Jon Rowe is priced at a big 1.44 with Bet365 to have just a single shot on target when Marseille host Auxerre on Friday night, with the former Norwich player similarly on offer at just 1.07 at Ladbrokes in the same market.

His price implies a probability of 63.6% that this will happen, yet recent form suggests the Englishman has a significantly stronger chance of hitting the target at least once than this.

Rowe posts 1.94 shots on target per 90 in Ligue 1 with Marseille this season, which is the highest at the club, surpassing even Mason Greenwood, who has 1.49 per 90, but is best priced at 1.13 to get a shot on target here.

Roberto De Zerbi is likely to start the 21-year-old on the left wing precisely because he brings the type of direct threat that OM can lack without him. Last week, he was given the nod and delivered with an assist plus four shots, one of which hit the target. In his only previous start against Montpellier a fortnight earlier, he had an assist, five shots and two on target.

In his last seven Marseille appearances, he has hit the target with a shot on five occasions, despite being a substitute in five of these games.

Auxerre are also chronically depleted at the back, with their best two starting centre-backs suspended and their best right wing-back injured. This opens the door for Rowe and Marseille to have a productive night in front of goal.