Stefan Posch has committed 20 fouls in 817 Bologna minutes this season – that’s a foul every 40.85 minutes. In nine matches this season his foul numbers read 2-2-2-3-3-0-3-4-1. The zero was a 17 minute appearance off the subs bench. In the previous Champions match against Liverpool, Posch committed four fouls.

Against Aston Villa he’ll have Lucas Digne and Jaden Ramsey on his side of the pitch with both Morgan Rogers and Ollie Watkins both drifting to the left at times too – all highly capable ball carriers who will look to attack the Bologna right-back.

In ten matches for Villa this season Morgan Rogers’ shot numbers read 2-3-0-4-3-0-1-0-2-4. Roger’s operates in and around Ollie Watkins, picking up passes from Youri Tielemans and Pau Torres on the half-turn so that he can drive at opponents towards the penalty area. The elite level movement of Watkins makes both a pass and a shot as an option for Rogers’ final action.

In his last match, against Fulham on Saturday, Rogers took four shots on goal for a total xG of 0.73. He goes into the fixture in great form and displays supreme confidence around the penalty area.

Presumably Aston Villa’s goalkeeper will be Emi Martinez. The Argentine has proved time and again in recent years that he is one of the world’s best goalkeepers. And Villa have needed an elite level Keeper to rely on – they aren’t water tight defensively. At least not for preventing shots. In fact, this bet would’ve won in 9/10 of Martinez’s Aston Villa fixtures this season. Martinez’s saves in each game reads 2-2-3-0-5-3-3-7-4-3.

In Bologna’s ten fixtures this season their shots on target numbers read 7-2-3-3-4-7-1-2-3-7. Bologna almost always have the majority of possession in matches and that will probably be the case in this game – Aston Villa don’t mind this and invite low xG shots from distance, knowing they can rely on Martinez.

Opponents against Bologna this season average 2.7 yellow cards per game. In ten matches the number of yellow cards given to their opponents reads 4-2-3-2-4-3-3-4-0-2. There has also been one red card given.

Aston Villa average 2 yellow cards per game. The yellow card numbers for them read 2-1-5-1-1-3-0-1-3-1-4. They’ve also had one red card given.

Tuesday night’s referee Joao Pinheiro averages 4.4 yellow cards per game in matches he officiated this season.

Stefan Posch has already been booked twice for Bologna this season, including once in the Champions League. With Villa carrying multiple attacking threats on their left side of the pitch, the right back is expected to be in for a busy evening.

He was booked seven times in total last season and has foul numbers of 2-2-2-3-3-0-3-4-1 in nine matches this season.

Duran isn’t expected to start the match but will almost certainly be introduced around the hour mark if Villa are in need of a goal, maybe earlier if Villa are ahead and Unai Emery wants to keep the likes of Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers fresh for future matches.

Duran shoots from anywhere, no range or angle is too off-putting for Duran to not chance his luck. He’s taken 21 shots this season despite only featuring for 425 Aston Villa minutes.

Like his shot volume indicates, Jhon Duran is a livewire. He plays football with an unhinged vibrancy that makes anything possible when he’s on the pitch. When Duran is introduced as a substitute his is often aggressively eager to make an impression.

Duran has made 9 fouls this season despite been used almost exclusively as a substitute. In the one game he started, against Wycombe in the Carabao Cup, Duran committed three fouls.

With both Duran’s shot and foul bet builder leg selection’s obviously the longer he is on the pitch, the more likely the bet is of landing, but his maverick ways makes both legs of the bet a runner even if only in the game for the final half an hour.

After a slow start to the season where Jhon Duran was creating all the headlines, Ollie Watkins has quietly played himself into good goalscoring form.

Watkins, known for scoring goals in batches, has netted five times in his last seven matches, including against Fulham on Saturday. His shot numbers are good and he has taken multiple efforts at goal in 6/10 matches this season.

The England international continues to enhance his case of being next in line behind Harry Kane in the Three Lions strikers depth chart. The forward has developed an inner belief under Unai Emery and is thriving off the competition Jhon Duran is placing on his jersey.