Odds Boosts

These sides are at opposite ends of the table, but both have plenty of motivation to get on the scoresheet in this encounter. Bolton sit third in the table, and look pretty comfortable in their playoff spot with nine points keeping them from the chasing pack.

Bolton have seen BTTS in each of their last seven matches across all competitions, with three of these games seeing Bolton come out on top. They have drawn quite a few of these games, but the action at both ends is promising for this selection - and Bolton have only drawn five of their 18 matches at home in League One this season (27%).

Doncaster are only five points from safety in League One and have seen BTTS in each of their last three matches ahead of this clash - with two of these games seeing a result go either way. They managed to hold Bolton to a 1-1 draw when the sides met earlier in the season, registering an xG of 1.55 in that draw - showing that they can offer an attacking threat in this clash.

Furthermore, Doncaster have only drawn two of their 18 away matches in League One this season (11%), only Leyton Orient and Peterborough (1) have drawn fewer games on the road than Doncaster in League One this season. 

This selection landed in the most recent head to head meeting between the sides as Wimbledon came from behind to run out 3-1 winners against Leyton Orient. The away side have seen this selection land in each of their last five matches across all competitions, winning three and losing two of these matches.

Wimbledon have been pretty steady this season, but one of their main weaknesses is keeping clean sheets. They’ve only kept seven clean sheets across their 36 matches in League One this term (19%), which lines up well with how poor Leyton Orient have also been when it comes to keeping opposition sides out. Leyton Orient are one of only two sides that have kept fewer clean sheets than Wimbledon in League One this term (6).

Furthermore, draws are not common for either side when looking at their respective home and away records. Wimbledon have only drawn three of their 17 home games in League One this term (17%), while Leyton Orient have drawn just one of their 18 matches on the road in League One this season. 

This is great value for Saka to have a single shot on target against Leverkusen tonight. He was quiet in the first leg, but has been a threat for Arsenal in the Champions League this season with four goal contributions across his five starts.

He’s had 20 shots across these games (4.15 per 90), with 10 of these attempts finding the target (2.07 per 90). This is quite the increase on the 1.17 shots on target per 90 that Saka is averaging in the Premier League - suggesting that he finds it easier to get into shooting positions in the Champions League.

This selection should be aided by Saka being part of an Arsenal side that have been dominant in their home games in the Champions League so far - winning all four matches at the Emirates, and scoring 12 goals in the process.

I’m all over this boost personally, it’s clear value when compared to the 1.3 you can get with other bookmakers for this selection.