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Brentford v Man City
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Kick Off: Tuesday 14th January at 19:30
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Competition: Premier League
Brentford host Man City in what promises to be an intriguing clash at the Gtech Community Stadium. The Bees have been formidable at home this season, but recent losses to Arsenal and Nottingham Forest show they’re not invincible.
Meanwhile, City appear to be regaining form with consecutive league wins and a dominant 8-0 cup victory. With both teams boasting attacking firepower and tactical flexibility, this matchup could be a thrilling encounter.
⭐ Brentford v Man City Best Bet
This match has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair, Brentford lead the league in high-scoring games, with their matches averaging an impressive 3.65 goals. Manchester City’s games are also goal-filled, with an average of 3.15 goals per match. Brentford’s attacking form at home is particularly notable – they score an average of 2.7 goals per game on their own turf.
Meanwhile, City’s consistent firepower on the road has seen them average 1.5 goals per game. Recent performances bolster confidence in this bet. Brentford hit 5 goals in their last outing, while City scored 4, indicating both sides are in excellent attacking form.
With two teams that frequently find the back of the net and a track record of open, goal-heavy matches, the over 3.5 goals market looks like a solid selection.
🟢 Brentford v Man City #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
While this bet is a long shot, Man City’s stats suggest that they are capable of hitting 4+ shots on target and 3+ corners in each half. The team averages 5.90 shots on target per game, which equates to nearly 3 shots on target per half. Given that Brentford concedes 6.30 shots on target per game, Man City’s offensive strength and Brentford’s potential defensive weaknesses make it plausible that Man City could hit 4 shots on target in each half.
In terms of corners, Man City averages 8.1 corners per game, or just over 4 corners per half. Brentford, meanwhile, gives up 6.75 corners per game, which suggests they allow about 3.4 corners per half. Man City, known for their possession and attacking dominance, are not unlikely to win at least 3 corners in each half against a team that is susceptible to conceding them.
Overall, Man City’s high offensive output in both shots on target and corners, combined with Brentford’s defensive weaknesses in these areas, make the bet of Man City 4+ shots on target and 3+ corners in each half a reasonable expectation at 10/1.
👕 Brentford v Man City Predicted XI
🔍 Brentford v Man City Players to Watch
🔴 Bryan Mbeumo
Bryan Mbeumo has been pivotal to Brentford’s attack this season, he averages 1.75 shots per game, with 1.05 of those hitting the target. As Brentford’s top scorer with 13 goals, Mbeumo is their main shooting and goal threat. He is also their primary penalty taker.
City’s defence, while strong, allows just under 4 shots on target per game, evidence that opportunities can be created against them. With Brentford averaging nearly 5 shots on target per match, Mbeumo is highly likely to test the keeper at least once. This bet offers solid value given his form and central role in Brentford’s attack.
🔵 Manuel Akanji
While City tend to rotate their team, Akanji has become somewhat of a staple starting 16 of Man City’s 20 matches, only 5 of City’s players can boast more than this. In those games, Akanji has averaged 0.81 fouls per match, the highest foul rate among City players.
Brentford’s strong home form and attacking quality make this a potentially busy game for Akanji. He’ll be tasked with containing the likes of Yoane Wissa and Bryan Mbeumo, who draw 1.47 and 1.1 fouls per game, respectively. Given Akanji’s physical style of play, it’s likely he’ll commit at least 1 foul in this matchup. This bet offers excellent value considering the context.
📂 Brentford v Man City Cheat Sheet
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💻 Brentford v Man City Form and Tactics
Based on home games alone, Brentford rank 2nd in the league. However, if only away results were considered, they would drop down to 18th place. Despite their strong form at the Gtech Community Stadium, recent home losses to Arsenal, Nottingham Forest and Plymouth highlight that top teams can still trouble them on their own turf.
Tactically, the Bees have primarily utilised a 4-3-3 or a 5-3-2 formation, their in-game flexibility also allows them to transition into a 4-2-3-1 or a traditional 4-4-2 when needed. Against Manchester City, they may opt for a more defensive shape to counter their opponents’ attacking strength.
Manchester City, who have struggled significantly this season, could be on the brink of a resurgence. They have secured back-to-back league wins and delivered a stunning 8-0 victory in the cup at the weekend, suggesting they might be rediscovering their best form after a challenging spell of losses.
Tactically, City have looked disjointed since losing Rodri, with their midfield often lacking energy and dynamism. How Pep Guardiola addresses this issue against a well-drilled Brentford side will be fascinating to watch, as the midfield battle could prove decisive in this encounter.
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🏁 Brentford v Man City Ref Watch
- Referee: Anthony Taylor
- Taylor averages 4.12 Yellow Cards per game
- He has shown 3 Red Cards this season.
- He awards an average of 22.56 fouls over 18 games this Premier League Season.
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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