💎 Gem Bet: Habib Diarra - 2+ Fouls Won @ 2.00 (Bet365)

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Habib Diarra has won 2+ fouls in each of his last four Premier League appearances, and is priced as short as 1.13 to win just one foul here. He’ll be lining up against an incredibly combative Wolves team, who have committed more fouls than any other side in the Premier League this season (13.0 per game). 

I’m particularly interested in his battle against Joao Gomes and Andre in the middle of the park. I think Diarra has the physical profile and tenacity to match the aggression of this duo, who combine to commit 3.59 fouls per 90 in the Premier League:

Andre: 1.38 fouls p/90 (1.14 for 1+ Fouls)
Joao Gomes: 2.21 fouls p/90 (1.06 for 1+ Fouls)

Across the season as a whole, Diarra has won 26 fouls across his 15 starts in the Premier League - working out to an average of 1.74 fouls won per 90. This means that we only need a small rise in his usual foul won numbers to land a winner here. Wolves are the perfect side to force that rise, particularly their midfield duo who should continue to be aggressive here.

Getting 2.0 for Diarra to win a few fouls on Saturday is good value, the exact same selection is priced as low as 1.44 with other major bookmakers making this an appealing selection when looking at the underlying numbers of the midfielder.