @ 1.87

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