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Girona v Arsenal
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Kick Off: Wednesday 29th January at 20:00
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Competition: UEFA Champions League
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Watch Live: TNT Sports 4
With Arsenal all but assured of progression to the Round of 16 and Girona eliminated, this match may lack stakes in terms of qualification but still provides valuable opportunities for analysis and betting. Arsenal, riding high on their impressive domestic and European form, face a Girona side looking to salvage pride in their first-ever Champions League campaign.
⭐ Girona v Arsenal Best Bet
Even with their place in the knockout stages assured, Arsenal are heavy favourites to claim victory. The disparity in quality and form between the two sides is striking. Arsenal’s European campaign has been a masterclass in defensive solidity, conceding just 0.29 goals per game while keeping 5 clean sheets in 7 matches. This defensive steel was on full display in their commanding 3-0 win over Dinamo last week.
Domestically, Arsenal have been equally impressive, as evidenced by their recent 1-0 win at Wolves—a testament to their grit and determination. Unbeaten in their last eight away games across all competitions, Mikel Arteta’s men appear well-placed to secure back-to-back Champions League away wins for the first time since 2016.
Meanwhile, Girona have endured a torrid campaign. Their solitary win came against Slovan Bratislava, a side with the worst defensive record in the group. With just 4 goals scored in 6 matches, Girona’s lack of firepower is glaring. They now face the ignominy of potentially becoming the first side from Europe’s top five leagues to lose 4 consecutive Champions League games to nil.
Arsenal’s consistency, coupled with Girona’s poor form, makes a Gunners victory the standout pick.
🟢 Girona v Arsenal #WhatOddsPaddy Tip
Arsenal to Win to Nil: Arsenal’s European campaign has been defined by defensive resilience. Conceding just 0.29 goals per game, they have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 Champions League matches—a record that underscores their dominance at the back. This defensive steel was evident in their recent 3-0 dismantling of Dinamo Zagreb, showcasing their ability to nullify opponents entirely. Beyond Europe, Arsenal’s domestic form further reinforces their defensive credentials. With 9 clean sheets across all competitions, including a gritty 1-0 win over Wolves on the weekend, Mikel Arteta’s side consistently demonstrates composure and organisation under pressure.
In contrast, Girona have struggled immensely in attack, scoring only 4 goals across 7 group-stage matches. Their lack of firepower is glaring, and they are on the brink of becoming the first team in Europe’s top five leagues to lose 4 consecutive Champions League games to nil. Facing Arsenal’s disciplined defence, it’s hard to see Girona breaking through.
Gabriel Martinelli to Score: Gabriel Martinelli has proven to be a pivotal figure in Arsenal’s attacking setup. Scoring 3 goals in his last 8 appearances, the Brazilian winger’s inclusion often spells success for the Gunners. In fact, Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 38 matches in which Martinelli has found the net (W32, D6)—a remarkable testament to his impact.
10+ Match Corners: This is arguably the most challenging part of the bet, but it is backed by strong statistical trends. Arsenal’s Champions League matches average 8.86 corners per game, a figure that rises to exactly 10 in their away fixtures. Meanwhile, Girona rank 10th in the competition for total corners, with their matches averaging 10.43 per game. With little at stake for either side, a more open attacking brand of football could be on display, driving the corner count higher. Additionally, with Girona desperately seeking a result and thus employing a more attacking gameplan, this game is well-positioned to meet the corner threshold.
👕 Girona v Arsenal Predicted XI
🔍 Girona v Arsenal Players to Watch
🔴 Yangel Herrera
Girona’s Yangel Herrera faces a daunting evening in midfield against Arsenal’s technically gifted trio. Herrera has earned a reputation as Girona’s most cynical player, averaging 2.56 fouls per game and collecting 7 yellow cards this season. With Arsenal’s midfield drawing 22 fouls in their last 6 matches, Herrera’s combative style could see him enter the referee’s book.
⚪ Kai Havertz
While debates around his role as a traditional No. 9 continue, Kai Havertz remains Arsenal’s most consistent goal threat. The German forward has scored 10 goals this season, including 4 in Europe, and is currently on a run of 3 consecutive Champions League games with a goal. Another strike here would make Havertz the first German since Marco Reus in 2015 to score in 4 straight matches in this competition.
📂 Girona v Arsenal Cheat Sheet
We’ve got this week’s Champions League action covered with Champions League Bet Builder Tips and Wednesday Champions League Acca Tips – bookmark our Football Betting Predictions so you never miss an expert tip.
Plenty of scenarios can unfold on this final slate of league games in this season’s Champions League, and you can read the full breakdown of what’s on the line in our Champions League Permutations piece.
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💻 Girona v Arsenal Form and Tactics
Girona’s fairy-tale qualification for their first-ever UEFA Champions League campaign—courtesy of a remarkable third-place finish in La Liga last season—has been met with harsh realities on the European stage. Their group phase has been a chastening experience, yielding just 1 victory alongside 6 defeats. With elimination already confirmed, the Catalan side approaches this final match with only pride to salvage, yet under significant pressure after 3 consecutive losses across all competitions.
The stakes are compounded by the threat of unwanted history. Girona are on the brink of becoming the first team from one of Europe’s top five leagues to lose 5 consecutive UCL matches without scoring. Their woes are rooted in a toothless attack, averaging a meagre 0.6 goals per game in the tournament. To avoid compounding their misery, Girona must overturn a pattern of underperformance and capitalise on their corner-taking proficiency, ranking 10th in the competition. With Arsenal yet to concede from open play in this season’s Champions League, Girona’s best hopes lie in set-piece opportunities. However, frustrations may boil over given their aggressive style, as they average 14.7 fouls per game—the joint-highest in the UCL.
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Arsenal’s domestic supremacy has seamlessly extended to their European exploits, as they aim to wrap up their Champions League group-stage campaign with a flourish. The Gunners, third in their group but already assured of progression, have been imperious in Europe, conceding a remarkable 0.29 goals per game and securing 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Mikel Arteta’s side approaches this match with a clear tactical blueprint: relentless high pressing, patient build-up play, and exploiting Girona’s fragile defence, which is prone to committing errors under pressure. Arsenal’s defensive mastery extends beyond Europe, with 9 clean sheets across all competitions and a resilience exemplified by their recent 1-0 triumph over Wolves.
Additionally, Arsenal’s unbeaten streak in 8 consecutive away matches across all competitions underscores their form on the road. A victory here would not only solidify their standing but also mark back-to-back UCL away wins for the first time since 2016, following their emphatic 5-1 demolition of Sporting CP in their last European outing. The Gunners’ tactical and defensive cohesion positions them as overwhelming favourites to dictate the match and maintain their stellar run.
🏁 Girona v Arsenal Ref Watch
- Referee – Maurizio Mariani
| Average Cards (Y / R) | 4.00 / 0.00 |
| Fouls Given | 18.00 |
| Penalties | 0.67 |
📺 How to Watch Girona v Arsenal in the Champions League
📅 When is Girona v Arsenal? / Wednesday, 29 January 2025, 20:00
🏟 Where is Girona v Arsenal? / Estadi Municipal de Montilivi (Girona)
📺 What TV Channel is Girona v Arsenal on? / TNT Sports 4
🟨 …And who is the referee for Girona v Arsenal? / Maurizio Mariani 🇮🇹
Football Predictions at Andy’s Bet Club
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* I recommend waiting for confirmed team line-ups before placing any bets.
* All odds displayed correct at the time of publishing.
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