Odds Boosts

Vinicius Jr is enjoying another stellar season for Real Madrid and loves playing in the Champions League. He’s scored five goals across his 11 starts in the competition from a monstrous shot total of 46 (4.18 per 90).

This promising shot volume should give Vinicius quite a few chances to find the target. 17 of his efforts in the Champions League have found the target (1.55 per 90). Vinicius has maintained a similar record in LaLiga this term, averaging 1.42 shots on target per 90 leading to 11 goals across his 25 starts.

Real Madrid are averaging 6.90 shots on target per game in the Champions League this season, and should feel motivated to test an ageing Manuel Neuer - who actually currently has one of the weakest save percentages of goalkeepers in Europe (59.6%).

This boost is clearly great value, I'm backing it personally. 

Sporting v Arsenal 

Sporting have won all five of their home games in the Champions League, seeing BTTS in three of these games - including against PSG.

Arsenal have shown recent cracks at the back, keeping just three clean sheets across their last 10 matches.

Arsenal are seeing 5.70 corners per game in the CL this season, while Sporting are seeing 4.80 - a metric that rises to 6.20 corners per game when at home.

Both sides rank in the top five in the Champions League for cards. Arsenal have seen both teams pick up a card in eight of their 10 CL games this season. 

Real Madrid v Bayern Munich 

Both sides have seen BTTS in four of their last five matches across all competitions.

Real Madrid have only kept four clean sheets across their 12 games in the Champions League this season.

Bayern have won 21 corners across their five away games in the CL this season (4.20 per game). Real Madrid have won 40 across their 6 games at the Bernabeu (6.67 per game).

Real Madrid have picked up a card in 10 of their 12 CL games.

Bayern have picked up a card in eight of their 10 CL games. 

This is a different kind of boost. The price will climb for every shot on target Gyokeres has, potentially climbing as high as 6.0 - a massive boost from the base price of 1.53.

Viktor Gyokeres has improved as the season has unfolded, netting 17 goals in his 43 appearances across all competitions with 10 of these goals coming since the turn of the year. 

He’s playing with plenty of confidence right now having scored in both games for Sweden over the international break which helped them to secure a spot at the World Cup in the summer. He also marked his return to domestic duties with a goal against Southampton as Arsenal exited the FA Cup.

Gyokeres has scored four goals across his seven starts in the Champions League this season, managing 22 shots across these games (3.57 per 90), with 11 of these efforts finding the target (1.78 per 90). He should be motivated to extend this decent record when he lines up against his former club. 

These metrics are an improvement on his domestic stats, which suggests that Gyokeres prefers playing in the Champions League compared to the Premier League - probably because of the extra time and space he gets in Europe given the slightly slower pace of games.

Viktor Gyokeres has improved as the season has unfolded, netting 17 goals in his 43 appearances across all competitions with 10 of these goals coming since the turn of the year. 

He’s playing with plenty of confidence right now having scored in both games for Sweden over the international break which helped them to secure a spot at the World Cup in the summer. He also marked his return to domestic duties with a goal against Southampton as Arsenal exited the FA Cup.

Gyokeres has scored four goals across his seven starts in the Champions League this season, managing 22 shots across these games (3.57 per 90), with 11 of these efforts finding the target (1.78 per 90). He should be motivated to extend this decent record when he lines up against his former club. 

These metrics are an improvement on his domestic stats, which suggests that Gyokeres prefers playing in the Champions League compared to the Premier League - probably because of the extra time and space he gets in Europe given the slightly slower pace of games.

Kylian Mbappe cut a bit of a frustrated figure over the weekend as Real Madrid lost ground in the title race with a 2-1 defeat to Mallorca on the road. Mbappe was very lively in that game, and should have really scored, with six shots overall - seeing three of these attempts find the target. 

Mbappe walked away with a personal xG tally of 0.59, accounting for a large chunk of the 1.28 xG that Real Madrid generated in the game overall. He’s been brilliant in the Champions League this season, netting 13 goals across eight starts from a crazy 46 shots (5.66 per 90). 24 of these efforts have found the target (2.95 per 90) - giving Mbappe really healthy underlying metrics for our selection.

Unsurprisingly, Mbappe is the top scorer in the Champions League this season which remains the case if you look at his open play goals (10). He’s also pitched in with three penalties, which can act as a route to goal for Mbappe if he doesn’t quite get the opportunities to find the target at least twice from open play.

Viktor Gyokeres has improved as the season has unfolded, netting 17 goals in his 43 appearances across all competitions with 10 of these goals coming since the turn of the year. 

He’s playing with plenty of confidence right now having scored in both games for Sweden over the international break which helped them to secure a spot at the World Cup in the summer. He also marked his return to domestic duties with a goal against Southampton as Arsenal exited the FA Cup.

Gyokeres has scored four goals across his seven starts in the Champions League this season, managing 22 shots across these games (3.57 per 90), with 11 of these efforts finding the target (1.78 per 90). He should be motivated to extend this decent record when he lines up against his former club. 

These metrics are an improvement on his domestic stats, which suggests that Gyokeres prefers playing in the Champions League compared to the Premier League - probably because of the extra time and space he gets in Europe given the slightly slower pace of games.