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Burnley v Wolves Bet Builder Tips, 9/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Burnley v Wolves Bet Builder Tips, 9/1 Longshot Predictions & Cheat Sheet

Saturday 23 May, 20263 min read
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With a passion for data and tactical analysis, leveraging those interests to find value in the markets. Massive Jurgen Klopp fan, and Liverpool supporter.

• Burnley have failed to win any of their last 12 matches across all competitions. 

• Wolves have failed to win any of their last eight matches across all competitions. 

• 9+ corners has landed in 10 of the last 13 matches for Burnley.

• Wolves have conceded 5+ corners in nine of their last 11 matches. 

• Wolves have picked up 2+ cards in five of their last six games.

Burnley v Wolves Best Bet Builder Bets
  • Burnley v Wolves
  • Premier League
  • 16:00
4 Selections @ 5.00

Over 2.5 Goals

With neither side having anything left to play for, this is a chance for them to release the handbrake and play with freedom in the final third. This is a clash between the two worst defensive units in the Premier League, as Burnley have conceded 74 goals in their 37 league matches, while Wolves have shipped 67. However, Wolves have been much worse on their travels this season - they have failed to win any of their 18 matches on the road, which includes three losses in a row. Those results include a 3-0 loss against Brighton, 3-0 loss against Leeds, and a 4-0 loss against West Ham. Their opponents have cleared this line on their own in each of those games. 

The reverse fixture between the sides finished 3-2 to Burnley when they met in October, and another open game is expected on Sunday afternoon.

Wolves to have 4+ Shots on Target

Burnley have conceded the most goals in the Premier League this season, but they have also faced the most shots and shots on target of any side in the division, which shows just how leaky they have been at the back. Martin Dubravka has been kept extremely busy between the sticks, and there is no reason to expect that to change here on the final day of the season.

Wolves drew 1-1 with Fulham last time out, registering 11 shots in that match with three hitting the target - they went incredibly close to hitting this mark, as Adam Armstrong was unfortunate to be denied by the post. Wolves also had another great chance in the final few minutes, which they failed to get on target. Wolves registered 15 shots with seven on target in the reverse fixture against Burnley earlier this season, so this is a much easier matchup for them.

Mateus Mane to have 2+ Shots

Mateus Mane is one of several Wolves players expected to remain in the Premier League next season, even if Wolves go down, as he has been one of the shining lights in an otherwise dismal season. Mane scored the only goal for Wolves against Fulham last time out, helping his side earn a rare point, and he landed this selection with two shots in that game. He is averaging 2.07 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, which is one of the highest figures in the Wolves squad, and he has landed this selection in three of his last four matches. 

The 18-year-old has played without fear since being promoted to the first team, and 27 of his 38 shots in the league have come from outside the box. Three of those have found the back of the net, which shows how he strikes the ball cleanly.

Joao Gomes to Commit 2+ Fouls

Joao Gomes has 10 bookings; he ranks 2nd of all Premier League players this season for total fouls committed, which highlights just how aggressive he is in the heart of midfield. 

The Brazilian is averaging 2.2 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, rising to 2.41 when playing away. He has landed this selection in seven of his last 10 matches across all competitions on the road, including two fouls against Brighton in his last away outing, and three infringements against Leeds before that.

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Burnley v Wolves Best Longshot Bets
  • Burnley v Wolves
  • Premier League
  • 16:00
3 Selections @ 10.00

Hannibal Mejbri to Score or Assist

Joao Gomes should find duels against Hannibal Mejbri in midfield, and that is a matchup to keep an eye on. The Tunisian is averaging 3.38 fouls drawn per 90 this season, and he has recently returned from injury to start in midfield for Burnley. 

The Clarets pose a much greater threat in the final third when Mejbri starts, and he contributed an assist against Aston Villa on his first start back from injury. He has only started 13 league matches this season, but Mejbri has chipped in with one goal and four assists. That includes providing the assist for Lyle Foster to score the winning goal against Wolves in the reverse fixture. Mejbri had only been introduced to the game for a couple of minutes before, but he only needed a short time to make his impact.

Hwang Hee-Chan to Commit 2+ Fouls

Hwang Hee-Chan has started each of the last two matches for Wolves, suggesting he is back to full fitness after a difficult injury-hit campaign. He provided the assist for Mateus Mane to score against Fulham last time out, and his presence in the side is a massive boost for this final game. In addition to that, Hwang also presses intensely from the front. 

He recorded no fouls against Fulham last time out, which was an unusual blank given that Wolves accumulated 20 infringements as a team. However, Hwang committed two fouls and was shown a yellow card against Brighton just before that game.

The South Korean is averaging 1.94 fouls per 90 across all competitions this season, which is one of the highest figures in the Wolves squad, and this selection has landed in four of his last six starts on the road.

Zian Flemming to have 2+ Shots on Target

Zian Flemming blanked against Arsenal last time out, but he managed to find the back of the net against Aston Villa before that, and that goal put him into double digits for the season. It has been a season to forget for Burnley, but Flemming has proven that he can cause problems in the final third - he has bagged 10 goals, and just two have come from the penalty spot. 

Two of those also came in the reverse fixture against Wolves, when the Dutchman had three shots, all of which hit the target, and two found the back of the net. Given how poor Wolves have been on their travels recently, Flemming should really be looking forward to this matchup at Turf Moor. He is averaging 2.71 shots per 90 across all competitions this season, rising notably to 3.52 when playing at home.

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📂 Burnley v Wolves Cheat Sheet

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📈 Burnley v Wolves Form & Tactics

Burnley's last win came in February, as they beat Crystal Palace 3-2 at Selhurst Park, but they followed that up by losing 2-1 against Mansfield Town in the FA Cup. Since then, the Clarets have failed to win any of their next 11 Premier League matches, taking just three points in that time. Interim manager Michael Jackson will be desperate to put an end to that streak this weekend, which would end the campaign on somewhat of a positive note. It’s an excellent opportunity for his side to do just that. 

Rob Edwards’ men also find themselves on a losing run, which has lasted for eight matches. They were able to snatch a point from Fulham last time out, but it is worth noting that their away form has been significantly worse than when Wolves play at Molineux. In fact, Wolves are still yet to taste victory on their travels in the league this season - they have drawn five and lost 13 of their 18 matches overall. They were beaten in their last away match against Brighton, and it was barely a contest at the Amex Stadium.


📔 Burnley v Wolves Formation & Team News

Flemming looks set to start up front on Sunday night, with Loum Tchaouna and Jaidon Anthony providing width. Hannibal Mejbri should start again in an advanced midfield role having downplayed the knock he picked up against Villa, with Florentino Luis and Lesley Ugochukwu in the double pivot. Lucas Pires and Kyle Walker look set to play in the full back spots, while Bashir Humphreys was dropped to the bench against Arsenal last time out, which saw Maxime Esteve and Axel Tuanzebe partner up in central defence. 

Rob Edwards hasn’t made too many changes to his eleven recently, so Joao Gomes and Andre should continue in midfield, with Jose Sa in goal. David Moller Wolfe had to be replaced late on against Fulham with an injury, so Pedro Lima could reclaim his starting spot at wing back, with either Hugo Bueno or Rodrigo Gomes on the opposite flank.


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