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The EFL Trophy is generally a high-scoring tournament. There isn’t quite the same level of pressure in the competition, especially at this regionalised group stage.
Over the first couple of rounds of the 2023 tournament have seen an average of 3.47 goals per game, including two matches that have had nine goals and one with eight.
Obviously, it can be tough to predict the lineups and the strength of the teams that will be selected by the League One and League Two teams, and also which young players from the Under 21 teams may, or may not, be available, but with some research and educated guesses it is possible to work out some value selections for goals.
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Tuesday’s 7/2 EFL Trophy Goals Accumulator Tips
Before we head into the individual selections, the research conducted for this bet showed that whilst the competition average for 2023 is already high at 3.47, the 22 matches that have involved the academy teams have a goal average of 5.68 at the moment.
Whilst this figure is likely to come down as the competition progresses, it does give a decent angle to start from and explains a little bit about the academy sides are tackling this senior competition at the moment.
Blackpool v Liverpool U21s
Blackpool are starting to find the net with more regularity now as they attempt to get promoted back into the Championship. A lot of that improvement is down to Jordan Rhodes, who has 6 in 6 and scored their opener at the weekend. The only problem is that one would expect Rhodes to be rested for this match given his importance to the league challenge and his age.
However, Karamoko Dembele broke his duck with a very well-taken goal on Saturday, and there is a queue of forwards behind Rhodes who have been champing at the bit for a chance, and this is that chance.
They will probably get some decent chances as well. The Liverpool Academy side are an attacking unit. Whilst we obviously cannot compare them directly to the senior side, we know that the relationship between Jurgen Klopp and Alex Inglethorpe in the Academy is connected and Klopp will be insisting that the Academy sides have that Liverpool DNA to attack and be aggressive.
This has been fairly successful in the remodelled U21 PL2 league so far this season. Liverpool have won 4 out of 6 there and scored an average of 2.5 goals a game themselves. They also beat Morecambe 3-0 in the first match of the EFL Trophy, so this sets their stall out nicely for this match as well.
Over 2.5 goals is the way to go here.
Charlton v Aston Villa U21s
The Charlton squad is a pretty deep one for League One level. The new ownership group do have some funds behind them and a strong recruitment team for the level. Add this to the fantastic catchment area and strong processes for getting the best youth players through to the senior squad, and in the Addicks, you have a club that has the facility to do well in this competition.
With the new owners being on board as well, one would think that the delivery of silverware of any kind would be something that is on the agenda. Obviously, promotion is the absolute priority and key goal, but this tournament can also be used to build that momentum.
Michael Appleton is still getting used to his squad of players, and many who will come in for this match will be keen to impress the former Lincoln and Blackpool boss.
Aston Villa’s Academy team are a bit of a loose cannon. There have been 31 goals in their 6 PL2 matches, over 5 per match. They are fairly evenly spread between goals scored and goals conceded as well, 14 and 17 respectively.
They also drew 2-2 in the opening round of this competition as well, so evenly-matched goals is a thing for the young Villains at the moment. Omari Kellyman could be one to watch out for, he scored in the first round and has notched a few more in PL2.
Go for over 2.5 goals here.
Tranmere v Leicester U21s
A relief from the stress of life down at the bottom of the Football League could be what the doctor ordered for Tranmere. It didn’t quite work out that way on the opening round of fixtures as they went down 2-0 to Fleetwood, but that match also came in the middle of a poor run in front of goal as well.
The Rovers have improved from that perspective though, having scored at least once in their last five matches.
Leicester’s Academy side were smashed 7-1 in the first match of this competition. Whilst we can’t expect a similar thing to happen here, there is a discussion to be had about what happened there and why.
It could just be a one-off but it could also be that the youngsters failed to cope with the senior professionals of Wigan. It could also be that they are happy to chase games when they go behind and the likes of Josh Magennis were able to capitalise on that.
Even aside from that 7-1 in this competition, Leicester’s PL2 results are wild. A 3-1 win last time out against Fulham came off the back of a 3-1 defeat to Middlesbrough. There have also been 2-3, 1-4, and 2-1 scorelines in their season so far. Not one match has fallen under the over 2.5 goal line, and we don’t expect this one to either.
Crewe v Wrexham
A derby match of sorts which adds a little bit of spice to a fixture that doesn’t necessarily need much more added to it to make it a fun one.
Everyone seems to be very much aware of Wrexham’s approach to football. They want to score goals, they are direct, and they produce a lot of excitement going forward with their big-name strikers, for the level.
They also do have pretty big-name defenders, but it doesn’t stop them from being on the edge of calamity at some stages in matches as well.
These teams met in the league very recently, Saturday 30th September, at the Racecourse Ground in Wrexham. The fans were treated to a 3-3 draw that day with the over 2.5 goal line broken by half-time.
Obviously, the teams will be rotated to some degree, but with Cheshire vs North Wales pride at stake there will perhaps not be as much rotation and taking it easy as there will be elsewhere in the night’s other fixtures.
Besides Wrexham have some big players who haven’t started that many matches at this stage and will want the opportunity to play, and Crewe are still producing plenty of excellent young players that will come in and be able to handle the occasion. We see over 2.5 goals sailing in here.
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